Universidad de Chile 4–1 Everton de Vina — pre-match prediction — Primera División — October 26, 2026

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Primera División · Regular Season - 25 October 26, 2026 22:00 Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos, Santiago de Chile

Universidad de Chile

#2 · 48 pts

4 – 1

Final score

Everton de Vina

#4 · 39 pts

Eduardo Vargas (ast. Maximiliano Guerrero) 30'

Eduardo Vargas (ast. Maximiliano Guerrero) 45'+4

Agustín Arce (ast. Maximiliano Guerrero) 57'

Eduardo Vargas (ast. Maximiliano Guerrero) 81'

80' (ast. Josué Miguel Nehemías Ovalle Aranda) Cristian Palacios

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Universidad de Chile a 54% win probability (draw 19%, Everton de Vina 25%). The final result was Universidad de Chile 4–1 Everton de Vina. In 1 previous meetings, Universidad de Chile have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Everton de Vina.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

3.14

Actual xG

1.14

Saves

48%

Possession

52%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

12'

Joaquin Moya

⚽Eduardo Vargas · ast. Maximiliano Guerrero

30'

⚽Eduardo Vargas · ast. Maximiliano Guerrero

45'+4

45'

Josué Miguel Nehemías Ovalle Aranda / nicolas montiel ↕

55'

Julian Alfaro

⚽Agustín Arce · ast. Maximiliano Guerrero

57'

59'

Braian Aaron Martínez / Nicolás Baeza ↕

59'

Hugo Magallanes / Valentin Vidal ↕

↕ Matias Zaldivia / Fabián Hormazabal

62'

↕ Marcelo Ariel Morales Suárez / Nicolás Fernández

63'

↕ Charles Aránguiz / Lucas Emilio Barrera Hacicki

63'

Nicolás Fernández

68'

69'

Braian Aaron Martínez

71'

Alan Medina

↕ Ignacio Vásquez / Octavio Rivero

73'

75'

Cristian Palacios / Julian Alfaro ↕

75'

Gustavo Charrupi / Joaquin Moya ↕

80'

ast. Josué Miguel Nehemías Ovalle Aranda · Cristian Palacios⚽

⚽Eduardo Vargas · ast. Maximiliano Guerrero

81'

↕ Agustín Arce / Marcelo Díaz

81'

85'

86'

Lucas Soto

Pre-match prediction

54.34%

Universidad ←

19.82%

25.83%

Everton

we assigned to the actual result (Universidad de Chile) 54.34% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Universidad

2.24

3.14

+0.9

Everton

1.52

1.14

-0.38

Universidad de Chile dominated by xG (3.14 vs 1.14). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Colo Colo	26	58
2	Universidad de Chile	25	48
3	U. Catolica	25	43
4	Everton de Vina	25	39
5	Palestino	25	38
6	Deportes Limache	25	37
7	Coquimbo Unido	25	35
8	Nublense	25	35
9	D. La Serena	25	33
10	Concepción	25	32
11	Huachipato	24	32
12	A. Italiano	25	30
13	O'Higgins	25	28
14	Cobresal	25	26
15	Universidad de Concepcion	26	23
16	Union La Calera	26	21

Lineups

Universidad de Chile 3-4-3

G. Castellón G 7.52

N. Ramírez D 7.04

M. Zaldivia 62' D 7.29

I. Lichnovsky D 6.94

M. Morales 63' M 6.31

T. Reinhart M 6.47

C. Aránguiz 63' M 6.38

M. Guerrero 4 👟 M 9.30

I. Vásquez 73' F 6.39

E. Vargas 3 ⚽ F 9.69

A. Arce 1 ⚽ 81' F 8.20

Bench

C. Toselli G 0.00

F. Hormazábal 28' F 6.63

G. Añasgo M 0.00

I. Poblete M 0.00

J. Lucero F 0.00

L. Barrera 27' M 6.79

M. Díaz 9' M 6.50

N. Fernández 27' D 6.20

O. Rivero 17' F 6.72

Everton de Vina 4-4-1-1

I. González G 6.69

N. Baeza 59' D 5.43

D. Oyarzún D 5.85

V. Vidal 59' D 6.08

L. Soto 86' D 4.48

E. Ramos M 5.99

J. Moya 75' M 5.98

B. Berríos M 5.49

J. Alfaro 75' M 5.74

A. Medina M 5.91

N. Montiel 44' F 6.22

Bench

B. Martínez 31' F 6.38

C. Palacios 1 ⚽ 15' F 7.22

E. Kirkman G 0.00

G. CharrupÃ 15' F 6.44

H. Magallanes 31' D 5.81

J. Ovalle 1 👟 46' M 6.23

Ó. Opazo D 0.00

R. González D 0.00

V. Vega D 0.00

Best on the pitch

E. Vargas

F · Universidad

9.69

3 ⚽

4 shots · 32 pass

M. Guerrero

M · Universidad

9.30

4 👟

4 shots · 34 pass

A. Arce

F · Universidad

8.20

1 ⚽

2 shots · 21 pass

G. Castellón

G · Universidad

7.52

· 30 pass

M. Zaldivia

D · Universidad

7.29

1 shots · 25 pass

C. Palacios

F · Everton

7.22

1 ⚽

2 shots · 2 pass

Universidad de Chile — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
G. Castellón	G	90	7.52	—	—	0	30	24%	0	—	—
N. Ramírez	D	90	7.04	—	—	0	44	39%	1	—	—
M. Zaldivia	D	62	7.29	—	—	1	25	22%	1	—	—
I. Lichnovsky	D	90	6.94	—	—	0	39	28%	1	—	—
M. Morales	M	63	6.31	—	—	0	15	11%	0	—	—
T. Reinhart	M	90	6.47	—	—	0	23	17%	2	—	—
C. Aránguiz	M	63	6.38	—	—	0	15	14%	2	—	—
M. Guerrero	M	90	9.30	—	4	4	34	29%	0	—	—
I. Vásquez	F	73	6.39	—	—	2	10	7%	1	—	—
E. Vargas	F	90	9.69	3	—	4	32	22%	2	—	—
A. Arce	F	81	8.20	1	—	2	21	13%	2	—	—
F. Hormazábal	F	28	6.63	—	—	0	8	5%	1	—	—
L. Barrera	M	27	6.79	—	—	1	10	10%	1	—	—
M. Díaz	M	9	6.50	—	—	1	8	7%	0	—	—
N. Fernández	D	27	6.20	—	—	0	9	8%	2	1	—
O. Rivero	F	17	6.72	—	—	2	9	8%	1	—	—

Everton de Vina — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
I. González	G	90	6.69	—	—	0	21	16%	0	—	—
N. Baeza	D	59	5.43	—	—	0	28	19%	1	—	—
D. Oyarzún	D	90	5.85	—	—	0	42	39%	0	—	—
V. Vidal	D	59	6.08	—	—	0	20	18%	2	—	—
L. Soto	D	86	4.48	—	—	1	20	16%	0	—	1
E. Ramos	M	90	5.99	—	—	0	21	18%	0	—	—
J. Moya	M	75	5.98	—	—	0	41	35%	2	1	—
B. Berríos	M	90	5.49	—	—	1	51	43%	1	—	—
J. Alfaro	M	75	5.74	—	—	0	16	10%	0	1	—
A. Medina	M	90	5.91	—	—	2	39	29%	3	1	—
N. Montiel	F	44	6.22	—	—	0	8	4%	0	—	—
B. Martínez	F	31	6.38	—	—	1	14	11%	0	1	—
C. Palacios	F	15	7.22	1	—	2	2	2%	0	—	—
G. CharrupÃ	F	15	6.44	—	—	0	8	7%	2	—	—
H. Magallanes	D	31	5.81	—	—	0	6	4%	2	—	—
J. Ovalle	M	46	6.23	—	1	1	21	15%	0	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Universidad de Chile vs Everton de Vina?

The final score was Universidad de Chile 4–1 Everton de Vina.

What did the model predict before Universidad de Chile vs Everton de Vina?

The model assigned 54% probability to a Universidad de Chile win, 19% to a draw, and 25% to an Everton de Vina win.