C. Burgess
11'
(og)
A. Freeman
43'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave USA a 44% win probability (draw 26%, Australia 29%). The final result was USA 2–0 Australia.
Match statistics
4
Total shots
5
2
Shots on target
2
1.30
Actual xG
0.44
2
Saves
1
62%
Possession
38%
7
Corners
4
21
Tackles
12
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽C. Burgess
(og)
11'
16'
J. Bos
32'
A. Circati
⚽A. Freeman
43'
46'
J. Geria
/
C. Burgess
46'
C. Metcalfe
/
N. Velupillay
46'
N. Irankunda
/
M. Toure
A. Robinson
56'
61'
C. Volpato
/
M. Leckie
R. Pepi
/ S. Berhalter
74'
78'
J. Irvine
/
P. Okon-Engstler
S. Dest
/ J. Scally
80'
A. Robinson
/ A. Trusty
80'
88'
H. Souttar
F. Balogun
89'
89'
J. Italiano
C. Richards
90'+3
F. Balogun
/ H. Wright
90'+6
W. McKennie
/ G. Reyna
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
44.07%
USA ←
26.92%
X
29.0%
Australia
we assigned to the actual result (USA)
44.07%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.92
1.30
-0.62
1.46
0.44
-1.02
USA dominated by xG (1.30 vs 0.44).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
24
M. Freese
G
M. Freese
G
13
T. Ream
D
T. Ream
D
3
C. Richards
D
C. Richards
D
16
A. Freeman
1 ⚽
D
A. Freeman
1 ⚽
D
5
A. Robinson
80'
M
A. Robinson
80'
M
17
M. Tillman
M
M. Tillman
M
4
T. Adams
M
T. Adams
M
8
W. McKennie
89'
M
W. McKennie
89'
M
2
S. Dest
80'
M
S. Dest
80'
M
9
R. Pepi
74'
F
R. Pepi
74'
F
20
F. Balogun
89'
F
F. Balogun
89'
F
Bench
6
A. Trusty
10'
D
A. Trusty
10'
D
26
A. Zendejas
F
A. Zendejas
F
11
B. Aaronson
M
B. Aaronson
M
25
C. Brady
G
C. Brady
G
15
C. Roldan
M
C. Roldan
M
7
G. Reyna
1'
M
G. Reyna
1'
M
19
H. Wright
1'
F
H. Wright
1'
F
23
J. Scally
10'
D
J. Scally
10'
D
18
M. Arfsten
M
M. Arfsten
M
22
M. McKenzie
D
M. McKenzie
D
12
M. Robinson
D
M. Robinson
D
1
M. Turner
G
M. Turner
G
14
S. Berhalter
16'
M
S. Berhalter
16'
M
21
T. Weah
F
T. Weah
F
18
P. Beach
G
P. Beach
G
5
J. Bos
D
J. Bos
D
21
C. Burgess
1 ⚽
45'
D
C. Burgess
1 ⚽
45'
D
19
H. Souttar
D
H. Souttar
D
3
A. Circati
D
A. Circati
D
4
J. Italiano
D
J. Italiano
D
23
N. Velupillay
45'
M
N. Velupillay
45'
M
24
Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler
78'
M
Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler
78'
M
13
A. O'Neill
M
A. O'Neill
M
7
Mathew Leckie
61'
M
Mathew Leckie
61'
M
9
M. Touré
45'
F
M. Touré
45'
F
Bench
16
A. Behich
D
A. Behich
D
10
A. Hrustić
M
A. Hrustić
M
11
A. Mabil
M
A. Mabil
M
14
C. Devlin
M
C. Devlin
M
8
C. Metcalfe
45'
M
C. Metcalfe
45'
M
20
C. Volpato
29'
M
C. Volpato
29'
M
6
J. Geria
45'
D
J. Geria
45'
D
22
J. Irvine
12'
M
J. Irvine
12'
M
15
K. Trewin
D
K. Trewin
D
25
L. Herrington
D
L. Herrington
D
2
M. Degenek
D
M. Degenek
D
1
M. Ryan
G
M. Ryan
G
17
N. Irankunda
45'
F
N. Irankunda
45'
F
12
P. Izzo
G
P. Izzo
G
26
T. Yengi
F
T. Yengi
F
Best on the pitch
A. Freeman
D · USA
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 65 pass
M. Tillman
M · USA
7.60
· 42 pass
A. Circati
D · Australia
7.50
1 shots
· 30 pass
A. Robinson
M · USA
7.30
· 44 pass
C. Richards
D · USA
7.20
· 95 pass
T. Ream
D · USA
7.00
· 76 pass
USA — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Freese | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 12% | — | — | — |
| T. Ream | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 76 | 68% | — | — | — |
| C. Richards | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 95 | 91% | 3 | 1 | — |
| A. Freeman | D | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 65 | 59% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Robinson | M | 80 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 39% | 3 | 1 | — |
| M. Tillman | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 42 | 35% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Adams | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 68 | 58% | 4 | — | — |
| W. McKennie | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Dest | M | 80 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 23% | — | — | — |
| R. Pepi | F | 74 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| F. Balogun | F | 89 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Trusty | D | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Reyna | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| H. Wright | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| J. Scally | D | 10 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| S. Berhalter | M | 16 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
Australia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Beach | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| J. Bos | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Burgess | D | 45 | 5.30 | 1 | — | — | 19 | 9% | — | — | — |
| H. Souttar | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 22% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Circati | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 21% | 3 | 1 | — |
| J. Italiano | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| N. Velupillay | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler | M | 78 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| A. O'Neill | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 38 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Mathew Leckie | M | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 7% | — | — | — |
| M. Touré | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Metcalfe | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Volpato | M | 29 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| J. Geria | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Irvine | M | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| N. Irankunda | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of USA vs Australia?
The final score was USA 2–0 Australia.
What did the model predict before USA vs Australia?
The model assigned 44% probability to a USA win, 26% to a draw, and 29% to an Australia win.