Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 6
May 27, 2026 02:30
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Universitario a 46% win probability (draw 32%, Deportes Tolima 20%). The final result was Universitario 0–0 Deportes Tolima. In 1 previous meetings, Universitario have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Deportes Tolima.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
6
2
Shots on target
3
0.88
Actual xG
0.19
3
Saves
2
47%
Possession
53%
9
Corners
3
12
Tackles
21
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
H. Fertoli
/ J. Murrugarra
29'
61'
J. P. Torres Patino
/
J. Gonzalez
L. Alzugaray
/ E. Flores
64'
M. Perez Guedes
/ S. Gassama
77'
J. Carabali
/ C. Inga
77'
77'
K. Florez
/
A. Parra Osorio
77'
J. Angulo
/
S. P. Barbosa Gomez
84'
C. Arrieta
87'
J. Mosquera
/
C. Arrieta
90'+6
J. P. Torres Patino
Pre-match prediction
46.97%
Universitario
32.61%
X ←
20.42%
Deportes
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
32.61%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.04
0.88
-0.15
0.53
0.19
-0.34
Universitario dominated by xG (0.88 vs 0.19).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
D. Romero
G
D. Romero
G
5
M. Di Benedetto
D
M. Di Benedetto
D
4
A. Santamaría
D
A. Santamaría
D
2
C. Fara
D
C. Fara
D
27
J. Carabalí
77'
M
J. Carabalí
77'
M
8
H. Fértoli
29'
M
H. Fértoli
29'
M
16
Martín Pérez Guedes
77'
M
Martín Pérez Guedes
77'
M
24
A. Polo
M
A. Polo
M
17
J. Concha
F
J. Concha
F
20
A. Valera
F
A. Valera
F
30
Lisandro Joel Alzugaray
64'
F
Lisandro Joel Alzugaray
64'
F
Bench
29
A. Corzo
D
A. Corzo
D
77
B. Reyna
F
B. Reyna
F
33
C. Inga
17'
D
C. Inga
17'
D
19
É. Flores
30'
M
É. Flores
30'
M
26
H. Ancajima
D
H. Ancajima
D
10
H. Calcaterra
M
H. Calcaterra
M
6
Jesús Castillo
M
Jesús Castillo
M
23
J. Murrugarra
65'
M
J. Murrugarra
65'
M
99
Miguel Silveira
M
Miguel Silveira
M
25
M. Vargas
G
M. Vargas
G
14
P. Reyna
D
P. Reyna
D
90
Sekou Gassama
17'
F
Sekou Gassama
17'
F
1
Neto Volpi
G
Neto Volpi
G
17
C. Arrieta
87'
D
C. Arrieta
87'
D
2
A. Angulo
D
A. Angulo
D
71
Yordan Osorio
D
Yordan Osorio
D
30
Shean Barbosa
77'
M
Shean Barbosa
77'
M
6
C. Trujillo
M
C. Trujillo
M
32
S. Guzmán
M
S. Guzmán
M
28
Edwar López
M
Edwar López
M
80
Brayan Rovira
F
Brayan Rovira
F
24
Adrián Parra
77'
F
Adrián Parra
77'
F
7
J. González
61'
F
J. González
61'
F
Bench
4
D. Pedrozo
D
D. Pedrozo
D
8
Ever Valencia
F
Ever Valencia
F
11
Jader Valencia
F
Jader Valencia
F
3
Jan Ángulo
17'
D
Jan Ángulo
17'
D
33
Jherson Mosquera
7'
D
Jherson Mosquera
7'
D
10
J. Torres
33'
M
J. Torres
33'
M
15
Juan Pablo Nieto
M
Juan Pablo Nieto
M
20
Junior Hernández
D
Junior Hernández
D
18
K. Flórez
17'
F
K. Flórez
17'
F
22
Luis Marquinez
G
Luis Marquinez
G
31
Yoimar Moreno
M
Yoimar Moreno
M
Best on the pitch
J. Concha
F · Universitario
8.50
1 shots
· 58 pass
Edwar López
M · Deportes
7.70
2 shots
· 49 pass
C. Fara
D · Universitario
7.50
1 shots
· 47 pass
A. Santamaría
D · Universitario
7.30
· 74 pass
A. Angulo
D · Deportes
7.30
· 39 pass
S. Guzmán
M · Deportes
7.20
· 81 pass
Universitario — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Romero | G | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
| M. Di Benedetto | D | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 50 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Santamaría | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 74 | 53% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Fara | D | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Carabalí | M | 77 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 16% | — | — | — |
| H. Fértoli | M | 29 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Martín Pérez Guedes | M | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Polo | M | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 27% | — | — | — |
| J. Concha | F | 94 | 8.50 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 47% | — | — | — |
| A. Valera | F | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Lisandro Joel Alzugaray | F | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| C. Inga | D | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 3 | — | — |
| É. Flores | M | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| J. Murrugarra | M | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Sekou Gassama | F | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — |
Deportes Tolima — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neto Volpi | G | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 16% | — | — | — |
| C. Arrieta | D | 87 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 39% | 3 | 1 | — |
| A. Angulo | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| Yordan Osorio | D | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 61 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| Shean Barbosa | M | 77 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | — | — | — |
| C. Trujillo | M | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 43 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Guzmán | M | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 81 | 71% | — | — | — |
| Edwar López | M | 94 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 49 | 35% | 7 | — | — |
| Brayan Rovira | F | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 55 | 48% | 2 | — | — |
| Adrián Parra | F | 77 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| J. González | F | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| Jan Ángulo | D | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Jherson Mosquera | D | 7 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| J. Torres | M | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Flórez | F | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Universitario vs Deportes Tolima?
The final score was Universitario 0–0 Deportes Tolima.
What did the model predict before Universitario vs Deportes Tolima?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Universitario win, 32% to a draw, and 20% to an Deportes Tolima win.