Uruguay - Dominican Republic
Friendlies Internazionali
November 18, 2026 00:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.23%
Win
Uruguay
31.32%
Draw
32.45%
Win
Dominican Republic
2.81
1.94
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(10.07%)
1X2 Result
1
36%
X
31%
2
32%
Double Chance
1X
68%
X2
64%
12
69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
53%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Uruguay a 36% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Dominican Republic. Expected goals are 2.8 for Uruguay and 1.9 for Dominican Republic (total 4.8), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.07% probability.
Season Stats
2W
2D
1L
0W
0D
1L
Averages per game
2.4
Goals
2.0
1.2
Conceded
4.0
4.0
Shots OT
—
2.8
Corners
—
51%
Poss.
—
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
100%
60%
O 2.5
100%
80%
BTTS
100%
20%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 5 matches in Friendlies Internazionali. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Uruguay
Dominican Republic →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| 2 | 3.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| 3 | 3.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| 4 | 2.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| 5 | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Uruguay
Attack
58
Defence
61
Form
63
Dominican Republic
Attack
50
Defence
0
Form
31
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Unavailable
Uruguay
Injured
Injured
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Uruguay vs Dominican Republic?
The model gives Uruguay a 36% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 32% for an Dominican Republic win.
How many goals are expected in Uruguay vs Dominican Republic?
Expected goals: Uruguay 2.8, Dominican Republic 1.9 (total 4.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Uruguay vs Dominican Republic?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.07%.