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J1 League · Regular Season - 12 October 25, 2026 07:00 Saitama Stadium 2002, Saitama
Urawa
#7 · 21 pts
1 – 0
Final score
V-varen Nagasaki
#14 · 12 pts
Matheus Sávio (ast. Samuel Gustafson) 71'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Urawa a 45% win probability (draw 30%, V-varen Nagasaki 24%). The final result was Urawa 1–0 V-varen Nagasaki.

Match statistics
19
Total shots
6
5
Shots on target
1
1.31
Actual xG
0.68
1
Saves
4
61%
Possession
39%
7
Corners
4
10
Tackles
10
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
↕ Hayate Ueki / Shuta Sasa
64'
↕ Ado Onaiwu / Hiiro Komori
64'
68'
Kenshin Yasuda / Tenmu Matsumoto ↕
⚽Matheus Sávio · ast. Samuel Gustafson
71'
71'
80'
Asahi Masuyama / Shunya Yoneda ↕
80'
Keita Nakamura / Jonathan Junior ↕
↕ Takuro Kaneko / Renji Hidano
81'
86'
Emerson Santana Deocleciano / Hotaru Yamaguchi ↕
↕ Matheus Sávio / Harumi Minamino
87'
↕ Samuel Gustafson / Yoichi Naganuma
87'
90'+1
Matheus Jesus
Pre-match prediction
45.44%
Urawa ←
30.12%
X
24.44%
V-varen
we assigned to the actual result (Urawa) 45.44% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Urawa
1.18
1.31
+0.13
V-varen
0.68
0.68
+0.0
Urawa dominated by xG (1.31 vs 0.68). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 12 27
2 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 12 27
3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 12 26
4 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 12 25
5 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 12 23
6 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 12 22
7 Urawa Urawa 12 21
8 Kashima Kashima 12 20
9 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 12 18
10 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 12 16
11 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 12 14
12 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 12 14
13 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 12 14
14 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 12 12
15 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 12 11
16 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 12 10
17 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 12 9
18 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 12 8
19 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 12 7
20 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 12 7
Lineups
Urawa Urawa 4-3-3
1 S. Nishikawa S. Nishikawa G 7.12
18 K. Hayashi K. Hayashi D 6.27
5 K. Nemoto K. Nemoto D 6.95
2 Y. Miyamoto Y. Miyamoto D 6.54
3 Danilo Boza Danilo Boza D 6.83
37 H. Ueki H. Ueki 64' M 6.75
11 Samuel Gustafson Samuel Gustafson 1 👟 87' M 7.70
12 T. Seko T. Seko M 7.16
10 Matheus Sávio Matheus Sávio 1 ⚽ 87' F 8.00
45 A. Onaiwu A. Onaiwu 64' F 6.35
7 T. Kaneko T. Kaneko 81' F 6.47
Bench
17 H. Komori H. Komori 26' F 6.88
42 H. Minamino H. Minamino 3' F 6.10
39 J. Hayakawa J. Hayakawa M 0.00
23 K. Fukui K. Fukui G 0.00
15 K. Kudo K. Kudo D 0.00
36 R. Hidano R. Hidano 9' F 6.64
33 S. Sasa S. Sasa 26' M 6.64
43 T. Wada T. Wada M 0.00
88 Y. Naganuma Y. Naganuma 3' M 6.38
V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 3-4-2-1
1 M. Goto M. Goto G 6.63
6 Y. Egawa Y. Egawa D 6.57
29 I. Arai I. Arai D 6.18
31 K. Doi K. Doi D 5.92
23 S. Yoneda S. Yoneda 80' M 5.98
41 M. Hasegawa M. Hasegawa M 6.84
5 H. Yamaguchi H. Yamaguchi 86' M 6.50
22 H. Onaga H. Onaga M 6.39
34 T. Matsumoto T. Matsumoto 68' M 6.47
10 Matheus Jesus Matheus Jesus M 5.97
99 Jonathan Jonathan 80' F 6.08
Bench
88 A. Masuyama A. Masuyama 10' M 6.32
21 Diego Pituca Diego Pituca M 0.00
16 Emerson Deocleciano Emerson Deocleciano 4' M 6.25
13 G. Hatano G. Hatano G 0.00
20 K. Nakamura K. Nakamura 10' M 5.80
7 K. Yasuda K. Yasuda 22' M 6.14
50 R. Shindo R. Shindo D 0.00
24 R. Yamada R. Yamada M 0.00
18 R. Yamasaki R. Yamasaki F 0.00
Best on the pitch
Matheus Sávio
Matheus Sávio
F · Urawa
8.00
1 ⚽
3 shots · 50 pass
Samuel Gustafson
Samuel Gustafson
M · Urawa
7.70
1 👟
· 79 pass
T. Seko
T. Seko
M · Urawa
7.16
2 shots · 50 pass
S. Nishikawa
S. Nishikawa
G · Urawa
7.12
· 24 pass
K. Nemoto
K. Nemoto
D · Urawa
6.95
1 shots · 50 pass
H. Komori
H. Komori
F · Urawa
6.88
1 shots · 17 pass
Urawa Urawa — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Nishikawa G 90 7.12 — — 0 24 15% 0 — —
K. Hayashi D 90 6.27 — — 1 19 15% 0 — —
K. Nemoto D 90 6.95 — — 1 50 40% 2 — —
Y. Miyamoto D 90 6.54 — — 0 65 55% 0 — —
Danilo Boza D 90 6.83 — — 2 42 35% 2 — —
H. Ueki M 64 6.75 — — 2 32 30% 1 — —
Samuel Gustafson M 87 7.70 — 1 0 79 75% 1 — —
T. Seko M 90 7.16 — — 2 50 39% 1 — —
Matheus Sávio F 87 8.00 1 — 3 50 43% 0 — —
A. Onaiwu F 64 6.35 — — 3 20 14% 1 — —
T. Kaneko F 81 6.47 — — 2 40 31% 0 — —
H. Komori F 26 6.88 — — 1 17 11% 0 — —
H. Minamino F 3 6.10 — — 0 3 3% 1 — —
R. Hidano F 9 6.64 — — 1 3 1% 0 — —
S. Sasa M 26 6.64 — — 1 19 13% 1 — —
Y. Naganuma M 3 6.38 — — 0 6 3% 0 — —
V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Goto G 90 6.63 — — 0 43 19% 0 — —
Y. Egawa D 90 6.57 — — 0 28 22% 2 — —
I. Arai D 90 6.18 — — 0 26 19% 0 — —
K. Doi D 90 5.92 — — 0 26 17% 2 — —
S. Yoneda M 80 5.98 — — 1 28 13% 1 — —
M. Hasegawa M 90 6.84 — — 1 67 58% 0 — —
H. Yamaguchi M 86 6.50 — — 0 37 31% 2 — —
H. Onaga M 90 6.39 — — 1 31 18% 2 — —
T. Matsumoto M 68 6.47 — — 0 22 17% 1 — —
Matheus Jesus M 90 5.97 — — 2 12 10% 0 1 —
Jonathan F 80 6.08 — — 1 12 6% 0 — —
A. Masuyama M 10 6.32 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
Emerson Deocleciano M 4 6.25 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
K. Nakamura M 10 5.80 — — 0 4 4% 0 — —
K. Yasuda M 22 6.14 — — 0 4 3% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Urawa vs V-varen Nagasaki?
The final score was Urawa 1–0 V-varen Nagasaki.
What did the model predict before Urawa vs V-varen Nagasaki?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Urawa win, 30% to a draw, and 24% to an V-varen Nagasaki win.