LigaPro · Regular Season - 19 July 16, 2026 00:00

Universidad Catolica

#3 · 48 pts

1 – 0

Final score

LDU de Quito

#5 · 45 pts

M. Diaz 59'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Universidad Catolica a 36% win probability (draw 35%, LDU de Quito 28%). The final result was Universidad Catolica 1–0 LDU de Quito. In 1 previous meetings, Universidad Catolica have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for LDU de Quito.

Match statistics

3

Shots on target

1

1.09

Actual xG

0.94

56%

Possession

44%

2

Corners

7

Match Events

D. Nazareno

41'

46'

R. Mina / G. F. Allala Menendez ↕

⚽M. Diaz

59'

66'

M. Estrada / Deyverson ↕

66'

J. W. Cuero Mercado / J. Carabali ↕

67'

J. Pretell

74'

I. Zambrano / J. Pretell ↕

74'

F. Cornejo

77'

I. Zambrano

83'

C. Luna Tobar / R. Redes ↕

84'

L. Quinonez

↕ J. Fajardo / B. Palacios

90'+2

↕ F. Martinez / J. Cacciabue

90'+2

↕ M. Alonso / J. Chala

90'+2

↕ A. Londono / S. Yanez

90'+5

Pre-match prediction

36.16%

Universidad ←

35.0%

X

28.84%

LDU

we assigned to the actual result (Universidad Catolica) 36.16% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Universidad

0.77

1.09

+0.32

LDU

0.65

0.94

+0.29

xG dominance was balanced (1.09 – 0.94). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	29	71
2	Aucas	30	50
3	Universidad Catolica	29	48
4	Macara	29	48
5	LDU de Quito	29	45
6	Barcelona SC	29	43
7	Libertad	29	41
8	Leones del Norte	29	39
9	Guayaquil City FC	30	39
10	Mushuc Runa SC	30	38
11	Emelec	29	36
12	Deportivo Cuenca	29	35
13	Orense SC	29	33
14	Tecnico Universitario	29	29
15	Delfin SC	29	27
16	Manta FC	30	21