M. Tillman
31'
9'
(ast. N. Raskin)
C. De Ketelaere
33'
(ast. L. Trossard)
C. De Ketelaere
57'
(ast. C. De Ketelaere)
H. Vanaken
90'+3
(ast. H. Vanaken)
R. Lukaku
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Belgium a 41% win probability (draw 26%, USA 31%). The final result was USA 1–4 Belgium. In 1 previous meetings, USA have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Belgium.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
10
2
Shots on target
6
0.64
Actual xG
2.10
3
Saves
1
56%
Possession
44%
3
Corners
5
20
Tackles
21
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
9'
ast. N. Raskin ·
C. De Ketelaere⚽
21'
H. Vanaken
/
A. Onana
⚽M. Tillman
31'
33'
ast. L. Trossard ·
C. De Ketelaere⚽
W. McKennie
35'
S. Dest
/ G. Reyna
46'
57'
ast. C. De Ketelaere ·
H. Vanaken⚽
C. Pulisic
/ S. Berhalter
59'
67'
J. Doku
/
D. Lukebakio
67'
R. Lukaku
/
C. De Ketelaere
M. Tillman
69'
T. Adams
/ R. Pepi
72'
89'
A. Saelemaekers
/
L. Trossard
89'
A. Witsel
/
N. Raskin
F. Balogun
/ H. Wright
90'+2
A. Robinson
/ M. Arfsten
90'+2
90'+3
ast. H. Vanaken ·
R. Lukaku⚽
Pre-match prediction
31.67%
USA
26.76%
X
41.57%
Belgium ←
we assigned to the actual result (Belgium)
41.57%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.44
0.64
-0.8
1.80
2.10
+0.3
Belgium dominated by xG (2.10 vs 0.64).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
24
M. Freese
G
M. Freese
G
5
A. Robinson
D
A. Robinson
D
13
T. Ream
D
T. Ream
D
3
C. Richards
D
C. Richards
D
16
A. Freeman
D
A. Freeman
D
17
M. Tillman
1 ⚽
M
M. Tillman
1 ⚽
M
4
T. Adams
72'
M
T. Adams
72'
M
8
W. McKennie
M
W. McKennie
M
10
C. Pulišić
59'
F
C. Pulišić
59'
F
20
F. Balogun
F
F. Balogun
F
2
S. Dest
45'
F
S. Dest
45'
F
Bench
6
A. Trusty
D
A. Trusty
D
26
A. Zendejas
F
A. Zendejas
F
11
B. Aaronson
M
B. Aaronson
M
25
C. Brady
G
C. Brady
G
7
G. Reyna
47'
M
G. Reyna
47'
M
19
Haji Wright
F
Haji Wright
F
23
J. Scally
D
J. Scally
D
18
M. Arfsten
M
M. Arfsten
M
22
M. McKenzie
D
M. McKenzie
D
12
M. Robinson
D
M. Robinson
D
1
M. Turner
G
M. Turner
G
9
R. Pepi
20'
F
R. Pepi
20'
F
14
S. Berhalter
33'
M
S. Berhalter
33'
M
21
T. Weah
F
T. Weah
F
1
T. Courtois
G
T. Courtois
G
5
M. De Cuyper
D
M. De Cuyper
D
4
Brandon Mechele
D
Brandon Mechele
D
25
N. Ngoy
D
N. Ngoy
D
21
T. Castagne
D
T. Castagne
D
23
N. Raskin
1 👟
89'
M
N. Raskin
1 👟
89'
M
24
Amadou Onana
21'
M
Amadou Onana
21'
M
10
Leandro Trossard
1 👟
89'
M
Leandro Trossard
1 👟
89'
M
8
Y. Tielemans
M
Y. Tielemans
M
14
D. Lukebakio
67'
M
D. Lukebakio
67'
M
17
C. De Ketelaere
2 ⚽
1 👟
67'
F
C. De Ketelaere
2 ⚽
1 👟
67'
F
Bench
22
A. Saelemaekers
3'
F
A. Saelemaekers
3'
F
3
A. Theate
D
A. Theate
D
6
A. Witsel
3'
M
A. Witsel
3'
M
19
Diego Moreira
F
Diego Moreira
F
20
Hans Vanaken
1 ⚽
1 👟
71'
M
Hans Vanaken
1 ⚽
1 👟
71'
M
11
J. Doku
25'
F
J. Doku
25'
F
18
J. Seys
D
J. Seys
D
7
K. De Bruyne
M
K. De Bruyne
M
16
K. De Winter
D
K. De Winter
D
26
M. Fernandez-Pardo
F
M. Fernandez-Pardo
F
13
M. Penders
G
M. Penders
G
9
Romelu Lukaku
1 ⚽
25'
F
Romelu Lukaku
1 ⚽
25'
F
12
S. Lammens
G
S. Lammens
G
15
T. Meunier
D
T. Meunier
D
2
Z. Debast
D
Z. Debast
D
Best on the pitch
C. De Ketelaere
F · Belgium
8.30
2 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 17 pass
N. Raskin
M · Belgium
7.70
1 👟
1 shots
· 45 pass
Leandro Trossard
M · Belgium
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 23 pass
M. Tillman
M · USA
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 36 pass
Hans Vanaken
M · Belgium
7.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 38 pass
J. Doku
F · Belgium
7.20
· 9 pass
USA — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Freese | G | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| A. Robinson | D | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 52 | 43% | 7 | — | — |
| T. Ream | D | 92 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 86 | 81% | — | — | — |
| C. Richards | D | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 75 | 68% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Freeman | D | 92 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 55 | 46% | 6 | — | — |
| M. Tillman | M | 92 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 36 | 29% | 2 | 1 | — |
| T. Adams | M | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 61 | 59% | 2 | — | — |
| W. McKennie | M | 92 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 36 | 28% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Pulišić | F | 59 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| F. Balogun | F | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| S. Dest | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| G. Reyna | M | 47 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Pepi | F | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Berhalter | M | 33 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 30% | — | — | — |
Belgium — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Courtois | G | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 24% | — | — | — |
| M. De Cuyper | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 35% | 4 | — | — |
| Brandon Mechele | D | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Ngoy | D | 92 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 35 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Castagne | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Raskin | M | 89 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 45 | 37% | 4 | — | — |
| Amadou Onana | M | 21 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Leandro Trossard | M | 89 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 23 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Tielemans | M | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Lukebakio | M | 67 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| C. De Ketelaere | F | 67 | 8.30 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Saelemaekers | F | 3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| A. Witsel | M | 3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Hans Vanaken | M | 71 | 7.30 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 38 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Doku | F | 25 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Romelu Lukaku | F | 25 | 6.50 | 1 | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of USA vs Belgium?
The final score was USA 1–4 Belgium.
What did the model predict before USA vs Belgium?
The model assigned 31% probability to a USA win, 26% to a draw, and 41% to an Belgium win.