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Ural - FC UFA

First League August 08, 2026 16:00
Ural
#5 · 7 pts
vs
FC UFA
#3 · 8 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
42.22%
Win
Ural
30.27%
Draw
27.51%
Win
FC UFA
1.6
Expected xG
0.62

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (14.09%)
1X2 Result
1 42%
X 30%
2 28%
Double Chance
1X 73%
X2 58%
12 70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 74%
Over 2.5 49%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Ural a 42% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 27% for FC UFA. Expected goals are 1.6 for Ural and 0.6 for FC UFA (total 2.2), with a 73% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 14.09% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Ural have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for FC UFA.

Season Stats

Ural
8W 2D 5L
FC UFA
7W 4D 4L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
1.0
0.8
Conceded
0.6
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
40%
53%
O 2.5
20%
27%
BTTS
27%
60%
Clean Sht
47%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in First League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
15%
O 3.5
25%
BTTS
Ural
5W 2D 3L · at home
FC UFA
1W 3D 6L · away
1.7
gls/g
0.5
0.7
Conceded
1.2
50%
Win %
10%
70%
Win or Draw
40%
70%
O 1.5
50%
30%
O 2.5
20%
20%
O 3.5
10%
20%
BTTS
30%
60%
Clean Sht
20%
30%
Failed to Score
60%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Ural FC UFA →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.9% 6.7% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% —
1 17.4% 10.7% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% —
2 14.0% 8.6% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% —
3 7.5% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% — —
4 3.0% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% — —
5 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% — — —

Recent form

Ural Ural
W Ska-khabarovsk 0–3
D Leningradets 0–0
W Enisey 3–0
L Torpedo Moskva 0–1
L Chernomorets 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 44%
FC UFA FC UFA
D KAMAZ 1–1
W Ska-khabarovsk 1–0
D Tekstilshchik 2–2
W Leningradets 3–0
W Spartak Kostroma 0–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 28%

Playing profile

Ural Ural
Attack
29
Defence
65
Form
46
FC UFA FC UFA
Attack
20
Defence
63
Form
39
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Ural
1
Draw
0
FC UFA
12 Apr 2026 First League 0–0
15 Sep 2025 First League 3–2

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Nizhny Novgorod Nizhny Novgorod 4 12
2 Veles Veles 4 9
3 FC UFA FC UFA 4 8
4 Spartak Kostroma Spartak Kostroma 4 8
5 Ural Ural 4 7
6 Torpedo Moskva Torpedo Moskva 4 7
7 Enisey Enisey 4 7
8 Chelyabinsk Chelyabinsk 4 6
9 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd 4 6
10 FK Neftekhimik FK Neftekhimik 4 6
11 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 4 6
12 Shinnik Yaroslavl Shinnik Yaroslavl 4 5
13 FC Sochi FC Sochi 4 4
14 Leningradets Leningradets 4 4
15 Volga Ulyanovsk Volga Ulyanovsk 4 3
16 Tekstilshchik Tekstilshchik 4 2
17 KAMAZ KAMAZ 4 1
18 Ska-khabarovsk Ska-khabarovsk 4 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Ural vs FC UFA?
The model gives Ural a 42% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 27% for an FC UFA win.
How many goals are expected in Ural vs FC UFA?
Expected goals: Ural 1.6, FC UFA 0.6 (total 2.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 73%.
What is the most likely score in Ural vs FC UFA?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.09%.