✗Model wrong — prediction Universitario, result Draw
César Inga
(ast. Jairo Concha)
50'
Gianluca Lapadula
83'
(pen.)
44'
(ast. Jean Olivares)
Jhon Sánchez
53'
(ast. Rodrigo Vilca)
Flavio Alcedo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Universitario a 72% win probability (draw 13%, Comerciantes Unidos 14%). The final result was Universitario 2–2 Comerciantes Unidos. In 1 previous meetings, Universitario have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Comerciantes Unidos.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
5
3
Saves
3
53%
Possession
47%
7
Corners
3
12
Tackles
11
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
18'
Fabio Rojas
21'
Matías Eric Sen
Juan Manuel Requena
25'
44'
ast. Jean Olivares ·
Jhon Sánchez⚽
Juan Manuel Requena
/ Jorge Murrugarra
45'
Adrian Quiroz
/ Piero Quispe
45'
⚽César Inga
· ast. Jairo Concha
50'
53'
ast. Rodrigo Vilca ·
Flavio Alcedo⚽
Gianluca Lapadula
62'
66'
Piero Guzmán
/
Jhon Sánchez
66'
Agustín Rodríguez
/
Alexis Arias
Caín Fara
/ Lisandro Alzugaray
77'
81'
⚽Gianluca Lapadula
(pen.)
83'
84'
Josuee Herrera
/
Rodrigo Vilca
85'
Jorge Murrugarra
88'
90'+6
Paolo Fuentes
/
Jose Antonio·Parodi
90'+6
Maximiliano Pérez
/
Matías Eric Sen
Pre-match prediction
72.14%
Universitario
13.44%
X ←
14.42%
Comerciantes
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
13.44%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
4.31
—
—
2.02
—
—
Lineups
1
D. Romero
G
D. Romero
G
5
M. Di Benedetto
D
M. Di Benedetto
D
3
W. Riveros
D
W. Riveros
D
2
C. Fara
77'
D
C. Fara
77'
D
33
C. Inga
1 ⚽
M
C. Inga
1 ⚽
M
17
J. Concha
1 👟
M
J. Concha
1 👟
M
15
J. Requena
45'
M
J. Requena
45'
M
28
A. Quiróz
45'
M
A. Quiróz
45'
M
24
A. Polo
M
A. Polo
M
20
A. Valera
F
A. Valera
F
18
G. Lapadula
1 ⚽
F
G. Lapadula
1 ⚽
F
Bench
4
A. Santamaría
D
A. Santamaría
D
10
H. Calcaterra
M
H. Calcaterra
M
8
H. Fértoli
M
H. Fértoli
M
70
J. Gutiérrez
D
J. Gutiérrez
D
23
J. Murrugarra
45'
M
J. Murrugarra
45'
M
11
J. Rivera
F
J. Rivera
F
30
Lisandro Joel Alzugaray
13'
F
Lisandro Joel Alzugaray
13'
F
25
M. Vargas
G
M. Vargas
G
39
P. Quispe
45'
M
P. Quispe
45'
M
17
M. Córdova
G
M. Córdova
G
15
A. Cossio
D
A. Cossio
D
6
J. Rodriguez
D
J. Rodriguez
D
40
F. Alcedo
1 ⚽
D
F. Alcedo
1 ⚽
D
16
R. Rojas
D
R. Rojas
D
20
J. Parodi
M
J. Parodi
M
4
A. Arias
66'
M
A. Arias
66'
M
25
Rodrigo Gary Vilca Betetta
1 👟
84'
M
Rodrigo Gary Vilca Betetta
1 👟
84'
M
50
J. Olivares
1 👟
M
J. Olivares
1 👟
M
32
J. Sánchez
1 ⚽
66'
M
J. Sánchez
1 ⚽
66'
M
9
M. Sen
F
M. Sen
F
Bench
18
A. Rodríguez
24'
M
A. Rodríguez
24'
M
11
J. Herrera
6'
M
J. Herrera
6'
M
99
José Pablo Alejandro Charún Valdez
G
José Pablo Alejandro Charún Valdez
G
13
M. Pérez
1'
F
M. Pérez
1'
F
30
P. Guzmán
24'
D
P. Guzmán
24'
D
14
Thiago Salinas
M
Thiago Salinas
M
8
W. Ayoví
F
W. Ayoví
F
54
Y. Gamero
M
Y. Gamero
M
Best on the pitch
C. Inga
M · Universitario
7.87
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 37 pass
J. Concha
M · Universitario
7.70
1 👟
3 shots
· 61 pass
F. Alcedo
D · Comerciantes
7.64
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 49 pass
J. Sánchez
M · Comerciantes
7.63
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 17 pass
Rodrigo Gary Vilca Betetta
M · Comerciantes
7.49
1 👟
1 shots
· 31 pass
J. Olivares
M · Comerciantes
7.30
1 👟
· 21 pass
Universitario — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Romero | G | 90 | 6.25 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Di Benedetto | D | 90 | 6.49 | — | — | 0 | 44 | 38% | 0 | — | — |
| W. Riveros | D | 90 | 6.77 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 36% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Fara | D | 77 | 6.54 | — | — | 0 | 49 | 46% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Inga | M | 90 | 7.87 | 1 | — | 1 | 37 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Concha | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 3 | 61 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Requena | M | 45 | 6.39 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 26% | 3 | 1 | — |
| A. Quiróz | M | 45 | 6.64 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Polo | M | 90 | 6.76 | — | — | 0 | 50 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Valera | F | 90 | 6.62 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Lapadula | F | 90 | 6.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 17 | 10% | 0 | 1 | — |
| J. Murrugarra | M | 45 | 6.10 | — | — | 0 | 46 | 39% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Lisandro Joel Alzugaray | F | 13 | 6.74 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| P. Quispe | M | 45 | 6.33 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
Comerciantes Unidos — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Córdova | G | 90 | 6.36 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Cossio | D | 90 | 6.64 | — | — | 0 | 44 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Rodriguez | D | 90 | 6.73 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 28% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Alcedo | D | 90 | 7.64 | 1 | — | 2 | 49 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Rojas | D | 90 | 6.06 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 32% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Parodi | M | 96 | 6.25 | — | — | 0 | 46 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Arias | M | 66 | 6.24 | — | — | 0 | 53 | 45% | 0 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Gary Vilca Betetta | M | 84 | 7.49 | — | 1 | 1 | 31 | 30% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Olivares | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 0 | 21 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Sánchez | M | 66 | 7.63 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Sen | F | 96 | 6.39 | — | — | 3 | 22 | 19% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Rodríguez | M | 24 | 6.55 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Herrera | M | 6 | 6.35 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Pérez | F | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| P. Guzmán | D | 24 | 5.94 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Universitario vs Comerciantes Unidos?
The final score was Universitario 2–2 Comerciantes Unidos.
What did the model predict before Universitario vs Comerciantes Unidos?
The model assigned 72% probability to a Universitario win, 13% to a draw, and 14% to an Comerciantes Unidos win.