(pen.)
18'
Daniel Castro
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Deportes Limache a 47% win probability (draw 25%, Universidad de Concepcion 26%). The final result was Universidad de Concepcion 0–1 Deportes Limache. In 1 previous meetings, Universidad de Concepcion have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Deportes Limache.
Match statistics
23
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
4
2.15
Actual xG
1.16
3
Saves
5
62%
Possession
38%
9
Corners
0
15
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
11'
Augusto Ezequiel Aguirre
18'
(pen.)
Daniel Castro⚽
31'
Daniel Castro
Benjamín Sáez
35'
Benjamín Sáez
/ Jorge Espejo
45'
Iam Gonzalez
/ Luis Rojas
66'
Antonio Diaz
/ Patricio Fernandez
66'
Harol Salgado
67'
71'
Tiago Hernández Galletto
/
Dylan Escobar
71'
Leonardo Valencia
/
Daniel Castro
Harol Salgado
/ T. Roco
76'
76'
Marcos Arturia
/
Gonzalo Sosa
Facundo Mater
/ Rogelio Funes
76'
90'+3
Carlos Jeremy Morales Gatica
/
Misael Llantén
Pre-match prediction
26.94%
Universidad
25.76%
X
47.29%
Deportes ←
we assigned to the actual result (Deportes Limache)
47.29%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.85
2.15
+1.3
1.43
1.16
-0.27
Universidad de Concepcion dominated by xG (2.15 vs 1.16).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
J. Broun
G
J. Broun
G
11
A. Díaz
66'
D
A. Díaz
66'
D
3
M. Barbieri
D
M. Barbieri
D
17
M. González
D
M. González
D
32
B. Saez
45'
D
B. Saez
45'
D
16
B. Ogaz
M
B. Ogaz
M
7
I. González
66'
M
I. González
66'
M
10
J. Fuentealba
M
J. Fuentealba
M
8
F. Mater
76'
M
F. Mater
76'
M
25
H. Salgado
76'
M
H. Salgado
76'
M
18
C. Waterman
F
C. Waterman
F
Bench
12
D. Matamala
G
D. Matamala
G
34
F. Herrera
M
F. Herrera
M
21
J. Espejo
45'
D
J. Espejo
45'
D
20
L. Rojas
24'
M
L. Rojas
24'
M
23
P. Romero
24'
D
P. Romero
24'
D
22
R. Funes Mori
14'
F
R. Funes Mori
14'
F
26
T. Roco
14'
F
T. Roco
14'
F
23
César
G
César
G
2
A. Aguirre
D
A. Aguirre
D
5
A. Alfonzo
D
A. Alfonzo
D
24
A. Parot
D
A. Parot
D
11
Javier Rojas
M
Javier Rojas
M
6
C. Fuentes
M
C. Fuentes
M
16
J. Meneses
M
J. Meneses
M
25
M. Llantén
89'
M
M. Llantén
89'
M
33
D. Escobar
71'
M
D. Escobar
71'
M
9
G. Sosa
76'
F
G. Sosa
76'
F
19
D. Castro
1 ⚽
71'
F
D. Castro
1 ⚽
71'
F
Bench
3
B. Molina
D
B. Molina
D
17
C. González
G
C. González
G
7
C. Morales
1'
D
C. Morales
1'
D
14
H. Martínez
M
H. Martínez
M
10
L. Valencia
19'
M
L. Valencia
19'
M
26
M. Arturia
14'
F
M. Arturia
14'
F
27
T. Galletto
19'
M
T. Galletto
19'
M
15
V. Álvarez
F
V. Álvarez
F
Best on the pitch
César
G · Deportes
7.92
· 34 pass
M. Barbieri
D · Universidad
7.09
1 shots
· 83 pass
B. Ogaz
M · Universidad
7.04
· 68 pass
D. Castro
F · Deportes
7.02
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 15 pass
M. Llantén
M · Deportes
6.89
· 24 pass
M. Arturia
F · Deportes
6.81
1 shots
· 4 pass
Universidad de Concepcion — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Broun | G | 90 | 6.58 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Díaz | D | 66 | 6.67 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Barbieri | D | 90 | 7.09 | — | — | 1 | 83 | 74% | 2 | — | — |
| M. González | D | 90 | 6.59 | — | — | 0 | 68 | 61% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Saez | D | 45 | 5.83 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 8% | 1 | 1 | — |
| B. Ogaz | M | 90 | 7.04 | — | — | 0 | 68 | 58% | 4 | — | — |
| I. González | M | 66 | 6.33 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Fuentealba | M | 90 | 6.12 | — | — | 5 | 58 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Mater | M | 76 | 6.40 | — | — | 2 | 43 | 36% | 0 | — | — |
| H. Salgado | M | 76 | 6.24 | — | — | 4 | 25 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Waterman | F | 90 | 6.39 | — | — | 5 | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Espejo | D | 45 | 6.78 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 28% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Rojas | M | 24 | 6.51 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| P. Romero | D | 24 | 6.34 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Funes Mori | F | 14 | 6.24 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Roco | F | 14 | 6.55 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
Deportes Limache — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| César | G | 90 | 7.92 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Aguirre | D | 90 | 6.31 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Alfonzo | D | 90 | 6.79 | — | — | 0 | 37 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Parot | D | 90 | 6.38 | — | — | 0 | 42 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Javier Rojas | M | 90 | 6.27 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Fuentes | M | 90 | 6.63 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Meneses | M | 90 | 6.11 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Llantén | M | 89 | 6.89 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Escobar | M | 71 | 6.53 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Sosa | F | 76 | 6.02 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Castro | F | 71 | 7.02 | 1 | — | 3 | 15 | 9% | 0 | 1 | — |
| C. Morales | D | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Valencia | M | 19 | 6.40 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Arturia | F | 14 | 6.81 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Galletto | M | 19 | 6.53 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Universidad de Concepcion vs Deportes Limache?
The final score was Universidad de Concepcion 0–1 Deportes Limache.
What did the model predict before Universidad de Concepcion vs Deportes Limache?
The model assigned 26% probability to a Universidad de Concepcion win, 25% to a draw, and 47% to an Deportes Limache win.