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Universidad Catolica - Delfin SC

LigaPro May 16, 2026 23:30
#2 · 22 pts
vs
#11 · 15 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
72.02%
Win
Universidad Catolica
15.82%
Draw
12.16%
Win
Delfin SC
2.62
Expected xG
0.59
Model prediction
Universidad Catolica
72.02%
Probability
71.4%
1X2 accuracy · 7 predictions (3 months)

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Universidad Catolica a 72% win probability, against 15% for a draw and 12% for Delfin SC. Expected goals are 2.6 for Universidad Catolica and 0.6 for Delfin SC (total 3.2), with a 71% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–0 at 13.9% probability.

Score Matrix
↕ Universidad Catolica Delfin SC →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.0% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1%
1 10.6% 6.2% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 13.9% 8.2% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1%
3 12.1% 7.1% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 7.9% 4.7% 1.4% 0.3%
5 4.2% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Recent form
L Aucas 2–1
L Independiente del Valle 2–3
L Manta FC 1–0
W Macara 4–0
W Libertad 2–0
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 40%
L Tecnico Universitario 4–0
W Mushuc Runa SC 1–0
L Aucas 1–0
L Independiente del Valle 0–1
D Orense SC 0–0
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 22%
Playing profile
Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica
Attack
49
Defence
72
Form
62
Delfin SC Delfin SC
Attack
19
Defence
71
Form
36
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle 13 31
2 Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica 13 22
3 Aucas Aucas 13 22
4 LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 13 20
5 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 13 20
6 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 13 20
7 Orense SC Orense SC 13 19
8 Macara Macara 13 19
9 Guayaquil City FC Guayaquil City FC 13 18
10 Mushuc Runa SC Mushuc Runa SC 13 16
11 Delfin SC Delfin SC 13 15
12 Emelec Emelec 13 15
13 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 13 14
14 Libertad Libertad 13 14
15 Leones del Norte Leones del Norte 13 13
16 Manta FC Manta FC 13 8
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Universidad Catolica vs Delfin SC?
The model gives Universidad Catolica a 72% win probability, 15% for a draw, and 12% for an Delfin SC win.
How many goals are expected in Universidad Catolica vs Delfin SC?
Expected goals: Universidad Catolica 2.6, Delfin SC 0.6 (total 3.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 71%.
What is the most likely score in Universidad Catolica vs Delfin SC?
2–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.9%.