Liga 1 · Apertura - 10 April 23, 2026 03:30 Estadio Monumental, Lima

Universitario

#2 · 61 pts

4 – 1

Final score

Deportivo Garcilaso

#4 · 55 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Universitario

A. Valera (ast. E. Flores) 23'

C. Fara 28'

A. Valera 65' (pen.)

J. Rivera (ast. J. Concha) 84'

72' (ast. B. Da Silva) C. Olivares

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Universitario a 61% win probability (draw 21%, Deportivo Garcilaso 16%). The final result was Universitario 4–1 Deportivo Garcilaso. In 1 previous meetings, Universitario have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Deportivo Garcilaso.

Match statistics

19

Total shots

6

7

Shots on target

1

0

Saves

3

55%

Possession

45%

10

Corners

1

12

Tackles

20

0

🟨 Yellow cards

1

Match Events

⚽A. Valera · ast. E. Flores

23'

⚽C. Fara

28'

↕ E. Flores / J. Rivera

46'

46'

K. Sandoval / A. Ascues ↕

⚽A. Valera (pen.)

65'

66'

O. Nunez / X. Moreno ↕

66'

C. I. Ramos Rodriguez / C. Torrejon ↕

66'

A. Graneros / A. Gonzalez ↕

72'

ast. B. Da Silva · C. Olivares⚽

↕ A. Valera / B. Reyna

74'

↕ H. Calcaterra / H. Fertoli

74'

74'

J. Sinisterra / A. Gomez ↕

79'

C. I. Ramos Rodriguez

↕ J. Castillo / J. Murrugarra

80'

⚽J. Rivera · ast. J. Concha

84'

↕ J. Carabali / C. Inga

90'+1

Pre-match prediction

61.54%

Universitario ←

21.48%

X

16.98%

Deportivo

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Universitario) 61.54% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Universitario

2.32

—

—

Deportivo

0.57

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	33	69
2	Universitario	33	61
3	FBC Melgar	33	57
4	Deportivo Garcilaso	33	55
5	Sporting Cristal	33	51
6	Cusco	33	51
7	Cienciano	33	50
8	Sport Huancayo	33	50
9	Alianza Atletico	33	49
10	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	33	48
11	Sport Boys	33	46
12	Juan Pablo II College	33	41
13	Comerciantes Unidos	33	37
14	Atletico Grau	33	37
15	ADT	33	32
16	FC Cajamarca	33	31
17	UCV Moquegua	33	30
18	UTC Cajamarca	33	19

Lineups

Universitario 3-5-2

25

G 6.20

4 A. Santamaría D 6.30

3 W. Riveros D 6.60

2 C. Fara 1 ⚽ D 7.90

27 J. Carabalí M 6.30

17 J. Concha 1 👟 M 8.30

6 Jesús Castillo 80' M 6.90

10 H. Calcaterra 74' M 7.90

24

M 7.30

20 A. Valera 2 ⚽ 74' F 8.30

19 É. Flores 1 👟 45' F 7.50

Bench

77 B. Reyna 22' F 6.20

33 C. Inga 5' D

8 H. Fértoli 22' M 6.60

23 J. Murrugarra 16' M 6.70

11 J. Rivera 1 ⚽ 51' F 7.30

99 Miguel Silveira M

Deportivo Garcilaso 5-3-2

1

G 5.90

23 X. Moreno 66' D 5.70

13

D 6.20

2 A. Salazar D 6.30

19 A. Gómez 74' D 6.20

55 E. Canales D 6.20

14 C. Torrejón 66' M 6.30

27 A. Ascues 45' M 6.60

8 A. González 66' M 6.90

30

F 6.30

24 C. Olivares 1 ⚽ F 8.20

Bench

18 C. Ramos 30' M 6.90

10 Kevin Sandoval 51' M 6.50

29 M. Graneros 30' F 6.30

16 O. Núñez 30' D 6.00

Best on the pitch

A. Valera

F · Universitario

8.30

2 ⚽

6 shots · 31 pass

J. Concha

M · Universitario

8.30

1 👟

1 shots · 56 pass

C. Olivares

F · Deportivo

8.20

1 ⚽

2 shots · 22 pass

C. Fara

D · Universitario

7.90

1 ⚽

2 shots · 28 pass

H. Calcaterra

M · Universitario

7.90

1 shots · 49 pass

É. Flores

F · Universitario

7.50

1 👟

2 shots · 14 pass

Universitario — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	96	6.20	—	—	—	18	13%	—	—	—
A. Santamaría	D	96	6.30	—	—	1	29	23%	2	—	—
W. Riveros	D	96	6.60	—	—	1	32	24%	1	—	—
C. Fara	D	96	7.90	1	—	2	28	26%	2	—	—
J. Carabalí	M	91	6.30	—	—	—	35	23%	1	—	—
J. Concha	M	96	8.30	—	1	1	56	41%	—	—	—
Jesús Castillo	M	80	6.90	—	—	1	42	35%	1	—	—
H. Calcaterra	M	74	7.90	—	—	1	49	42%	1	—	—
	M	96	7.30	—	—	1	47	39%	1	—	—
A. Valera	F	74	8.30	2	—	6	31	28%	2	—	—
É. Flores	F	45	7.50	—	1	2	14	12%	—	—	—
B. Reyna	F	22	6.20	—	—	—	4	1%	—	—	—
C. Inga	D	5	—	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
H. Fértoli	M	22	6.60	—	—	1	4	3%	—	—	—
J. Murrugarra	M	16	6.70	—	—	—	7	6%	1	—	—
J. Rivera	F	51	7.30	1	—	2	8	6%	—	—	—

Deportivo Garcilaso — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	96	5.90	—	—	—	32	20%	—	—	—
X. Moreno	D	66	5.70	—	—	—	21	16%	—	—	—
	D	96	6.20	—	—	—	23	16%	1	—	—
A. Salazar	D	96	6.30	—	—	—	16	12%	3	—	—
A. Gómez	D	74	6.20	—	—	1	25	16%	—	—	—
E. Canales	D	96	6.20	—	—	1	39	33%	2	—	—
C. Torrejón	M	66	6.30	—	—	—	23	19%	3	—	—
A. Ascues	M	45	6.60	—	—	—	11	10%	2	—	—
A. González	M	66	6.90	—	—	—	31	26%	4	—	—
	F	96	6.30	—	—	1	36	30%	1	—	—
C. Olivares	F	96	8.20	1	—	2	22	17%	2	—	—
C. Ramos	M	30	6.90	—	—	—	21	15%	2	1	—
Kevin Sandoval	M	51	6.50	—	—	—	24	19%	—	—	—
M. Graneros	F	30	6.30	—	—	—	4	3%	—	—	—
O. Núñez	D	30	6.00	—	—	1	10	7%	—	—	—