Universitario de Vinto 1–3 Real Oruro — pre-match prediction — División Profesional — October 10, 2026

← División Profesional

División Profesional · Apertura - 21 October 10, 2026 21:00

Universitario de Vinto

#13 · 21 pts

1 – 3

Final score

Real Oruro

#11 · 27 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Universitario de Vinto, result Real Oruro wins

Oswaldo Blanco (ast. Andrés Veizaga) 79'

1' (ast. F. Gatti) A. Bravo

4' (ast. Denis Pinto) A. Bravo

75' Yerco·Vallejos

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Universitario de Vinto a 61% win probability (draw 19%, Real Oruro 19%). The final result was Universitario de Vinto 1–3 Real Oruro. In 3 previous meetings, Universitario de Vinto have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Real Oruro.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.96

Actual xG

2.29

Saves

58%

Possession

42%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

ast. F. Gatti · A. Bravo⚽

ast. Denis Pinto · A. Bravo⚽

Joel Calicho

17'

Reymar José Balceras Cuellar

J. Careaga

22'

↕ Brayan·Calderon / Didi Torrico

33'

39'

E. Rivera

42'

Santos García Cuéllar / Reymar José Balceras Cuellar ↕

50'

Didi Torrico

50'

52'

(missed pen.) F. Gatti⚽

↕ Guilder Cuellar / Rodrigo Andrés Llano Montes

56'

↕ H. Rodríguez / Oswaldo Blanco

56'

62'

Juan Montenegro / Jhámil Rodrigo Ari Cruz ↕

62'

D. Castellón / E. Rivera ↕

65'

Juan Montenegro

Felipe Pasadore

68'

M. Gómez

69'

70'

Juan Pablo Gómez Perez / Hernán Tifner ↕

70'

Yerco·Vallejos / A. Bravo ↕

75'

Yerco·Vallejos⚽

↕ Felipe Pasadore / Andrés Veizaga

76'

↕ Richard Dorrego / Diego Jahdiel Saavedra Rocha

76'

⚽Oswaldo Blanco · ast. Andrés Veizaga

79'

Pre-match prediction

61.31%

Universitario

19.38%

19.31%

Real ←

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Real Oruro) 19.31% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Universitario

2.17

1.96

-0.21

Real

1.03

2.29

+1.26

Real Oruro dominated by xG (2.29 vs 1.96). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Bolívar	23	54
2	Always Ready	23	51
3	The Strongest	23	45
4	Real Potosí	23	38
5	Oriente Petrolero	23	37
6	Aurora	23	34
7	Nacional Potosí	23	31
8	Guabirá	23	30
9	Independiente Petrolero	23	29
10	Blooming	23	28
11	Real Oruro	23	27
12	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	23	24
13	Universitario de Vinto	23	21
14	Gualberto Villarroel SJ	23	20
15	ABB	23	20
16	Real Tomayapo	23	20

Lineups

Universitario de Vinto 4-2-3-1

J. Careaga G 6.30

Julio Lazarte D 5.84

J. Pinto D 5.80

B. Calderon 33' D 5.95

E. Mendoza D 6.68

H. Rodríguez 56' M 6.26

Marco Gomez M 6.37

H. Dorrego 76' M 7.06

J. Calicho M 6.88

G. Cuellar 56' M 5.89

F. Pasadore 76' F 6.75

Bench

A. Cuestas D 0.00

A. Jara D 0.00

A. Llano 34' F 6.21

Didí Torrico 57' M 5.86

D. Saavedra 14' F 6.55

D. Vargas D 0.00

Gustavo Alexis Visalla Condori D 0.00

J. Veizaga 1 👟 14' M 6.52

L. Cabrera Suarez M 0.00

O. Blanco 1 ⚽ 34' F 7.27

S. Mendoza F 0.00

Real Oruro 4-4-2

I. Peña G 7.52

R. J. Balceras Cuellar 42' D 6.10

E. Rivera 62' D 6.41

L. Corulo D 7.22

Y. Calle D 6.18

J. Ari Cruz 62' M 6.41

A. Rivera M 6.83

H. Tifner 70' M 6.33

F. Gatti 1 👟 M 6.91

D. Pinto 1 👟 F 7.02

Adán Alexis Félix Bravo 2 ⚽ 70' F 9.25

Bench

A. Quiñonez F 0.00

C. Siles M 0.00

D. Castellón 28' D 6.61

F. Vargas D 0.00

J. Montenegro 28' F 6.45

J. P. Gomez 20' M 6.49

R. Ardaya M 0.00

R. Méndez D 0.00

S. Garcia 48' F 6.56

Y. Vallejos 1 ⚽ 20' F 7.65

Best on the pitch

Adán Alexis Félix Bravo

F · Real

9.25

2 ⚽

2 shots · 18 pass

Y. Vallejos

F · Real

7.65

1 ⚽

2 shots · 8 pass

I. Peña

G · Real

7.52

· 26 pass

O. Blanco

F · Universitario

7.27

1 ⚽

2 shots · 10 pass

L. Corulo

D · Real

7.22

4 shots · 26 pass

H. Dorrego

M · Universitario

7.06

2 shots · 14 pass

Universitario de Vinto — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
J. Careaga	G	90	6.30	—	—	0	14	11%	0	1	—
Julio Lazarte	D	90	5.84	—	—	0	14	13%	3	—	—
J. Pinto	D	90	5.80	—	—	4	22	13%	2	—	—
B. Calderon	D	33	5.95	—	—	0	9	7%	0	—	—
E. Mendoza	D	90	6.68	—	—	1	32	30%	5	—	—
H. Rodríguez	M	56	6.26	—	—	2	19	14%	0	—	—
Marco Gomez	M	90	6.37	—	—	1	48	41%	0	1	—
H. Dorrego	M	76	7.06	—	—	2	14	9%	1	—	—
J. Calicho	M	90	6.88	—	—	4	30	26%	1	1	—
G. Cuellar	M	56	5.89	—	—	0	17	14%	0	—	—
F. Pasadore	F	76	6.75	—	—	2	16	11%	0	1	—
A. Llano	F	34	6.21	—	—	4	8	7%	0	—	—
Didí Torrico	M	57	5.86	—	—	0	38	27%	1	1	—
D. Saavedra	F	14	6.55	—	—	2	11	8%	0	—	—
J. Veizaga	M	14	6.52	—	1	0	7	6%	0	—	—
O. Blanco	F	34	7.27	1	—	2	10	6%	1	—	—

Real Oruro — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
I. Peña	G	90	7.52	—	—	0	26	14%	0	—	—
R. J. Balceras Cuellar	D	42	6.10	—	—	0	5	3%	0	1	—
E. Rivera	D	62	6.41	—	—	0	7	3%	1	1	—
L. Corulo	D	90	7.22	—	—	4	26	18%	2	—	—
Y. Calle	D	90	6.18	—	—	0	21	16%	1	—	—
J. Ari Cruz	M	62	6.41	—	—	1	12	9%	1	—	—
A. Rivera	M	90	6.83	—	—	0	18	14%	4	—	—
H. Tifner	M	70	6.33	—	—	0	20	17%	0	—	—
F. Gatti	M	90	6.91	—	1	1	18	12%	7	—	—
D. Pinto	F	90	7.02	—	1	1	12	10%	0	—	—
Adán Alexis Félix Bravo	F	70	9.25	2	—	2	18	15%	1	—	—
D. Castellón	D	28	6.61	—	—	0	4	1%	0	—	—
J. Montenegro	F	28	6.45	—	—	0	9	7%	0	1	—
J. P. Gomez	M	20	6.49	—	—	0	11	8%	1	—	—
S. Garcia	F	48	6.56	—	—	2	10	9%	0	—	—
Y. Vallejos	F	20	7.65	1	—	2	8	6%	0	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Universitario de Vinto vs Real Oruro?

The final score was Universitario de Vinto 1–3 Real Oruro.

What did the model predict before Universitario de Vinto vs Real Oruro?

The model assigned 61% probability to a Universitario de Vinto win, 19% to a draw, and 19% to an Real Oruro win.