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LigaPro · Championship Group - 2 October 11, 2026 18:30 Olimpico Atahualpa, Quito
Universidad Catolica
#2 · 51 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Macara
#2 · 67 pts
34' (ast. augustin campana) Franco Posse
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Universidad Catolica a 48% win probability (draw 23%, Macara 28%). The final result was Universidad Catolica 0–1 Macara. In 3 previous meetings, Universidad Catolica have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Macara.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
12
2
Shots on target
4
1.30
Actual xG
0.98
3
Saves
2
68%
Possession
32%
4
Corners
5
13
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
34'
ast. augustin campana · Franco Posse⚽
Eric David Valencia Reasco
44'
45'+4
Jordán Josué Mohor Nazareno
↕ Eric David Valencia Reasco / Jhostin David Mina Herrera
45'
45'
Carlos Caicedo / Bruss Abadi Coello Moreira ↕
↕ Andrés Rodríguez / José Fajardo
45'
47'
⚽José Fajardo (missed pen.)
49'
↕ Eddy Mejia / Azarias Londono
64'
↕ Byron Palacios / Mauricio Sebastian·Alonso Pereda
72'
↕ Daniel Clavijo / Facundo Martinez
72'
Mauro Díaz
73'
76'
Luis Loor / M. Viera ↕
76'
Marlon Medranda / Jordán Josué Mohor Nazareno ↕
87'
Patricio Andrés Ramos Llerena / augustin campana ↕
Azarias Londono
88'
90'+2
Luca Agustín Ferro / Franco Posse ↕
Pre-match prediction
48.69%
Universidad
23.31%
X
28.0%
Macara ←
we assigned to the actual result (Macara) 28.0% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Universidad
1.70
1.30
-0.4
Macara
1.32
0.98
-0.34
Universidad Catolica dominated by xG (1.30 vs 0.98). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle 35 84
1 Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle 30 74
2 Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica 30 51
2 Macara Macara 36 67
3 Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica 36 54
3 Macara Macara 30 51
4 Aucas Aucas 30 50
4 LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 36 54
5 Aucas Aucas 36 54
5 LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 30 46
6 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 30 44
6 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 35 49
7 Libertad Libertad 30 41
7 Libertad Libertad 36 51
8 Leones del Norte Leones del Norte 30 39
8 Guayaquil City FC Guayaquil City FC 36 48
9 Leones del Norte Leones del Norte 36 47
9 Guayaquil City FC Guayaquil City FC 30 39
10 Emelec Emelec 36 45
10 Mushuc Runa SC Mushuc Runa SC 30 38
11 Emelec Emelec 30 36
11 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 36 47
12 Mushuc Runa SC Mushuc Runa SC 35 40
12 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 30 36
13 Orense SC Orense SC 30 33
13 Orense SC Orense SC 36 39
14 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 30 32
14 Delfin SC Delfin SC 35 38
15 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 35 37
15 Delfin SC Delfin SC 30 28
16 Manta FC Manta FC 30 21
16 Manta FC Manta FC 35 30
Lineups
Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica 4-2-3-1
12 J. Lara J. Lara G 6.75
44 E. Valencia E. Valencia 45' D 6.17
37 C. Medina C. Medina D 7.53
33 L. Cangá L. Cangá D 7.36
29 G. Anangonó G. Anangonó D 6.72
5 J. Cacciabue J. Cacciabue M 7.09
8 D. Clavijo D. Clavijo 72' M 6.51
30 E. Mejía E. Mejía 64' M 6.43
28 M. Díaz M. Díaz M 6.83
23 Alex Andrés Rodríguez Reascos Alex Andrés Rodríguez Reascos 45' M 6.58
18 B. Palacios B. Palacios 72' F 6.27
Bench
9 A. Londoño A. Londoño 26' F 6.06
24 Darwin Carlos Nazareno Arroyo Darwin Carlos Nazareno Arroyo D 0.00
10 F. Martínez F. Martínez 18' M 6.54
26 Foad Eid Foad Eid F 0.00
7 J. Fajardo J. Fajardo 45' F 6.33
15 L. Moreno L. Moreno D 0.00
1 Lucas Cueva Gordillo Lucas Cueva Gordillo G 0.00
32 M. Alonso M. Alonso 18' M 6.39
19 M. Sevillano M. Sevillano M 0.00
17 R. Troya R. Troya M 0.00
Macara Macara 4-2-3-1
1 R. Rodriguez R. Rodriguez G 6.69
27 J. Mohor J. Mohor 76' D 5.68
14 J. Marrufo J. Marrufo D 6.38
4 J. Jiménez J. Jiménez D 6.78
25 J. Bolaños J. Bolaños D 6.07
16 J. Cazares J. Cazares M 6.62
52 B. Coello B. Coello 45' M 6.95
20 M. Viera M. Viera 76' M 6.26
15 M. Tello M. Tello M 6.22
28 A. Campana A. Campana 1 👟 87' M 7.13
9 F. Posse F. Posse 1 ⚽ 89' F 7.68
Bench
18 A. Rodriguez A. Rodriguez F 0.00
50 C. Caicedo C. Caicedo 45' M 6.66
12 D. Cuero D. Cuero G 0.00
77 J. Chalá J. Chalá F 0.00
87 J. Klinger J. Klinger F 0.00
3 Juan Espinoza Juan Espinoza D 0.00
13 L. Ayala L. Ayala 14' D 6.64
22 L. Ferro L. Ferro 1' F 6.55
26 M. Medranda M. Medranda 14' D 6.55
19 P. Ramos P. Ramos 3' F 6.88
Best on the pitch
F. Posse
F. Posse
F · Macara
7.68
1 ⚽
4 shots · 23 pass
C. Medina
C. Medina
D · Universidad
7.53
2 shots · 85 pass
L. Cangá
L. Cangá
D · Universidad
7.36
1 shots · 78 pass
A. Campana
A. Campana
M · Macara
7.13
1 👟
3 shots · 16 pass
J. Cacciabue
J. Cacciabue
M · Universidad
7.09
· 85 pass
B. Coello
B. Coello
M · Macara
6.95
1 shots · 6 pass
Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Lara G 90 6.75 — — 0 31 27% 0 — —
E. Valencia D 45 6.17 — — 0 31 28% 1 1 —
C. Medina D 90 7.53 — — 2 85 73% 0 — —
L. Cangá D 90 7.36 — — 1 78 72% 2 — —
G. Anangonó D 90 6.72 — — 2 51 44% 1 — —
J. Cacciabue M 90 7.09 — — 0 85 76% 3 — —
D. Clavijo M 72 6.51 — — 1 52 50% 1 — —
E. Mejía M 64 6.43 — — 0 27 23% 0 — —
M. Díaz M 90 6.83 — — 0 68 55% 1 1 —
Alex Andrés Rodríguez Reascos M 45 6.58 — — 1 21 18% 1 — —
B. Palacios F 72 6.27 — — 1 19 17% 0 — —
A. Londoño F 26 6.06 — — 0 6 5% 1 1 —
F. Martínez M 18 6.54 — — 0 20 17% 0 — —
J. Fajardo F 45 6.33 — — 3 4 3% 1 — —
M. Alonso M 18 6.39 — — 1 5 4% 1 — —
Macara Macara — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
R. Rodriguez G 90 6.69 — — 0 20 7% 0 — —
J. Mohor D 76 5.68 — — 0 27 17% 2 1 —
J. Marrufo D 90 6.38 — — 0 31 23% 1 — —
J. Jiménez D 90 6.78 — — 0 16 12% 2 — —
J. Bolaños D 90 6.07 — — 0 27 18% 1 — —
J. Cazares M 90 6.62 — — 0 27 24% 4 — —
B. Coello M 45 6.95 — — 1 6 5% 1 — —
M. Viera M 76 6.26 — — 0 19 15% 2 — —
M. Tello M 90 6.22 — — 2 26 22% 1 — —
A. Campana M 87 7.13 — 1 3 16 12% 0 — —
F. Posse F 89 7.68 1 — 4 23 16% 0 — —
C. Caicedo M 45 6.66 — — 2 16 14% 0 — —
L. Ayala D 14 6.64 — — 0 4 3% 1 — —
L. Ferro F 1 6.55 — — 0 2 0% 0 — —
M. Medranda D 14 6.55 — — 0 4 3% 0 — —
P. Ramos F 3 6.88 — — 0 3 0% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Universidad Catolica vs Macara?
The final score was Universidad Catolica 0–1 Macara.
What did the model predict before Universidad Catolica vs Macara?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Universidad Catolica win, 23% to a draw, and 28% to an Macara win.