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Ural - Volga Ulyanovsk

First League November 08, 2026 09:30 Central Stadium(Yekaterinburg), Yekaterinburg
Ural
#3 · 31 pts
vs
Volga Ulyanovsk
#9 · 22 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast -1.3°C 💨 11 km/h · Yekaterinburg
⚡ Pre-match analysis
61.79%
Win
Ural
22.27%
Draw
15.94%
Win
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.73
Expected xG
0.78
Most likely outcome
Ural
61.79%
Probability
58.8%
1X2 accuracy · 17 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (14.59%)
1X2 Result
1 62%
X 22%
2 16%
Double Chance
1X 84%
X2 38%
12 78%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Ural a 61% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Volga Ulyanovsk. Expected goals are 1.7 for Ural and 0.8 for Volga Ulyanovsk (total 2.5), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 14.59% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Ural have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Volga Ulyanovsk.

Season Stats

Ural
9W 4D 2L
Volga Ulyanovsk
6W 4D 5L
Averages per game
1.8
Goals
1.3
0.7
Conceded
1.2
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
73%
53%
O 2.5
53%
47%
BTTS
53%
53%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in First League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Ural
6W 0D 4L · at home
Volga Ulyanovsk
3W 5D 2L · away
1.6
gls/g
1.5
0.6
Conceded
1.5
60%
Win %
30%
60%
Win or Draw
80%
80%
O 1.5
80%
40%
O 2.5
80%
0%
O 3.5
50%
20%
BTTS
80%
60%
Clean Sht
10%
20%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Ural Volga Ulyanovsk →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.1% 6.4% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% —
1 14.0% 11.0% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% —
2 12.1% 9.5% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% —
3 7.0% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% —
4 3.0% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% — —
5 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Ural Ural
W FC Sochi 0–2
W Chelyabinsk 1–3
L Nizhny Novgorod 1–2
L Veles 1–2
W Spartak Kostroma 1–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 43%
Volga Ulyanovsk Volga Ulyanovsk
D Tekstilshchik 1–1
W Veles 1–0
W Ska-khabarovsk 1–2
D Rotor Volgograd 2–2
W Veles 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 17%

Playing profile

Ural Ural
Attack
41
Defence
77
Form
60
Volga Ulyanovsk Volga Ulyanovsk
Attack
32
Defence
73
Form
52
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Ural
1
Draw
0
Volga Ulyanovsk
29 Nov 2025 First League 0–0
25 Aug 2025 First League 4–0

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Nizhny Novgorod Nizhny Novgorod 16 43
2 FC Sochi FC Sochi 16 32
3 Ural Ural 16 31
4 Torpedo Moskva Torpedo Moskva 16 29
5 Spartak Kostroma Spartak Kostroma 16 28
6 Veles Veles 17 28
7 Shinnik Yaroslavl Shinnik Yaroslavl 16 23
8 FC UFA FC UFA 16 22
9 Volga Ulyanovsk Volga Ulyanovsk 17 22
10 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd 16 20
11 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 16 19
12 Chelyabinsk Chelyabinsk 16 18
13 Leningradets Leningradets 16 17
14 KAMAZ KAMAZ 16 14
15 Enisey Enisey 16 14
16 Ska-khabarovsk Ska-khabarovsk 16 13
17 FK Neftekhimik FK Neftekhimik 16 13
18 Tekstilshchik Tekstilshchik 16 11
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Ural vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
The model gives Ural a 61% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 15% for an Volga Ulyanovsk win.
How many goals are expected in Ural vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
Expected goals: Ural 1.7, Volga Ulyanovsk 0.8 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Ural vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.59%.