42'
(ast. M. Llorente)
A. Baena
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Spain a 46% win probability (draw 32%, Uruguay 21%). The final result was Uruguay 0–1 Spain.
Match statistics
4
Total shots
5
1
Shots on target
1
0.20
Actual xG
0.86
0
Saves
2
33%
Possession
67%
1
Corners
6
24
Tackles
17
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
42'
ast. M. Llorente ·
A. Baena⚽
M. Ugarte
/ N. de la Cruz
45'
F. Muslera
/ S. Rochet
46'
46'
A. Baena
J. Sanabria
54'
F. Valverde
/ F. Vinas
57'
G. Varela
58'
60'
F. Ruiz
/
Pedri
60'
D. Olmo
/
M. Merino
66'
Y. Pino
/
A. Baena
J. Sanabria
/ B. Rodriguez
70'
76'
N. Williams
/
Lamine Yamal
76'
F. Torres
/
M. Oyarzabal
N. de la Cruz
90'+3
A. Canobbio
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
21.3%
Uruguay
32.19%
X
46.51%
Spain ←
we assigned to the actual result (Spain)
46.51%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.88
0.20
-0.68
1.37
0.86
-0.51
Spain dominated by xG (0.86 vs 0.20).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
23
Fernando Muslera
45'
G
Fernando Muslera
45'
G
25
Juan Sanabria
70'
D
Juan Sanabria
70'
D
16
Mathías Olivera
D
Mathías Olivera
D
3
Sebastián Cáceres
D
Sebastián Cáceres
D
13
Guillermo Varela
D
Guillermo Varela
D
5
Manuel Ugarte
45'
M
Manuel Ugarte
45'
M
20
M. Araújo
M
M. Araújo
M
8
Federico Valverde
57'
M
Federico Valverde
57'
M
6
Rodrigo Bentancur
M
Rodrigo Bentancur
M
14
A. Canobbio
M
A. Canobbio
M
9
Darwin Núñez
F
Darwin Núñez
F
Bench
18
B. Rodríguez
25'
F
B. Rodríguez
25'
F
15
Emiliano Martínez
M
Emiliano Martínez
M
11
Facundo Pellistri
M
Facundo Pellistri
M
21
Federico Viñas
38'
F
Federico Viñas
38'
F
10
Giorgian de Arrascaeta
M
Giorgian de Arrascaeta
M
22
Joaquín Piquerez
D
Joaquín Piquerez
D
2
José María Giménez
D
José María Giménez
D
17
Matías Viña
D
Matías Viña
D
7
N. de la Cruz
50'
M
N. de la Cruz
50'
M
19
Rodrigo Aguirre
F
Rodrigo Aguirre
F
26
Rodrigo Zalazar
M
Rodrigo Zalazar
M
4
Ronald Araújo
D
Ronald Araújo
D
24
Santiago Bueno
D
Santiago Bueno
D
12
Santiago Mele
G
Santiago Mele
G
1
Sergio Rochet
50'
G
Sergio Rochet
50'
G
23
Unai Simón
G
Unai Simón
G
24
Marc Cucurella
D
Marc Cucurella
D
14
Aymeric Laporte
D
Aymeric Laporte
D
22
Pau Cubarsí
D
Pau Cubarsí
D
5
Marcos Llorente
1 👟
D
Marcos Llorente
1 👟
D
16
Rodri
M
Rodri
M
20
Pedri
60'
M
Pedri
60'
M
15
Álex Baena
1 ⚽
66'
M
Álex Baena
1 ⚽
66'
M
6
Mikel Merino
60'
M
Mikel Merino
60'
M
19
Lamine Yamal
76'
M
Lamine Yamal
76'
M
21
Mikel Oyarzabal
76'
F
Mikel Oyarzabal
76'
F
Bench
3
Álex Grimaldo
D
Álex Grimaldo
D
26
Borja Iglesias
F
Borja Iglesias
F
10
Dani Olmo
35'
M
Dani Olmo
35'
M
1
David Raya
G
David Raya
G
4
Eric García
D
Eric García
D
8
Fabián Ruiz
35'
M
Fabián Ruiz
35'
M
7
Ferran Torres
19'
F
Ferran Torres
19'
F
13
Joan García
G
Joan García
G
2
Marc Pubill
D
Marc Pubill
D
18
Martín Zubimendi
M
Martín Zubimendi
M
17
Nico Williams
19'
F
Nico Williams
19'
F
9
Pablo Gavi
M
Pablo Gavi
M
12
Pedro Porro
D
Pedro Porro
D
25
Víctor Muñoz
F
Víctor Muñoz
F
11
Yéremy Pino
29'
M
Yéremy Pino
29'
M
Best on the pitch
Mathías Olivera
D · Uruguay
7.50
· 46 pass
Aymeric Laporte
D · Spain
7.30
· 101 pass
Unai Simón
G · Spain
7.30
· 35 pass
Álex Baena
M · Spain
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 24 pass
Marcos Llorente
D · Spain
7.20
1 👟
· 50 pass
Pau Cubarsí
D · Spain
7.20
1 shots
· 87 pass
Uruguay — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernando Muslera | G | 45 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Juan Sanabria | D | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | 7 | 1 | — |
| Mathías Olivera | D | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 46 | 38% | 6 | — | — |
| Sebastián Cáceres | D | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Guillermo Varela | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | — | 1 | — |
| Manuel Ugarte | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Araújo | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Federico Valverde | M | 57 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Bentancur | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 35% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Canobbio | M | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | 1 |
| Darwin Núñez | F | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 12% | — | — | — |
| B. Rodríguez | F | 25 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Federico Viñas | F | 38 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| N. de la Cruz | M | 50 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Sergio Rochet | G | 50 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 8% | — | — | — |
Spain — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unai Simón | G | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Marc Cucurella | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 42 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Aymeric Laporte | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 101 | 93% | — | — | — |
| Pau Cubarsí | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 87 | 85% | — | — | — |
| Marcos Llorente | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 50 | 47% | 4 | — | — |
| Rodri | M | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 106 | 100% | 5 | — | — |
| Pedri | M | 60 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 49 | 43% | 3 | — | — |
| Álex Baena | M | 66 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 24 | 18% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Mikel Merino | M | 60 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Lamine Yamal | M | 76 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Mikel Oyarzabal | F | 76 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Dani Olmo | M | 35 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Fabián Ruiz | M | 35 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Ferran Torres | F | 19 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Nico Williams | F | 19 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Yéremy Pino | M | 29 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Uruguay vs Spain?
The final score was Uruguay 0–1 Spain.
What did the model predict before Uruguay vs Spain?
The model assigned 21% probability to a Uruguay win, 32% to a draw, and 46% to an Spain win.