✓Model correct — prediction Universitario
Edison Flores
60'
Gianluca Lapadula
(ast. Lisandro Alzugaray)
65'
Lisandro Alzugaray
87'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Universitario a 70% win probability (draw 14%, Juan Pablo II College 14%). The final result was Universitario 3–0 Juan Pablo II College. In 1 previous meetings, Universitario have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Juan Pablo II College.
Match statistics
30
Total shots
2
11
Shots on target
0
2.04
Actual xG
0.12
0
Saves
8
70%
Possession
30%
9
Corners
1
15
Tackles
12
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
52'
Jack·Duran
/
Jack Carhuallanqui
52'
Mateo Rodríguez
/
Janio Pósito
58'
Pablo Miguez
⚽Edison Flores
60'
64'
C. Villanueva
/
Erinson Ramirez
64'
Héctor Bazán
/
Nilton Ramirez
Edison Flores
/ Lisandro Alzugaray
64'
⚽Gianluca Lapadula
· ast. Lisandro Alzugaray
65'
70'
Piero Antón
/
Hugo Ancajima
César Inga
/ Bryan Reyna
75'
Jairo Concha
/ Piero Quispe
76'
Anderson Santamaría
/ Aldo Corzo
85'
Gianluca Lapadula
/ José Rivera
85'
⚽Lisandro Alzugaray
87'
Pre-match prediction
70.73%
Universitario ←
14.63%
X
14.65%
Juan
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Universitario)
70.73%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.41
2.04
-1.37
1.57
0.12
-1.45
Universitario dominated by xG (2.04 vs 0.12).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
D. Romero
G
D. Romero
G
4
A. Santamaría
85'
D
A. Santamaría
85'
D
3
W. Riveros
D
W. Riveros
D
2
C. Fara
D
C. Fara
D
33
C. Inga
75'
M
C. Inga
75'
M
17
J. Concha
76'
M
J. Concha
76'
M
10
H. Calcaterra
M
H. Calcaterra
M
24
A. Polo
M
A. Polo
M
19
É. Flores
1 ⚽
64'
M
É. Flores
1 ⚽
64'
M
20
A. Valera
F
A. Valera
F
18
G. Lapadula
1 ⚽
85'
F
G. Lapadula
1 ⚽
85'
F
Bench
29
A. Corzo
5'
D
A. Corzo
5'
D
77
B. Reyna
15'
F
B. Reyna
15'
F
8
H. Fértoli
M
H. Fértoli
M
23
J. Murrugarra
M
J. Murrugarra
M
15
J. Requena
M
J. Requena
M
11
J. Rivera
5'
F
J. Rivera
5'
F
30
Lisandro Joel Alzugaray
1 ⚽
1 👟
26'
F
Lisandro Joel Alzugaray
1 ⚽
1 👟
26'
F
25
M. Vargas
G
M. Vargas
G
39
P. Quispe
14'
M
P. Quispe
14'
M
23
M. Vega
G
M. Vega
G
31
J. Toledo
D
J. Toledo
D
60
P. Míguez
D
P. Míguez
D
3
A. Sánchez
D
A. Sánchez
D
2
H. Ancajima
70'
D
H. Ancajima
70'
D
79
J. Goicochea
M
J. Goicochea
M
8
C. Flores
M
C. Flores
M
14
J. Carhuallanqui
52'
M
J. Carhuallanqui
52'
M
18
E. Ramírez
64'
M
E. Ramírez
64'
M
15
N. Ramírez
64'
F
N. Ramírez
64'
F
89
J. Pósito
52'
F
J. Pósito
52'
F
Bench
7
A. Hendricks
F
A. Hendricks
F
71
C. Villanueva
26'
M
C. Villanueva
26'
M
20
H. Bazán
26'
M
H. Bazán
26'
M
12
I. Quispe
G
I. Quispe
G
28
J. Durán
38'
M
J. Durán
38'
M
33
M. Almirón
D
M. Almirón
D
97
M. RodrÃguez
38'
F
M. RodrÃguez
38'
F
16
Piero Alonso Antón Castillo
20'
D
Piero Alonso Antón Castillo
20'
D
Best on the pitch
É. Flores
M · Universitario
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 32 pass
G. Lapadula
F · Universitario
8.20
1 ⚽
7 shots
· 14 pass
W. Riveros
D · Universitario
7.81
3 shots
· 53 pass
A. Santamaría
D · Universitario
7.73
1 shots
· 60 pass
C. Fara
D · Universitario
7.73
1 shots
· 65 pass
Lisandro Joel Alzugaray
F · Universitario
7.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 16 pass
Universitario — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Romero | G | 90 | 6.77 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Santamaría | D | 85 | 7.73 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 55% | 2 | — | — |
| W. Riveros | D | 90 | 7.81 | — | — | 3 | 53 | 50% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Fara | D | 90 | 7.73 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 61% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Inga | M | 75 | 7.06 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 33% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Concha | M | 76 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 68 | 58% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Calcaterra | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 44% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Polo | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 68 | 63% | 0 | — | — |
| É. Flores | M | 64 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 32 | 28% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Valera | F | 90 | 6.93 | — | — | 10 | 38 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Lapadula | F | 85 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 7 | 14 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Corzo | D | 5 | 7.03 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Reyna | F | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Rivera | F | 5 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| Lisandro Joel Alzugaray | F | 26 | 7.50 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Quispe | M | 14 | 6.77 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
Juan Pablo II College — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Vega | G | 90 | 6.68 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Toledo | D | 90 | 6.11 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| P. Míguez | D | 90 | 5.87 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 10% | 0 | 1 | — |
| A. Sánchez | D | 90 | 6.24 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| H. Ancajima | D | 70 | 5.63 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Goicochea | M | 90 | 6.44 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Flores | M | 90 | 5.85 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Carhuallanqui | M | 52 | 5.67 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Ramírez | M | 64 | 5.52 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Ramírez | F | 64 | 6.06 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Pósito | F | 52 | 6.57 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Villanueva | M | 26 | 5.97 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| H. Bazán | M | 26 | 5.91 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Durán | M | 38 | 6.04 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| M. RodrÃguez | F | 38 | 6.34 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Piero Alonso Antón Castillo | D | 20 | 6.27 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Universitario vs Juan Pablo II College?
The final score was Universitario 3–0 Juan Pablo II College.
What did the model predict before Universitario vs Juan Pablo II College?
The model assigned 70% probability to a Universitario win, 14% to a draw, and 14% to an Juan Pablo II College win.