LigaPro
· Regular Season - 30
September 15, 2026 02:00
✓Model correct — prediction Universidad Catolica
José Fajardo
(ast. Jimmy Evans)
3'
Mauricio Sebastian·Alonso Pereda
(ast. Daniel Clavijo)
5'
14'
(ast. Pedro Velasco)
Valentín Burgoa
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Universidad Catolica a 83% win probability (draw 8%, Orense SC 7%). The final result was Universidad Catolica 2–1 Orense SC. In 1 previous meetings, Universidad Catolica have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Orense SC.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
1
0
Saves
3
71%
Possession
29%
5
Corners
3
16
Tackles
11
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽José Fajardo
· ast. Jimmy Evans
3'
⚽Mauricio Sebastian·Alonso Pereda
· ast. Daniel Clavijo
5'
5'
14'
ast. Pedro Velasco ·
Valentín Burgoa⚽
26'
Sixto Mina
43'
Valentín Burgoa
Jimmy Evans
/ Darwin Carlos Nazareno Arroyo
45'
71'
J. Valencia
/
Wilson Arturo Chuchuca Arreaga
Facundo Martinez
/ Jonnathan Mina
73'
78'
Beder Caicedo
84'
Renny Jaramillo
/
Ángel Mena
84'
Michael Alessandro Bermúdez Reyes
/
Christian Alejandro Ortíz Calle
84'
Luis Miguel Garcés Carrion
/
J. Valencia
Jerónimo Cacciabue
/ Luis Johan Moreno
86'
Daniel Clavijo
/ Rooney Troya
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
83.42%
Universidad ←
8.97%
X
7.61%
Orense
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Universidad Catolica)
83.42%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.99
—
—
1.00
—
—
Lineups
12
J. Lara
G
J. Lara
G
30
E. Mejía
D
E. Mejía
D
37
C. Medina
D
C. Medina
D
33
L. Cangá
D
L. Cangá
D
8
D. Clavijo
1 👟
D
D. Clavijo
1 👟
D
5
J. Cacciabue
86'
M
J. Cacciabue
86'
M
10
F. Martínez
73'
M
F. Martínez
73'
M
32
M. Alonso
1 ⚽
M
M. Alonso
1 ⚽
M
28
M. Díaz
M
M. Díaz
M
11
J. Evans
1 👟
45'
M
J. Evans
1 👟
45'
M
7
J. Fajardo
1 ⚽
F
J. Fajardo
1 ⚽
F
Bench
23
Alex Andrés Rodríguez Reascos
M
Alex Andrés Rodríguez Reascos
M
18
B. Palacios
F
B. Palacios
F
24
Darwin Carlos Nazareno Arroyo
45'
D
Darwin Carlos Nazareno Arroyo
45'
D
44
E. Valencia
D
E. Valencia
D
26
Foad Eid
F
Foad Eid
F
14
J. Mina
17'
D
J. Mina
17'
D
15
L. Moreno
4'
D
L. Moreno
4'
D
1
Lucas Cueva Gordillo
G
Lucas Cueva Gordillo
G
19
M. Sevillano
M
M. Sevillano
M
17
R. Troya
1'
M
R. Troya
1'
M
12
R. Silva
G
R. Silva
G
15
B. Caicedo
D
B. Caicedo
D
5
A. Lorenzo
D
A. Lorenzo
D
24
G. Achilier
D
G. Achilier
D
31
P. Velasco
1 👟
D
P. Velasco
1 👟
D
11
A. Herrera
M
A. Herrera
M
51
C. OrtÃz
84'
M
C. OrtÃz
84'
M
26
N. Molina
M
N. Molina
M
30
V. Burgoa
1 ⚽
M
V. Burgoa
1 ⚽
M
23
Wilson Arturo Chuchuca Arreaga
71'
F
Wilson Arturo Chuchuca Arreaga
71'
F
13
Á. Mena
84'
F
Á. Mena
84'
F
Bench
2
B. Quiñonez
D
B. Quiñonez
D
74
C. Barrio
M
C. Barrio
M
50
E. Hernandez
M
E. Hernandez
M
21
G. Rostagno
M
G. Rostagno
M
22
J. Ortiz
G
J. Ortiz
G
88
J. Valencia
13'
F
J. Valencia
13'
F
53
L. Garces
6'
F
L. Garces
6'
F
19
Michael Alessandro Bermúdez Reyes
6'
F
Michael Alessandro Bermúdez Reyes
6'
F
25
R. Jaramillo
6'
M
R. Jaramillo
6'
M
6
S. Callegari
D
S. Callegari
D
3
Sixto Romario Mina Arroyo
D
Sixto Romario Mina Arroyo
D
57
S. Mairongo
M
S. Mairongo
M
Best on the pitch
D. Clavijo
D · Universidad
7.84
1 👟
1 shots
· 74 pass
J. Fajardo
F · Universidad
7.73
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 26 pass
M. Alonso
M · Universidad
7.60
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 32 pass
L. Cangá
D · Universidad
7.26
· 102 pass
V. Burgoa
M · Orense
7.26
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 30 pass
F. Martínez
M · Universidad
7.20
1 shots
· 73 pass
Universidad Catolica — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Lara | G | 90 | 6.10 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Mejía | D | 90 | 7.05 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 54% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Medina | D | 90 | 7.07 | — | — | 1 | 91 | 85% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Cangá | D | 90 | 7.26 | — | — | 0 | 102 | 95% | 5 | — | — |
| D. Clavijo | D | 95 | 7.84 | — | 1 | 1 | 74 | 70% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Cacciabue | M | 86 | 7.06 | — | — | 0 | 88 | 82% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Martínez | M | 73 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 73 | 69% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Alonso | M | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 4 | 32 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Díaz | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 0 | 99 | 91% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Evans | M | 45 | 6.95 | — | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Fajardo | F | 90 | 7.73 | 1 | — | 3 | 26 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| Darwin Carlos Nazareno Arroyo | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 46 | 40% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Mina | D | 17 | 6.33 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Moreno | D | 4 | 6.23 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Troya | M | 1 | 6.25 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
Orense SC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Silva | G | 90 | 5.87 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Caicedo | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 21% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Lorenzo | D | 90 | 6.34 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Achilier | D | 90 | 6.61 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 24% | 0 | — | — |
| P. Velasco | D | 90 | 6.57 | — | 1 | 0 | 19 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Herrera | M | 90 | 5.77 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| C. OrtÃz | M | 84 | 6.25 | — | — | 0 | 33 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Molina | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 29% | 0 | — | — |
| V. Burgoa | M | 90 | 7.26 | 1 | — | 2 | 30 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Wilson Arturo Chuchuca Arreaga | F | 71 | 6.12 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Á. Mena | F | 84 | 6.82 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Valencia | F | 13 | 6.21 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Garces | F | 6 | 6.39 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Michael Alessandro Bermúdez Reyes | F | 6 | 6.40 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Jaramillo | M | 6 | 6.14 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Universidad Catolica vs Orense SC?
The final score was Universidad Catolica 2–1 Orense SC.
What did the model predict before Universidad Catolica vs Orense SC?
The model assigned 83% probability to a Universidad Catolica win, 8% to a draw, and 7% to an Orense SC win.