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Liga 1 · Apertura - 15 May 16, 2026 03:00 Estadio Monumental, Lima
Universitario
#2 · 61 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Atletico Grau
#11 · 21 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Universitario, result Atletico Grau wins
46' (ast. R. Guarderas) R. Ruidiaz
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Universitario a 59% win probability (draw 23%, Atletico Grau 17%). The final result was Universitario 0–1 Atletico Grau. In 1 previous meetings, Universitario have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Atletico Grau.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
5
3
Shots on target
1
1
Saves
3
63%
Possession
37%
8
Corners
0
15
Tackles
19
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
M. Di Benedetto
25'
A. Polo
33'
↕ E. Flores / H. Fertoli
46'
46'
P. de la Cruz / A. Vasquez ↕
46'
R. Guarderas
46'
ast. R. Guarderas · R. Ruidiaz⚽
55'
L. Acevedo
J. Murrugarra
58'
↕ M. Perez Guedes / B. Reyna
64'
↕ J. Murrugarra / J. Castillo
64'
68'
E. Rodas / G. E. Alfaro Martinez ↕
↕ L. Alzugaray / J. Rivera
79'
82'
I. Camargo / R. Ruidiaz ↕
82'
N. Delgadillo / C. Neira ↕
Pre-match prediction
59.63%
Universitario
23.2%
X
17.18%
Atletico ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Atletico Grau) 17.18% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Universitario
1.66
—
—
Atletico
0.65
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 33 69
2 Universitario Universitario 33 61
3 FBC Melgar FBC Melgar 33 57
4 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 33 55
5 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 33 51
6 Cusco Cusco 33 51
7 Cienciano Cienciano 33 50
8 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 33 50
9 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 33 49
10 Club Deportivo Los Chankas Club Deportivo Los Chankas 33 48
11 Sport Boys Sport Boys 33 46
12 Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College 33 41
13 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 33 37
14 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 33 37
15 ADT ADT 33 32
16 FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca 33 31
17 UCV Moquegua UCV Moquegua 33 30
18 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 33 19
Lineups
Universitario Universitario 3-1-4-2
25 M. Vargas M. Vargas G 6.30
5 M. Di Benedetto M. Di Benedetto D 6.30
3 W. Riveros W. Riveros D 6.50
2 C. Fara C. Fara D 6.90
23 J. Murrugarra J. Murrugarra 64' M 6.30
33 C. Inga C. Inga M 6.90
17 J. Concha J. Concha M 7.90
16 Martín Pérez Guedes Martín Pérez Guedes 64' M 6.60
24 A. Polo A. Polo 33' M 5.20
19 É. Flores É. Flores 45' F 6.90
30 Lisandro Joel Alzugaray Lisandro Joel Alzugaray 79' F 6.50
Bench
29 A. Corzo A. Corzo D
4 A. Santamaría A. Santamaría D
77 B. Reyna B. Reyna 26' F 6.60
1 D. Romero D. Romero G
8 H. Fértoli H. Fértoli 45' M 6.30
6 Jesús Castillo Jesús Castillo 26' M 6.60
11 J. Rivera J. Rivera 11' F 6.70
99 Miguel Silveira Miguel Silveira M
14 P. Reyna P. Reyna D
Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 3-4-3
1 P. Álvarez P. Álvarez G 7.20
3 I. Tapia I. Tapia D 7.20
2 L. Acevedo L. Acevedo D 7.20
27 R. Tapia R. Tapia D 7.30
25 G. Alfaro G. Alfaro 68' M 6.60
66 A. De la Cruz A. De la Cruz M 7.20
5 R. Guarderas R. Guarderas 1 👟 M 7.00
4 D. Rodríguez D. Rodríguez M 6.30
22 C. Neira C. Neira 82' F 7.20
9 R. Ruidíaz R. Ruidíaz 1 ⚽ 82' F 8.00
20 A. Vásquez A. Vásquez 45' F 6.30
Bench
12 Aarom Fuentes Aarom Fuentes G
21 E. Correa E. Correa M
29 Emiliano Franco Emiliano Franco M
6 E. Rodas E. Rodas 22' D 6.90
19 Isaac Camargo Isaac Camargo 8' F 6.60
16 J. Ataupillco J. Ataupillco D
11 N. Delgadillo N. Delgadillo 8' F 6.30
10 P. de la Cruz P. de la Cruz 45' M 6.70
24 Yamir Ruidíaz Misitich Yamir Ruidíaz Misitich F
Best on the pitch
R. Ruidíaz
R. Ruidíaz
F · Atletico
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots · 10 pass
J. Concha
J. Concha
M · Universitario
7.90
1 shots · 61 pass
R. Tapia
R. Tapia
D · Atletico
7.30
· 30 pass
A. De la Cruz
A. De la Cruz
M · Atletico
7.20
1 shots · 21 pass
C. Neira
C. Neira
F · Atletico
7.20
· 21 pass
L. Acevedo
L. Acevedo
D · Atletico
7.20
· 31 pass
Universitario Universitario — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Vargas G 90 6.30 — — — 18 14% — — —
M. Di Benedetto D 90 6.30 — — — 56 48% 1 1 —
W. Riveros D 90 6.50 — — 2 40 34% 1 — —
C. Fara D 90 6.90 — — 1 46 35% 4 — —
J. Murrugarra M 64 6.30 — — — 32 26% 2 1 —
C. Inga M 90 6.90 — — — 51 45% 3 — —
J. Concha M 90 7.90 — — 1 61 55% 2 — —
Martín Pérez Guedes M 64 6.60 — — — 28 26% — — —
A. Polo M 33 5.20 — — — 19 17% — — 1
É. Flores F 45 6.90 — — 1 15 11% 1 — —
Lisandro Joel Alzugaray F 79 6.50 — — 4 16 13% 1 — —
B. Reyna F 26 6.60 — — — 7 7% — — —
H. Fértoli M 45 6.30 — — 1 27 22% — — —
Jesús Castillo M 26 6.60 — — — 33 24% — — —
J. Rivera F 11 6.70 — — 1 4 4% — — —
Atletico Grau Atletico Grau — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
P. Álvarez G 90 7.20 — — — 25 14% — — —
I. Tapia D 90 7.20 — — — 29 26% — — —
L. Acevedo D 90 7.20 — — — 31 23% — 1 —
R. Tapia D 90 7.30 — — — 30 23% 3 — —
G. Alfaro M 68 6.60 — — — 16 13% — — —
A. De la Cruz M 90 7.20 — — 1 21 16% 8 — —
R. Guarderas M 90 7.00 — 1 — 28 21% 1 1 —
D. Rodríguez M 90 6.30 — — — 20 11% 3 — —
C. Neira F 82 7.20 — — — 21 16% 2 — —
R. Ruidíaz F 82 8.00 1 — 2 10 9% — — —
A. Vásquez F 45 6.30 — — 1 12 6% 1 — —
E. Rodas D 22 6.90 — — — 12 10% — — —
Isaac Camargo F 8 6.60 — — — 6 5% — — —
N. Delgadillo F 8 6.30 — — 1 4 3% — — —
P. de la Cruz M 45 6.70 — — — 8 8% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Universitario vs Atletico Grau?
The final score was Universitario 0–1 Atletico Grau.
What did the model predict before Universitario vs Atletico Grau?
The model assigned 59% probability to a Universitario win, 23% to a draw, and 17% to an Atletico Grau win.