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LigaPro · Regular Season - 28 September 03, 2026 21:00
Universidad Catolica
#3 · 48 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Aucas
#2 · 50 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Universidad Catolica, result Draw
José Fajardo 45'+6 (pen.)
69' (ast. Alex Rodrigo Zova Cacierra) Michael Carcelen
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Universidad Catolica a 69% win probability (draw 14%, Aucas 15%). The final result was Universidad Catolica 1–1 Aucas. In 2 previous meetings, Universidad Catolica have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Aucas.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
8
2
Shots on target
5
4
Saves
1
61%
Possession
39%
1
Corners
7
5
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
15'
Mateo Burdisso
Daniel Clavijo
33'
Facundo Martinez
38'
45'+1
Santiago Morales
45'+5
⚽José Fajardo (pen.)
45'+6
↕ Facundo Martinez / Luis Johan Moreno
59'
↕ Eric David Valencia Reasco / Jonnathan Mina
59'
66'
Ayrton Preciado / Alexander Bolaños ↕
69'
ast. Alex Rodrigo Zova Cacierra · Michael Carcelen⚽
↕ Mauricio Sebastian·Alonso Pereda / Eddy Mejia
72'
↕ Jhon Chancellor / Carlos Medina
72'
80'
Luis Arroyo / Michael Carcelen ↕
↕ José Fajardo / Byron Palacios
90'
90'
Stiven Tapiero / Andres Mena ↕
Pre-match prediction
69.83%
Universidad
14.82%
X ←
15.35%
Aucas
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 14.82% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Universidad
3.65
—
—
Aucas
1.48
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle 29 71
2 Aucas Aucas 30 50
3 Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica 29 48
4 Macara Macara 29 48
5 LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 30 46
6 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 29 43
7 Libertad Libertad 29 41
8 Leones del Norte Leones del Norte 29 39
9 Guayaquil City FC Guayaquil City FC 30 39
10 Mushuc Runa SC Mushuc Runa SC 30 38
11 Emelec Emelec 29 36
12 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 30 36
13 Orense SC Orense SC 29 33
14 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 29 29
15 Delfin SC Delfin SC 29 27
16 Manta FC Manta FC 30 21
Lineups
Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica 4-2-3-1
12 J. Lara J. Lara G 7.45
44 E. Valencia E. Valencia 59' D 6.12
4 J. Chancellor J. Chancellor 72' D 6.70
33 L. Cangá L. Cangá D 6.82
24 Darwin Carlos Nazareno Arroyo Darwin Carlos Nazareno Arroyo D 6.63
10 F. Martínez F. Martínez 59' M 6.54
8 D. Clavijo D. Clavijo M 5.95
32 M. Alonso M. Alonso 72' M 6.32
28 M. Díaz M. Díaz M 7.20
9 A. Londoño A. Londoño M 5.79
7 J. Fajardo J. Fajardo 1 ⚽ 89' F 6.99
Bench
23 Alex Andrés Rodríguez Reascos Alex Andrés Rodríguez Reascos M 0.00
18 B. Palacios B. Palacios 1' F 6.44
37 C. Medina C. Medina 18' D 6.65
30 E. Mejía E. Mejía 18' M 6.18
26 Foad Eid Foad Eid F 0.00
29 G. Anangonó G. Anangonó D 0.00
5 J. Cacciabue J. Cacciabue M 0.00
11 J. Evans J. Evans F 0.00
14 J. Mina J. Mina 31' D 6.37
15 L. Moreno L. Moreno 31' D 6.19
1 Lucas Cueva Gordillo Lucas Cueva Gordillo G 0.00
19 M. Sevillano M. Sevillano M 0.00
Aucas Aucas 4-1-4-1
13 Hamilton Emanuel Piedra Ordóñez Hamilton Emanuel Piedra Ordóñez G 6.41
2 S. Morales S. Morales D 6.39
4 M. Burdisso M. Burdisso D 6.07
16 L. Gustavino L. Gustavino D 6.06
37 A. Zova A. Zova 1 👟 D 7.01
6 A. Spina A. Spina M 6.67
28 R. Quiñónez R. Quiñónez M 6.88
18 Andrés David Mena Montenegro Andrés David Mena Montenegro 89' M 6.62
21 P. Guzmán P. Guzmán M 6.17
11 A. Bolaños A. Bolaños 66' M 5.98
34 M. Carcelén M. Carcelén 1 ⚽ 80' F 7.61
Bench
10 A. Preciado A. Preciado 24' M 6.52
31 B. Carabalí B. Carabalí D 0.00
30 B. Oyola B. Oyola F 0.00
17 C. Zambrano C. Zambrano F 0.00
1 I. Chaves I. Chaves G 0.00
7 J. Andrade J. Andrade F 0.00
29 Luis Aldair Arroyo Cabeza Luis Aldair Arroyo Cabeza 10' F 6.46
57 M. Vera M. Vera F 0.00
9 R. Monti Azpiazu R. Monti Azpiazu F 0.00
14 S. Tapiero S. Tapiero 1' M 6.35
Best on the pitch
M. Carcelén
M. Carcelén
F · Aucas
7.61
1 ⚽
1 shots · 21 pass
J. Lara
J. Lara
G · Universidad
7.45
· 32 pass
M. Díaz
M. Díaz
M · Universidad
7.20
1 shots · 51 pass
A. Zova
A. Zova
D · Aucas
7.01
1 👟
· 19 pass
J. Fajardo
J. Fajardo
F · Universidad
6.99
1 ⚽
4 shots · 7 pass
R. Quiñónez
R. Quiñónez
M · Aucas
6.88
1 shots · 25 pass
Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Lara G 90 7.45 — — 0 32 25% 0 — —
E. Valencia D 59 6.12 — — 0 13 11% 3 — —
J. Chancellor D 72 6.70 — — 0 57 55% 0 — —
L. Cangá D 90 6.82 — — 0 74 65% 0 — —
Darwin Carlos Nazareno Arroyo D 90 6.63 — — 0 58 52% 0 — —
F. Martínez M 59 6.54 — — 0 47 43% 0 1 —
D. Clavijo M 90 5.95 — — 0 44 36% 2 1 —
M. Alonso M 72 6.32 — — 1 17 12% 0 — —
M. Díaz M 90 7.20 — — 1 51 45% 0 — —
A. Londoño M 90 5.79 — — 2 16 12% 0 — —
J. Fajardo F 89 6.99 1 — 4 7 6% 0 — —
B. Palacios F 1 6.44 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
C. Medina D 18 6.65 — — 0 20 18% 0 — —
E. Mejía M 18 6.18 — — 0 8 5% 0 — —
J. Mina D 31 6.37 — — 0 13 10% 0 — —
L. Moreno D 31 6.19 — — 0 31 26% 0 — —
Aucas Aucas — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Hamilton Emanuel Piedra Ordóñez G 90 6.41 — — 0 14 10% 0 — —
S. Morales D 90 6.39 — — 0 27 24% 2 1 —
M. Burdisso D 90 6.07 — — 1 35 29% 0 1 —
L. Gustavino D 90 6.06 — — 0 26 16% 0 — —
A. Zova D 90 7.01 — 1 0 19 18% 2 — —
A. Spina M 90 6.67 — — 1 32 28% 3 — —
R. Quiñónez M 90 6.88 — — 1 25 19% 2 — —
Andrés David Mena Montenegro M 89 6.62 — — 1 37 34% 0 — —
P. Guzmán M 90 6.17 — — 2 36 26% 1 — —
A. Bolaños M 66 5.98 — — 1 17 15% 1 — —
M. Carcelén F 80 7.61 1 — 1 21 15% 0 — —
A. Preciado M 24 6.52 — — 0 10 9% 1 — —
Luis Aldair Arroyo Cabeza F 10 6.46 — — 0 6 5% 0 — —
S. Tapiero M 1 6.35 — — 0 2 2% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Universidad Catolica vs Aucas?
The final score was Universidad Catolica 1–1 Aucas.
What did the model predict before Universidad Catolica vs Aucas?
The model assigned 69% probability to a Universidad Catolica win, 14% to a draw, and 15% to an Aucas win.