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LigaPro · Championship Group - 5 November 01, 2026 17:00 Olimpico Atahualpa, Quito
Universidad Catolica
#2 · 51 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Aucas
#4 · 50 pts
Luis Johan Moreno (ast. Saenddy Said Yánez Zambrano) 27'
45'+1 Andres Mena
89' (ast. Cristhoper Zambrano) Luis Arroyo
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Universidad Catolica a 42% win probability (draw 37%, Aucas 20%). The final result was Universidad Catolica 1–2 Aucas. In 3 previous meetings, Universidad Catolica have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Aucas.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
11
6
Shots on target
4
0.51
Actual xG
0.81
2
Saves
5
56%
Possession
44%
4
Corners
3
9
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
Facundo Martinez
25'
⚽Luis Johan Moreno · ast. Saenddy Said Yánez Zambrano
27'
45'+1
Andres Mena⚽
45'
Ariel García / Byron Yardel Carabalí Delgado ↕
45'
B. Oyola / Thiago Serpa ↕
57'
Cristhoper Zambrano / Ayrton Preciado ↕
↕ Saenddy Said Yánez Zambrano / José Fajardo
64'
↕ Andrés Rodríguez / Daniel Clavijo
64'
↕ Facundo Martinez / Mauro Díaz
64'
↕ Jimmy Evans / Eddy Mejia
65'
71'
Luis Arroyo / Rafael Monti Azpiazú ↕
↕ Azarias Londono / Mauricio Sebastian·Alonso Pereda
73'
78'
Agostino Spina
79'
Maverick Vera / Alex Rodrigo Zova Cacierra ↕
89'
ast. Cristhoper Zambrano · Luis Arroyo⚽
Daniel Clavijo
90'+1
Mauro Díaz
90'+2
90'+2
Andres Mena
Pre-match prediction
42.69%
Universidad
37.14%
X
20.17%
Aucas ←
we assigned to the actual result (Aucas) 20.17% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Universidad
0.82
0.51
-0.31
Aucas
0.41
0.81
+0.4
xG dominance was balanced (0.51 – 0.81). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle 35 84
1 Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle 30 74
2 Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica 30 51
2 Macara Macara 36 67
3 Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica 36 54
3 Macara Macara 30 51
4 Aucas Aucas 30 50
4 LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 36 54
5 Aucas Aucas 36 54
5 LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 30 46
6 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 30 44
6 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 35 49
7 Libertad Libertad 30 41
7 Libertad Libertad 36 51
8 Leones del Norte Leones del Norte 30 39
8 Guayaquil City FC Guayaquil City FC 36 48
9 Leones del Norte Leones del Norte 36 47
9 Guayaquil City FC Guayaquil City FC 30 39
10 Emelec Emelec 36 45
10 Mushuc Runa SC Mushuc Runa SC 30 38
11 Emelec Emelec 30 36
11 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 36 47
12 Mushuc Runa SC Mushuc Runa SC 35 40
12 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 30 36
13 Orense SC Orense SC 30 33
13 Orense SC Orense SC 36 39
14 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 30 32
14 Delfin SC Delfin SC 35 38
15 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 35 37
15 Delfin SC Delfin SC 30 28
16 Manta FC Manta FC 30 21
16 Manta FC Manta FC 35 30
Lineups
Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica 4-2-3-1
1 Lucas Cueva Gordillo Lucas Cueva Gordillo G 6.45
14
D 6.27
3
D 6.27
33 L. Cangá L. Cangá D 6.74
24 Darwin Carlos Nazareno Arroyo Darwin Carlos Nazareno Arroyo D 6.46
10 F. Martínez F. Martínez 64' M 6.90
15 L. Moreno L. Moreno 1 ⚽ M 7.94
11 J. Evans J. Evans 65' M 6.22
23 Alex Andrés Rodríguez Reascos Alex Andrés Rodríguez Reascos 64' M 6.38
9 A. Londoño A. Londoño 73' M 6.56
26 Foad Eid Foad Eid 1 👟 64' F 7.34
Bench
18 B. Palacios B. Palacios F 0.00
37 C. Medina C. Medina D 0.00
8 D. Clavijo D. Clavijo 26' F 6.15
30 E. Mejía E. Mejía 25' M 6.02
29 G. Anangonó G. Anangonó D 0.00
5 J. Cacciabue J. Cacciabue M 0.00
7 J. Fajardo J. Fajardo 26' F 6.29
12 J. Lara J. Lara G 0.00
32 M. Alonso M. Alonso 17' M 6.14
28 M. Díaz M. Díaz 26' M 5.59
19 M. Sevillano M. Sevillano M 0.00
17 R. Troya R. Troya M 0.00
Aucas Aucas 4-4-2
13 Hamilton Emanuel Piedra Ordóñez Hamilton Emanuel Piedra Ordóñez G 7.43
31 B. Carabalí B. Carabalí 45' D 6.33
2 S. Morales S. Morales D 6.84
16 L. Gustavino L. Gustavino D 6.61
37 A. Zova A. Zova 79' D 6.65
18 Andrés David Mena Montenegro Andrés David Mena Montenegro 1 ⚽ M 7.63
5 Thiago Thiago 45' M 6.33
6 A. Spina A. Spina M 6.36
10 A. Preciado A. Preciado 57' M 6.14
9 R. Monti Azpiazu R. Monti Azpiazu 71' F 6.05
21 P. Guzmán P. Guzmán F 6.49
Bench
63 A. Garcia A. Garcia 45' D 6.20
30 B. Oyola B. Oyola 45' F 6.51
17 C. Zambrano C. Zambrano 1 👟 33' F 6.87
20 D. Espinosa D. Espinosa F 0.00
1 I. Chaves I. Chaves G 0.00
7 J. Andrade J. Andrade F 0.00
29 Luis Aldair Arroyo Cabeza Luis Aldair Arroyo Cabeza 1 ⚽ 19' F 7.95
34 M. Carcelén M. Carcelén M 0.00
57 M. Vera M. Vera 11' F 6.68
Best on the pitch
Luis Aldair Arroyo Cabeza
Luis Aldair Arroyo Cabeza
F · Aucas
7.95
1 ⚽
3 shots · 2 pass
L. Moreno
L. Moreno
M · Universidad
7.94
1 ⚽
2 shots · 56 pass
Andrés David Mena Montenegro
Andrés David Mena Montenegro
M · Aucas
7.63
1 ⚽
2 shots · 61 pass
Hamilton Emanuel Piedra Ordóñez
Hamilton Emanuel Piedra Ordóñez
G · Aucas
7.43
· 17 pass
Foad Eid
Foad Eid
F · Universidad
7.34
1 👟
3 shots · 9 pass
F. Martínez
F. Martínez
M · Universidad
6.90
1 shots · 73 pass
Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Lucas Cueva Gordillo G 90 6.45 — — 0 21 17% 0 — —
D 90 6.27 — — 0 44 36% 0 — —
D 90 6.27 — — 0 44 36% 0 — —
L. Cangá D 90 6.74 — — 0 70 61% 1 — —
Darwin Carlos Nazareno Arroyo D 90 6.46 — — 0 39 33% 2 — —
F. Martínez M 64 6.90 — — 1 73 68% 1 1 —
L. Moreno M 90 7.94 1 — 2 56 48% 0 — —
J. Evans M 65 6.22 — — 0 11 9% 1 — —
Alex Andrés Rodríguez Reascos M 64 6.38 — — 0 20 18% 3 — —
A. Londoño M 73 6.56 — — 2 34 29% 1 — —
Foad Eid F 64 7.34 — 1 3 9 6% 0 — —
D. Clavijo F 26 6.15 — — 1 17 14% 0 1 —
E. Mejía M 25 6.02 — — 0 8 7% 0 — —
J. Fajardo F 26 6.29 — — 0 5 5% 0 — —
M. Alonso M 17 6.14 — — 1 6 5% 0 — —
M. Díaz M 26 5.59 — — 2 22 17% 0 — 1
Aucas Aucas — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Hamilton Emanuel Piedra Ordóñez G 90 7.43 — — 0 17 11% 0 — —
B. Carabalí D 45 6.33 — — 0 13 11% 0 — —
S. Morales D 90 6.84 — — 0 36 31% 2 — —
L. Gustavino D 90 6.61 — — 0 52 42% 2 — —
A. Zova D 79 6.65 — — 0 37 32% 1 — —
Andrés David Mena Montenegro M 90 7.63 1 — 2 61 55% 0 — 1
Thiago M 45 6.33 — — 0 16 14% 1 — —
A. Spina M 90 6.36 — — 0 39 37% 2 1 —
A. Preciado M 57 6.14 — — 1 20 14% 0 — —
R. Monti Azpiazu F 71 6.05 — — 2 22 18% 0 — —
P. Guzmán F 90 6.49 — — 1 34 32% 2 — —
A. Garcia D 45 6.20 — — 0 18 14% 1 — —
B. Oyola F 45 6.51 — — 1 18 16% 0 — —
C. Zambrano F 33 6.87 — 1 1 11 7% 0 — —
Luis Aldair Arroyo Cabeza F 19 7.95 1 — 3 2 1% 0 — —
M. Vera F 11 6.68 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Universidad Catolica vs Aucas?
The final score was Universidad Catolica 1–2 Aucas.
What did the model predict before Universidad Catolica vs Aucas?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Universidad Catolica win, 37% to a draw, and 20% to an Aucas win.