Universidad de Chile 6–0 Nublense — pre-match prediction — Primera División — October 12, 2026

← Primera División

Primera División · Regular Season - 24 October 12, 2026 22:00 Estadio El Teniente, Rancagua

Universidad de Chile

#2 · 48 pts

6 – 0

Final score

Nublense

#8 · 35 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Universidad de Chile

Maximiliano Guerrero (ast. Agustín Arce) 13'

Maximiliano Guerrero (ast. Ignacio Vásquez) 37'

Agustín Arce (ast. Marcelo Ariel Morales Suárez) 55'

Gonzalo Ezequiel Reyna (ast. Agustín Arce) 73'

Eduardo Vargas (ast. Marcelo Ariel Morales Suárez) 75'

Fabián Hormazabal (ast. Matias Zaldivia) 86'

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Universidad de Chile a 74% win probability (draw 14%, Nublense 10%). The final result was Universidad de Chile 6–0 Nublense. In 1 previous meetings, Universidad de Chile have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Nublense.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

2.69

Actual xG

0.56

Saves

71%

Possession

29%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

⚽Maximiliano Guerrero · ast. Agustín Arce

13'

Tobías Reinhart

18'

⚽Maximiliano Guerrero · ast. Ignacio Vásquez

37'

45'+3

Pablo Calderón

45'

Carlos Salomón / Matías Plaza ↕

45'

Lucas Molina Canto / Ignacio Jeraldino ↕

⚽Agustín Arce · ast. Marcelo Ariel Morales Suárez

55'

↕ Ignacio Vásquez / Gonzalo Ezequiel Reyna

57'

↕ Nicolás Ramírez / Fabián Hormazabal

57'

62'

Fernando Ovelar / Esteban Calderón ↕

62'

Diego Céspedes / Robinson Manuel Rivera Zúñiga ↕

72'

Franco Rami / Gabriel Graciani ↕

⚽Gonzalo Ezequiel Reyna · ast. Agustín Arce

73'

⚽Eduardo Vargas · ast. Marcelo Ariel Morales Suárez

75'

↕ Tobías Reinhart / Israel Poblete

77'

↕ Maximiliano Guerrero / Juan Martin Lucero

77'

↕ Charles Aránguiz / Marcelo Díaz

77'

⚽Fabián Hormazabal · ast. Matias Zaldivia

86'

Pre-match prediction

74.2%

Universidad ←

14.81%

10.99%

Nublense

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Universidad de Chile) 74.2% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Universidad

2.73

2.69

-0.04

Nublense

0.77

0.56

-0.21

Universidad de Chile dominated by xG (2.69 vs 0.56). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Colo Colo	26	58
2	Universidad de Chile	25	48
3	U. Catolica	25	43
4	Everton de Vina	25	39
5	Palestino	25	38
6	Deportes Limache	25	37
7	Coquimbo Unido	25	35
8	Nublense	25	35
9	D. La Serena	25	33
10	Concepción	25	32
11	Huachipato	24	32
12	A. Italiano	25	30
13	O'Higgins	25	28
14	Cobresal	25	26
15	Universidad de Concepcion	26	23
16	Union La Calera	26	21

Lineups

Universidad de Chile 4-2-3-1

G. Castellón G 7.68

M. Morales 2 👟 D 8.60

N. Ramírez 57' D 7.29

M. Zaldivia 1 👟 D 8.14

I. Lichnovsky D 7.74

T. Reinhart 77' M 7.02

C. Aránguiz 77' M 7.20

I. Vásquez 1 👟 57' M 7.45

A. Arce 1 ⚽ 2 👟 M 9.44

M. Guerrero 2 ⚽ 77' M 9.74

E. Vargas 1 ⚽ F 7.89

Bench

C. Toselli G 0.00

F. Hormazábal 1 ⚽ 33' F 7.58

G. Añasgo 1 ⚽ 33' M 8.20

I. Poblete 13' M 7.20

J. Altamirano M 0.00

J. Lucero 13' F 6.51

Matias Riquelme M 0.00

M. Díaz 13' M 7.40

N. Fernández D 0.00

Nublense 3-4-3

N. Pérez G 5.86

S. Valencia D 5.40

F. Campos D 5.14

P. Calderón 45' D 4.30

J. Campusano M 5.61

M. Rivera 62' M 6.01

L. Reyes M 5.90

G. Graciani 72' M 5.50

E. Calderón 62' F 6.19

I. Jeraldino 45' F 6.51

M. Plaza 45' F 6.30

Bench

A. Valdés M 0.00

C. Salomón 45' D 5.56

D. Céspedes 28' M 5.81

D. Saavedra M 0.00

F. Ovelar 28' F 6.64

F. Rami 18' F 6.47

H. Muñoz G 0.00

J. Gonzalez F 0.00

L. Molina 45' F 6.80

Best on the pitch

M. Guerrero

M · Universidad

9.74

2 ⚽

2 shots · 33 pass

A. Arce

M · Universidad

9.44

1 ⚽ 2 👟

5 shots · 69 pass

M. Morales

D · Universidad

8.60

2 👟

1 shots · 68 pass

G. Añasgo

M · Universidad

8.20

1 ⚽

1 shots · 26 pass

M. Zaldivia

D · Universidad

8.14

1 👟

2 shots · 91 pass

E. Vargas

F · Universidad

7.89

1 ⚽

2 shots · 39 pass

Universidad de Chile — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
G. Castellón	G	90	7.68	—	—	0	34	26%	0	—	—
M. Morales	D	90	8.60	—	2	1	68	56%	5	—	—
N. Ramírez	D	57	7.29	—	—	1	39	37%	0	—	—
M. Zaldivia	D	90	8.14	—	1	2	91	84%	3	—	—
I. Lichnovsky	D	90	7.74	—	—	0	78	72%	0	—	—
T. Reinhart	M	77	7.02	—	—	1	60	54%	0	1	—
C. Aránguiz	M	77	7.20	—	—	0	72	65%	1	—	—
I. Vásquez	M	57	7.45	—	1	1	17	13%	0	—	—
A. Arce	M	90	9.44	1	2	5	69	57%	2	—	—
M. Guerrero	M	77	9.74	2	—	2	33	27%	2	—	—
E. Vargas	F	90	7.89	1	—	2	39	35%	0	—	—
F. Hormazábal	F	33	7.58	1	—	1	37	35%	3	—	—
G. Añasgo	M	33	8.20	1	—	1	26	24%	0	—	—
I. Poblete	M	13	7.20	—	—	1	30	27%	0	—	—
J. Lucero	F	13	6.51	—	—	0	5	4%	0	—	—
M. Díaz	M	13	7.40	—	—	0	28	27%	0	—	—

Nublense — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
N. Pérez	G	90	5.86	—	—	0	26	10%	0	—	—
S. Valencia	D	90	5.40	—	—	0	29	21%	1	—	—
F. Campos	D	90	5.14	—	—	0	34	23%	2	—	—
P. Calderón	D	45	4.30	—	—	0	10	4%	1	—	1
J. Campusano	M	90	5.61	—	—	0	21	15%	0	—	—
M. Rivera	M	62	6.01	—	—	3	19	15%	2	—	—
L. Reyes	M	90	5.90	—	—	0	52	39%	0	—	—
G. Graciani	M	72	5.50	—	—	1	20	11%	1	—	—
E. Calderón	F	62	6.19	—	—	0	11	7%	0	—	—
I. Jeraldino	F	45	6.51	—	—	1	9	2%	0	—	—
M. Plaza	F	45	6.30	—	—	0	16	12%	0	—	—
C. Salomón	D	45	5.56	—	—	0	19	16%	1	—	—
D. Céspedes	M	28	5.81	—	—	0	11	9%	0	—	—
F. Ovelar	F	28	6.64	—	—	0	5	2%	0	—	—
F. Rami	F	18	6.47	—	—	1	5	4%	0	—	—
L. Molina	F	45	6.80	—	—	1	13	11%	3	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Universidad de Chile vs Nublense?

The final score was Universidad de Chile 6–0 Nublense.

What did the model predict before Universidad de Chile vs Nublense?

The model assigned 74% probability to a Universidad de Chile win, 14% to a draw, and 10% to an Nublense win.