✓Model correct — prediction Universitario
A. Valera
(ast. E. Flores)
23'
C. Fara
28'
A. Valera
65'
(pen.)
J. Rivera
(ast. J. Concha)
84'
72'
(ast. B. Da Silva)
C. Olivares
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Universitario a 61% win probability (draw 21%, Deportivo Garcilaso 16%). The final result was Universitario 4–1 Deportivo Garcilaso.
Match statistics
19
Total shots
6
7
Shots on target
1
0
Saves
3
55%
Possession
45%
10
Corners
1
12
Tackles
20
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽A. Valera
· ast. E. Flores
23'
⚽C. Fara
28'
E. Flores
/ J. Rivera
46'
46'
K. Sandoval
/
A. Ascues
⚽A. Valera
(pen.)
65'
66'
O. Nunez
/
X. Moreno
66'
C. I. Ramos Rodriguez
/
C. Torrejon
66'
A. Graneros
/
A. Gonzalez
72'
ast. B. Da Silva ·
C. Olivares⚽
A. Valera
/ B. Reyna
74'
H. Calcaterra
/ H. Fertoli
74'
74'
J. Sinisterra
/
A. Gomez
79'
C. I. Ramos Rodriguez
J. Castillo
/ J. Murrugarra
80'
⚽J. Rivera
· ast. J. Concha
84'
J. Carabali
/ C. Inga
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
61.54%
Universitario ←
21.48%
X
16.98%
Deportivo
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Universitario)
61.54%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.32
—
—
0.57
—
—
Lineups
25
G
4
Anderson Santamaría
D
Anderson Santamaría
D
3
W. Riveros
D
W. Riveros
D
2
Caín Fara
1 ⚽
D
Caín Fara
1 ⚽
D
27
J. Carabalí
M
J. Carabalí
M
17
J. Concha
1 👟
M
J. Concha
1 👟
M
6
Jesús Castillo
80'
M
Jesús Castillo
80'
M
10
Horacio Calcaterra
74'
M
Horacio Calcaterra
74'
M
24
M
20
A. Valera
2 ⚽
74'
F
A. Valera
2 ⚽
74'
F
19
Edison Flores
1 👟
45'
F
Edison Flores
1 👟
45'
F
Bench
77
Bryan Reyna
22'
F
Bryan Reyna
22'
F
33
César Inga
5'
D
César Inga
5'
D
8
Héctor Fértoli
22'
M
Héctor Fértoli
22'
M
23
Jorge Murrugarra
16'
M
Jorge Murrugarra
16'
M
11
José Rivera
1 ⚽
51'
F
José Rivera
1 ⚽
51'
F
99
Miguel Silveira
M
Miguel Silveira
M
1
G
23
Xavi Moreno
66'
D
Xavi Moreno
66'
D
13
D
2
Aldair Salazar
D
Aldair Salazar
D
19
Agustin Gomez
74'
D
Agustin Gomez
74'
D
55
E. Canales
D
E. Canales
D
14
Claudio Torrejón
66'
M
Claudio Torrejón
66'
M
27
Adrián Ascues
45'
M
Adrián Ascues
45'
M
8
Agustín González
66'
M
Agustín González
66'
M
30
F
24
C. Olivares
1 ⚽
F
C. Olivares
1 ⚽
F
Bench
18
C. Ramos
30'
M
C. Ramos
30'
M
10
Kevin Sandoval
51'
M
Kevin Sandoval
51'
M
29
Miguel Agustín Graneros
30'
F
Miguel Agustín Graneros
30'
F
16
Orlando Nuñez
30'
D
Orlando Nuñez
30'
D
Best on the pitch
A. Valera
F · Universitario
8.30
2 ⚽
6 shots
· 31 pass
J. Concha
M · Universitario
8.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 56 pass
C. Olivares
F · Deportivo
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 22 pass
Caín Fara
D · Universitario
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 28 pass
Horacio Calcaterra
M · Universitario
7.90
1 shots
· 49 pass
Edison Flores
F · Universitario
7.50
1 👟
2 shots
· 14 pass
Universitario — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| Anderson Santamaría | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| W. Riveros | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Caín Fara | D | 96 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 28 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Carabalí | M | 91 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Concha | M | 96 | 8.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 56 | 41% | — | — | — |
| Jesús Castillo | M | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Horacio Calcaterra | M | 74 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 39% | 1 | — | — | |
| A. Valera | F | 74 | 8.30 | 2 | — | 6 | 31 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Edison Flores | F | 45 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 2 | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Bryan Reyna | F | 22 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| César Inga | D | 5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Héctor Fértoli | M | 22 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Jorge Murrugarra | M | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| José Rivera | F | 51 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
Deportivo Garcilaso — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| Xavi Moreno | D | 66 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | — | — | — |
| D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 16% | 1 | — | — | |
| Aldair Salazar | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| Agustin Gomez | D | 74 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 16% | — | — | — |
| E. Canales | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Claudio Torrejón | M | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| Adrián Ascues | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Agustín González | M | 66 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | 4 | — | — |
| F | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 30% | 1 | — | — | |
| C. Olivares | F | 96 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 22 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Ramos | M | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Kevin Sandoval | M | 51 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Miguel Agustín Graneros | F | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Orlando Nuñez | D | 30 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Universitario vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
The final score was Universitario 4–1 Deportivo Garcilaso.
What did the model predict before Universitario vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
The model assigned 61% probability to a Universitario win, 21% to a draw, and 16% to an Deportivo Garcilaso win.