✓Model correct — prediction Universitario
A. Valera
(ast. E. Flores)
23'
C. Fara
28'
A. Valera
65'
(pen.)
J. Rivera
(ast. J. Concha)
84'
72'
(ast. B. Da Silva)
C. Olivares
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Universitario a 61% win probability (draw 21%, Deportivo Garcilaso 16%). The final result was Universitario 4–1 Deportivo Garcilaso. In 1 previous meetings, Universitario have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Deportivo Garcilaso.
Match statistics
19
Total shots
6
7
Shots on target
1
0
Saves
3
55%
Possession
45%
10
Corners
1
12
Tackles
20
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽A. Valera
· ast. E. Flores
23'
⚽C. Fara
28'
E. Flores
/ J. Rivera
46'
46'
K. Sandoval
/
A. Ascues
⚽A. Valera
(pen.)
65'
66'
O. Nunez
/
X. Moreno
66'
C. I. Ramos Rodriguez
/
C. Torrejon
66'
A. Graneros
/
A. Gonzalez
72'
ast. B. Da Silva ·
C. Olivares⚽
A. Valera
/ B. Reyna
74'
H. Calcaterra
/ H. Fertoli
74'
74'
J. Sinisterra
/
A. Gomez
79'
C. I. Ramos Rodriguez
J. Castillo
/ J. Murrugarra
80'
⚽J. Rivera
· ast. J. Concha
84'
J. Carabali
/ C. Inga
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
61.54%
Universitario ←
21.48%
X
16.98%
Deportivo
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Universitario)
61.54%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.32
—
—
0.57
—
—
Lineups
25
G
4
A. Santamaría
D
A. Santamaría
D
3
W. Riveros
D
W. Riveros
D
2
C. Fara
1 ⚽
D
C. Fara
1 ⚽
D
27
J. Carabalí
M
J. Carabalí
M
17
J. Concha
1 👟
M
J. Concha
1 👟
M
6
Jesús Castillo
80'
M
Jesús Castillo
80'
M
10
H. Calcaterra
74'
M
H. Calcaterra
74'
M
24
M
20
A. Valera
2 ⚽
74'
F
A. Valera
2 ⚽
74'
F
19
É. Flores
1 👟
45'
F
É. Flores
1 👟
45'
F
Bench
77
B. Reyna
22'
F
B. Reyna
22'
F
33
C. Inga
5'
D
C. Inga
5'
D
8
H. Fértoli
22'
M
H. Fértoli
22'
M
23
J. Murrugarra
16'
M
J. Murrugarra
16'
M
11
J. Rivera
1 ⚽
51'
F
J. Rivera
1 ⚽
51'
F
99
Miguel Silveira
M
Miguel Silveira
M
1
G
23
X. Moreno
66'
D
X. Moreno
66'
D
13
D
2
A. Salazar
D
A. Salazar
D
19
A. Gómez
74'
D
A. Gómez
74'
D
55
E. Canales
D
E. Canales
D
14
C. Torrejón
66'
M
C. Torrejón
66'
M
27
A. Ascues
45'
M
A. Ascues
45'
M
8
A. González
66'
M
A. González
66'
M
30
F
24
C. Olivares
1 ⚽
F
C. Olivares
1 ⚽
F
Bench
18
C. Ramos
30'
M
C. Ramos
30'
M
10
Kevin Sandoval
51'
M
Kevin Sandoval
51'
M
29
Miguel Agustín Graneros
30'
F
Miguel Agustín Graneros
30'
F
16
O. Núñez
30'
D
O. Núñez
30'
D
Best on the pitch
A. Valera
F · Universitario
8.30
2 ⚽
6 shots
· 31 pass
J. Concha
M · Universitario
8.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 56 pass
C. Olivares
F · Deportivo
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 22 pass
C. Fara
D · Universitario
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 28 pass
H. Calcaterra
M · Universitario
7.90
1 shots
· 49 pass
É. Flores
F · Universitario
7.50
1 👟
2 shots
· 14 pass
Universitario — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| A. Santamaría | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| W. Riveros | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Fara | D | 96 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 28 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Carabalí | M | 91 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Concha | M | 96 | 8.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 56 | 41% | — | — | — |
| Jesús Castillo | M | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Calcaterra | M | 74 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 39% | 1 | — | — | |
| A. Valera | F | 74 | 8.30 | 2 | — | 6 | 31 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| É. Flores | F | 45 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 2 | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| B. Reyna | F | 22 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| C. Inga | D | 5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| H. Fértoli | M | 22 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| J. Murrugarra | M | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Rivera | F | 51 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
Deportivo Garcilaso — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| X. Moreno | D | 66 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | — | — | — |
| D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 16% | 1 | — | — | |
| A. Salazar | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Gómez | D | 74 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 16% | — | — | — |
| E. Canales | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Torrejón | M | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Ascues | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| A. González | M | 66 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | 4 | — | — |
| F | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 30% | 1 | — | — | |
| C. Olivares | F | 96 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 22 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Ramos | M | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Kevin Sandoval | M | 51 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Miguel Agustín Graneros | F | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| O. Núñez | D | 30 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Universitario vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
The final score was Universitario 4–1 Deportivo Garcilaso.
What did the model predict before Universitario vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
The model assigned 61% probability to a Universitario win, 21% to a draw, and 16% to an Deportivo Garcilaso win.