Skip to main content
← Liga 1

Universitario - Sport Boys

Liga 1 November 05, 2026 02:30 Estadio Monumental, Lima
Universitario
#2 · 56 pts
vs
Sport Boys
#10 · 21 pts
Weather at kick-off 🌦️ Light drizzle 21.9°C 💨 13 km/h · Lima
⚡ Pre-match analysis
77.4%
Win
Universitario
11.5%
Draw
11.11%
Win
Sport Boys
3.32
Expected xG
1.11
Most likely outcome
Universitario
77.4%
Probability
69.8%
1X2 accuracy · 53 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 3–1 (8.24%)
1X2 Result ✓ 69.8% hit rate (53 picks)
1 77%
X 12%
2 11%
Double Chance
1X 89%
X2 23%
12 89%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 79%
Over 2.5 65%
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Universitario a 77% win probability, against 11% for a draw and 11% for Sport Boys. Expected goals are 3.3 for Universitario and 1.1 for Sport Boys (total 4.4), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 3–1 at 8.24% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Universitario have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Sport Boys.

Season Stats

Universitario
9W 4D 2L
Sport Boys
7W 4D 4L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
1.3
1.3
Conceded
0.9
5.0
Shots OT
3.9
5.2
Corners
5.1
49%
Poss.
51%
Percentages
93%
O 1.5
60%
80%
O 2.5
27%
67%
BTTS
47%
20%
Clean Sht
40%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Liga 1. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
60%
BTTS
Universitario
5W 3D 2L · at home
Sport Boys
2W 3D 5L · away
2.0
gls/g
0.9
1.1
Conceded
1.3
50%
Win %
20%
80%
Win or Draw
50%
90%
O 1.5
60%
80%
O 2.5
30%
30%
O 3.5
20%
70%
BTTS
50%
20%
Clean Sht
30%
10%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Universitario Sport Boys →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.2% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% —
1 4.0% 4.4% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
2 6.6% 7.3% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.3% 8.1% 4.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 6.1% 6.7% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
5 4.0% 4.4% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%

Recent form

Universitario Universitario
W Juan Pablo II College 3–0
W Alianza Atletico 1–4
D FBC Melgar 2–2
L Deportivo Garcilaso 4–0
W Alianza Lima 1–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 36%
Sport Boys Sport Boys
W FC Cajamarca 4–2
L Juan Pablo II College 2–0
L Alianza Atletico 1–3
D FBC Melgar 1–1
W Deportivo Garcilaso 1–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 22%

Playing profile

Universitario Universitario
Attack
57
Defence
61
Form
67
Sport Boys Sport Boys
Attack
40
Defence
54
Form
50
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Universitario
1
Draw
1
Sport Boys
12 May 2026 Liga 1 0–0
17 Jan 2026 Friendlies Clubs 0–1

Primera Division: Tabla Anual

# Team G Pts
1 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 31 65
2 Universitario Universitario 30 56
3 FBC Melgar FBC Melgar 31 54
4 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 31 51
5 Cusco Cusco 31 51
6 Cienciano Cienciano 31 50
7 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 31 47
8 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 31 46
9 Club Deportivo Los Chankas Club Deportivo Los Chankas 31 46
10 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 31 44
11 Sport Boys Sport Boys 30 41
12 Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College 31 41
13 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 31 35
14 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 31 34
15 ADT ADT 31 30
16 FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca 31 28
17 UCV Moquegua UCV Moquegua 31 28
18 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 31 18

What's at stake · Primera Division: Tabla Anual

Top 2 advance to the next round

Universitario Sport Boys
Current #2 #1
→ Universitario #2 #11
→ Draw #2 #11
→ Sport Boys #2 #10

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Universitario vs Sport Boys?
The model gives Universitario a 77% win probability, 11% for a draw, and 11% for an Sport Boys win.
How many goals are expected in Universitario vs Sport Boys?
Expected goals: Universitario 3.3, Sport Boys 1.1 (total 4.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in Universitario vs Sport Boys?
3–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.24%.