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Liga 1 · Clausura - 11 October 11, 2026 02:00 Estadio Monumental, Lima
Universitario
#2 · 56 pts
2 – 2
Final score
FBC Melgar
#3 · 54 pts
Alex Valera (ast. Horacio Calcaterra) 84'
Alex Valera (ast. Edison Flores) 86'
39' (ast. Nicolas Quagliata) Bernardo Cuesta
56' Cristian Bordacahar
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Universitario a 52% win probability (draw 17%, FBC Melgar 29%). The final result was Universitario 2–2 FBC Melgar. In 2 previous meetings, Universitario have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for FBC Melgar.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
12
4
Shots on target
6
1.36
Actual xG
1.70
4
Saves
2
46%
Possession
54%
9
Corners
3
15
Tackles
12
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Caín Fara
16'
20'
Juan Escobar
39'
ast. Nicolas Quagliata · Bernardo Cuesta⚽
↕ Jorge Murrugarra / Piero Quispe
45'
56'
Cristian Bordacahar⚽
61'
Walter Tandazo
↕ Gianluca Lapadula / Lisandro Alzugaray
66'
↕ Caín Fara / Edison Flores
67'
69'
Matias Zegarra / Bernardo Cuesta ↕
70'
Johnny Vidales / Lautaro Guzmán ↕
77'
Jesús Alcantar / Nelson Cabanillas ↕
↕ Jairo Concha / José Rivera
82'
⚽Alex Valera · ast. Horacio Calcaterra
84'
86'
Matias Zegarra
⚽Alex Valera · ast. Edison Flores
86'
↕ Horacio Calcaterra / Juan Manuel Requena
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
52.39%
Universitario
17.76%
X ←
29.85%
FBC
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 17.76% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Universitario
3.20
1.36
-1.84
FBC
2.53
1.70
-0.83
FBC Melgar dominated by xG (1.70 vs 1.36). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 31 65
2 Universitario Universitario 30 56
3 FBC Melgar FBC Melgar 31 54
4 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 31 51
5 Cusco Cusco 31 51
6 Cienciano Cienciano 31 50
7 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 31 47
8 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 31 46
9 Club Deportivo Los Chankas Club Deportivo Los Chankas 31 46
10 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 31 44
11 Sport Boys Sport Boys 30 41
12 Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College 31 41
13 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 31 35
14 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 31 34
15 ADT ADT 31 30
16 FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca 31 28
17 UCV Moquegua UCV Moquegua 31 28
18 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 31 18
Lineups
Universitario Universitario 3-1-4-2
1 D. Romero D. Romero G 6.97
2 C. Fara C. Fara 67' D 6.11
3 W. Riveros W. Riveros D 6.34
4 A. Santamaría A. Santamaría D 6.42
23 J. Murrugarra J. Murrugarra 45' M 6.05
33 C. Inga C. Inga M 6.58
17 J. Concha J. Concha 82' M 6.15
10 H. Calcaterra H. Calcaterra 1 👟 89' M 7.12
24 A. Polo A. Polo M 6.60
20 A. Valera A. Valera 2 ⚽ F 9.16
18 G. Lapadula G. Lapadula 66' F 6.23
Bench
29 A. Corzo A. Corzo D 0.00
77 B. Reyna B. Reyna F 0.00
19 É. Flores É. Flores 1 👟 23' M 6.65
8 H. Fértoli H. Fértoli M 0.00
15 J. Requena J. Requena 1' M 0.00
11 J. Rivera J. Rivera 8' F 6.54
30 Lisandro Joel Alzugaray Lisandro Joel Alzugaray 24' F 6.52
25 M. Vargas M. Vargas G 0.00
39 P. Quispe P. Quispe 45' M 6.83
FBC Melgar FBC Melgar 4-2-3-1
21 J. Cabezudo J. Cabezudo G 5.91
27 N. Cabanillas N. Cabanillas 77' D 6.64
3 L. González L. González D 6.30
23 J. Escobar J. Escobar D 6.25
33 M. Lazo M. Lazo D 7.13
24 W. Tandazo W. Tandazo M 6.46
25 K. Minda K. Minda M 6.88
8 L. Guzmán L. Guzmán 70' M 6.65
10 N. Quagliata N. Quagliata 1 👟 M 6.83
7 C. Bordacahar C. Bordacahar 1 ⚽ M 7.63
9 B. Cuesta B. Cuesta 1 ⚽ 69' F 7.93
Bench
5 A. Deneumostier A. Deneumostier D 0.00
12 C. Cáceda C. Cáceda G 0.00
77 F. Zanelatto F. Zanelatto F 0.00
90 J. Alcántar J. Alcántar 13' D 6.40
16 J. Cáceres J. Cáceres M 0.00
80 J. D´Arrigo J. D´Arrigo M 0.00
11 J. Vidales J. Vidales 20' F 6.60
45 Matias Zegarra Matias Zegarra 21' D 6.00
36 P. Nunez P. Nunez M 0.00
Best on the pitch
A. Valera
A. Valera
F · Universitario
9.16
2 ⚽
5 shots · 15 pass
B. Cuesta
B. Cuesta
F · FBC
7.93
1 ⚽
2 shots · 10 pass
C. Bordacahar
C. Bordacahar
M · FBC
7.63
1 ⚽
4 shots · 53 pass
M. Lazo
M. Lazo
D · FBC
7.13
· 73 pass
H. Calcaterra
H. Calcaterra
M · Universitario
7.12
1 👟
1 shots · 44 pass
D. Romero
D. Romero
G · Universitario
6.97
· 11 pass
Universitario Universitario — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Romero G 90 6.97 — — 0 11 5% 0 — —
C. Fara D 67 6.11 — — 1 34 26% 1 1 —
W. Riveros D 90 6.34 — — 0 36 30% 2 — —
A. Santamaría D 90 6.42 — — 0 43 33% 2 — —
J. Murrugarra M 45 6.05 — — 0 26 21% 0 — —
C. Inga M 90 6.58 — — 0 38 34% 0 — —
J. Concha M 82 6.15 — — 1 38 28% 3 — —
H. Calcaterra M 89 7.12 — 1 1 44 39% 0 — —
A. Polo M 90 6.60 — — 2 41 35% 3 — —
A. Valera F 90 9.16 2 — 5 15 7% 2 — —
G. Lapadula F 66 6.23 — — 1 13 8% 1 — —
É. Flores M 23 6.65 — 1 1 11 9% 0 — —
J. Requena M 1 0.00 — — 0 1 0% 1 — —
J. Rivera F 8 6.54 — — 1 0 0% 0 — —
Lisandro Joel Alzugaray F 24 6.52 — — 0 10 7% 0 — —
P. Quispe M 45 6.83 — — 0 40 38% 0 — —
FBC Melgar FBC Melgar — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Cabezudo G 90 5.91 — — 0 22 14% 0 — —
N. Cabanillas D 77 6.64 — — 0 43 39% 1 — —
L. González D 90 6.30 — — 0 41 30% 0 — —
J. Escobar D 90 6.25 — — 0 34 29% 0 1 —
M. Lazo D 90 7.13 — — 0 73 65% 2 — —
W. Tandazo M 90 6.46 — — 2 65 59% 1 1 —
K. Minda M 90 6.88 — — 1 72 63% 1 — —
L. Guzmán M 70 6.65 — — 2 28 26% 0 — —
N. Quagliata M 90 6.83 — 1 0 51 43% 1 — —
C. Bordacahar M 90 7.63 1 — 4 53 35% 4 — —
B. Cuesta F 69 7.93 1 — 2 10 8% 0 — —
J. Alcántar D 13 6.40 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
J. Vidales F 20 6.60 — — 1 8 5% 0 — —
Matias Zegarra D 21 6.00 — — 0 5 2% 2 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Universitario vs FBC Melgar?
The final score was Universitario 2–2 FBC Melgar.
What did the model predict before Universitario vs FBC Melgar?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Universitario win, 17% to a draw, and 29% to an FBC Melgar win.