Universitatea Craiova 2–0 Farul Constanta — pre-match prediction — Liga 1 — October 18, 2026

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Liga 1 · Regular Season - 12 October 18, 2026 20:00 Stadionul Ion Oblemenco, Craiova

Universitatea Craiova

#2 · 29 pts

2 – 0

Final score

Farul Constanta

#7 · 20 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Universitatea Craiova

Simon Elisor (ast. David Matei) 16'

Oleksandr Romanchuk (ast. Alexandru Cicâldău) 87'

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Universitatea Craiova a 64% win probability (draw 19%, Farul Constanta 16%). The final result was Universitatea Craiova 2–0 Farul Constanta. In 2 previous meetings, Universitatea Craiova have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Farul Constanta.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.74

Actual xG

0.61

Saves

48%

Possession

52%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽Simon Elisor · ast. David Matei

16'

45'

Narek Grigoryan / Gustavo Marins ↕

45'

Alexandru Goncear / Răzvan Marincean ↕

47'

Ionuț Vână

Luca Băsceanu

50'

↕ Ronaldo Romario Webster / Nicușor Bancu

56'

↕ Luca Băsceanu / Stefan Baiaram

57'

↕ Samuel Teles / Alexandru Cicâldău

57'

↕ Baptiste Roux / Vladimir Screciu

70'

74'

Nicolas Popescu / Tony Njike ↕

↕ Simon Elisor / Assad Al-Hamlawi

76'

77'

Valentin Constantin Ticu / Ionuț Larie ↕

⚽Oleksandr Romanchuk · ast. Alexandru Cicâldău

87'

90'+1

Nicolas Popescu

Nikola Stevanović

90'

Pre-match prediction

64.72%

Universitatea ←

19.13%

16.15%

Farul

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Universitatea Craiova) 64.72% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Universitatea

2.91

1.74

-1.17

Farul

0.94

0.61

-0.33

Universitatea Craiova dominated by xG (1.74 vs 0.61). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Dinamo Bucuresti	13	30
2	Universitatea Craiova	13	29
3	Rapid	13	27
4	Petrolul Ploiesti	13	23
5	Universitatea Cluj	13	22
6	FCSB	13	21
7	Farul Constanta	13	20
8	Uta Arad	13	18
9	CFR 1907 Cluj	13	17
10	Corvinul Hunedoara	13	16
11	FC Botosani	13	14
12	Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe	13	14
13	Arges Pitesti	13	12
14	Oţelul	13	11
15	FC Voluntari	13	8
16	Csikszereda	13	5

Lineups

Universitatea Craiova 3-4-3

Laurenţiu Popescu G 7.33

Baptiste Roux 70' D 7.05

Nikola Stevanović D 6.66

Oleksandr Romanchuk 1 ⚽ D 8.20

Ronaldo Webster 56' M 6.07

T. Băluță M 6.67

Samuel Teles 57' M 6.53

C. Mora M 6.51

Luca Băsceanu 57' F 6.31

S. Elisor 1 ⚽ 76' F 7.92

David Matei 1 👟 F 7.70

Bench

A. Al Hamlawi 14' F 6.97

Alexandru Cicâldău 1 👟 33' M 7.63

Alexandru Crețu M 0.00

Alexandru Maxim G 0.00

Heriberto Tavares D 0.00

João Lameira M 0.00

Mihnea Rădulescu M 0.00

N. Bancu 34' D 6.82

Răzvan Sava G 0.00

Ș. Baiaram 33' M 6.92

S. Nsimba F 0.00

Vladimir Screciu 20' M 6.59

Farul Constanta 3-4-3

R. Munteanu G 7.45

Gustavo Marins 45' D 6.49

I. Larie 77' D 6.33

V. Dican D 6.20

C. Ganea M 5.88

M. Ahlinvi M 6.74

T. Njiké 74' M 6.73

S. Bouzamoucha M 6.27

E. Rădăslăvescu F 6.44

Răzvan Marincean 45' F 6.02

I. Vînă F 6.43

Bench

A. Buzbuchi G 0.00

A. Goncear 45' F 6.25

D. Maftei D 0.00

M. Hyseni F 0.00

N. Grigoryan 45' F 6.60

N. Popescu 16' M 5.81

R. Tănasă F 0.00

V. Țicu 13' D 6.07

Best on the pitch

Oleksandr Romanchuk

D · Universitatea

8.20

1 ⚽

1 shots · 88 pass

S. Elisor

F · Universitatea

7.92

1 ⚽

2 shots · 15 pass

David Matei

F · Universitatea

7.70

1 👟

2 shots · 29 pass

Alexandru Cicâldău

M · Universitatea

7.63

1 👟

2 shots · 23 pass

R. Munteanu

G · Farul

7.45

· 40 pass

Laurenţiu Popescu

G · Universitatea

7.33

· 33 pass

Universitatea Craiova — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Laurenţiu Popescu	G	90	7.33	—	—	0	33	27%	0	—	—
Baptiste Roux	D	70	7.05	—	—	1	55	51%	1	—	—
Nikola Stevanović	D	90	6.66	—	—	1	79	73%	3	1	—
Oleksandr Romanchuk	D	90	8.20	1	—	1	88	77%	2	—	—
Ronaldo Webster	M	56	6.07	—	—	0	18	17%	1	—	—
T. Băluță	M	90	6.67	—	—	2	44	36%	4	—	—
Samuel Teles	M	57	6.53	—	—	0	34	28%	2	—	—
C. Mora	M	90	6.51	—	—	1	41	34%	0	—	—
Luca Băsceanu	F	57	6.31	—	—	2	16	15%	0	1	—
S. Elisor	F	76	7.92	1	—	2	15	12%	0	—	—
David Matei	F	90	7.70	—	1	2	29	18%	2	—	—
A. Al Hamlawi	F	14	6.97	—	—	1	7	4%	0	—	—
Alexandru Cicâldău	M	33	7.63	—	1	2	23	21%	1	—	—
N. Bancu	D	34	6.82	—	—	0	19	16%	1	—	—
Ș. Baiaram	M	33	6.92	—	—	1	7	6%	0	—	—
Vladimir Screciu	M	20	6.59	—	—	0	17	16%	0	—	—

Farul Constanta — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
R. Munteanu	G	90	7.45	—	—	0	40	32%	0	—	—
Gustavo Marins	D	45	6.49	—	—	0	30	27%	0	—	—
I. Larie	D	77	6.33	—	—	0	81	69%	1	—	—
V. Dican	D	90	6.20	—	—	0	62	50%	3	—	—
C. Ganea	M	90	5.88	—	—	0	63	47%	2	—	—
M. Ahlinvi	M	90	6.74	—	—	3	65	58%	0	—	—
T. Njiké	M	74	6.73	—	—	0	54	48%	2	—	—
S. Bouzamoucha	M	90	6.27	—	—	0	54	48%	5	—	—
E. Rădăslăvescu	F	90	6.44	—	—	1	31	24%	2	—	—
Răzvan Marincean	F	45	6.02	—	—	0	7	5%	0	—	—
I. Vînă	F	90	6.43	—	—	2	46	40%	2	1	—
A. Goncear	F	45	6.25	—	—	0	12	10%	0	—	—
N. Grigoryan	F	45	6.60	—	—	2	12	10%	0	—	—
N. Popescu	M	16	5.81	—	—	0	6	5%	0	1	—
V. Țicu	D	13	6.07	—	—	0	14	11%	0	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Universitatea Craiova vs Farul Constanta?

The final score was Universitatea Craiova 2–0 Farul Constanta.

What did the model predict before Universitatea Craiova vs Farul Constanta?

The model assigned 64% probability to a Universitatea Craiova win, 19% to a draw, and 16% to an Farul Constanta win.