Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 2
April 15, 2026 04:00
13'
(ast. J. Cornejo)
C. Zavala
49'
(ast. B. Chandia)
N. Johansen
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Universitario a 35% win probability (draw 33%, Coquimbo Unido 31%). The final result was Universitario 0–2 Coquimbo Unido. In 1 previous meetings, Universitario have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Coquimbo Unido.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
4
4
Shots on target
2
0.31
Actual xG
1.86
0
Saves
4
68%
Possession
32%
7
Corners
2
11
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
13'
ast. J. Cornejo ·
C. Zavala⚽
M. Di Benedetto
/ C. Inga
25'
S. Gassama
33'
46'
L. Riveros
/
C. Zavala
49'
ast. B. Chandia ·
N. Johansen⚽
S. Gassama
/ B. Reyna
59'
Miguel Silveira
/ H. Fertoli
59'
64'
G. Vadala
/
A. E. Azocar Machuca
64'
D. Glaby
/
B. Chandia
W. Riveros
/ A. Santamaria
71'
J. Carabali
/ H. Calcaterra
71'
73'
L. Pratto
/
N. Johansen
80'
S. Cordero
/
A. Camargo
A. Santamaria
90'+2
90'+3
D. Glaby
Pre-match prediction
35.64%
Universitario
33.03%
X
31.33%
Coquimbo ←
we assigned to the actual result (Coquimbo Unido)
31.33%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.93
0.31
-0.62
0.87
1.86
+0.99
Coquimbo Unido dominated by xG (1.86 vs 0.31).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
25
G
27
J. Carabalí
71'
D
J. Carabalí
71'
D
5
M. Di Benedetto
25'
D
M. Di Benedetto
25'
D
3
W. Riveros
71'
D
W. Riveros
71'
D
2
C. Fara
D
C. Fara
D
24
D
17
Jairo Concha
M
Jairo Concha
M
6
Jesús Castillo
M
Jesús Castillo
M
99
Miguel Silveira
59'
M
Miguel Silveira
59'
M
90
Sekou Gassama
59'
F
Sekou Gassama
59'
F
20
Alex Valera
F
Alex Valera
F
Bench
4
A. Santamaría
19'
D
A. Santamaría
19'
D
77
B. Reyna
31'
F
B. Reyna
31'
F
33
César Inga
65'
D
César Inga
65'
D
19
É. Flores
M
É. Flores
M
10
H. Calcaterra
19'
M
H. Calcaterra
19'
M
8
H. Fértoli
31'
M
H. Fértoli
31'
M
23
J. Murrugarra
M
J. Murrugarra
M
11
J. Rivera
F
J. Rivera
F
13
D. Sánchez
G
D. Sánchez
G
16
1 👟
D
3
M. Fernández
D
M. Fernández
D
2
B. Gazzolo
D
B. Gazzolo
D
17
Francisco Salinas
D
Francisco Salinas
D
7
S. Galani
M
S. Galani
M
8
A. Camargo
80'
M
A. Camargo
80'
M
11
A. Azócar
64'
M
A. Azócar
64'
M
30
B. Chandía
1 👟
64'
M
B. Chandía
1 👟
64'
M
15
C. Zavala
1 ⚽
45'
M
C. Zavala
1 ⚽
45'
M
9
N. Johansen
1 ⚽
73'
F
N. Johansen
1 ⚽
73'
F
Bench
5
D. Escobar
D
D. Escobar
D
6
D. Glaby
26'
M
D. Glaby
26'
M
10
G. Vadalá
26'
M
G. Vadalá
26'
M
12
L. Pratto
17'
F
L. Pratto
17'
F
27
L. Riveros
45'
F
L. Riveros
45'
F
18
P. Rodriguez
M
P. Rodriguez
M
28
S. Cabrera
D
S. Cabrera
D
14
S. Cordero
10'
M
S. Cordero
10'
M
Best on the pitch
D. Sánchez
G · Coquimbo
8.20
· 37 pass
D · Coquimbo
8.00
1 👟
· 19 pass
Jesús Castillo
M · Universitario
7.30
· 63 pass
C. Zavala
M · Coquimbo
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 7 pass
B. Chandía
M · Coquimbo
7.20
1 👟
1 shots
· 11 pass
S. Galani
M · Coquimbo
7.20
· 27 pass
Universitario — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — | |
| J. Carabalí | D | 71 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 25% | — | — | — |
| M. Di Benedetto | D | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | — | — | — |
| W. Riveros | D | 71 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 43 | 39% | — | — | — |
| C. Fara | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 50 | 40% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 64 | 58% | 2 | — | — | |
| Jairo Concha | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 77 | 63% | — | — | — |
| Jesús Castillo | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 63 | 50% | 3 | — | — |
| Miguel Silveira | M | 59 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Sekou Gassama | F | 59 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| Alex Valera | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | — | — | — |
| A. Santamaría | D | 19 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 18 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| B. Reyna | F | 31 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| César Inga | D | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 41% | — | — | — |
| H. Calcaterra | M | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| H. Fértoli | M | 31 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
Coquimbo Unido — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Sánchez | G | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 13% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 8.00 | — | 1 | — | 19 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| M. Fernández | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Gazzolo | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Francisco Salinas | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 38 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Galani | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Camargo | M | 80 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Azócar | M | 64 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| B. Chandía | M | 64 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| C. Zavala | M | 45 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | 2% | — | — | — |
| N. Johansen | F | 73 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| D. Glaby | M | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| G. Vadalá | M | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| L. Pratto | F | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 2% | — | — | — |
| L. Riveros | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Cordero | M | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Universitario vs Coquimbo Unido?
The final score was Universitario 0–2 Coquimbo Unido.
What did the model predict before Universitario vs Coquimbo Unido?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Universitario win, 33% to a draw, and 31% to an Coquimbo Unido win.