M. Tillman
31'
9'
(ast. N. Raskin)
C. De Ketelaere
33'
(ast. L. Trossard)
C. De Ketelaere
57'
(ast. C. De Ketelaere)
H. Vanaken
90'+3
(ast. H. Vanaken)
R. Lukaku
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Belgium a 41% win probability (draw 26%, USA 31%). The final result was USA 1–4 Belgium. In 1 previous meetings, USA have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Belgium.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
10
2
Shots on target
6
0.64
Actual xG
2.10
3
Saves
1
56%
Possession
44%
3
Corners
5
20
Tackles
21
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
9'
ast. N. Raskin ·
C. De Ketelaere⚽
21'
H. Vanaken
/
A. Onana
⚽M. Tillman
31'
33'
ast. L. Trossard ·
C. De Ketelaere⚽
W. McKennie
35'
S. Dest
/ G. Reyna
46'
57'
ast. C. De Ketelaere ·
H. Vanaken⚽
C. Pulisic
/ S. Berhalter
59'
67'
J. Doku
/
D. Lukebakio
67'
R. Lukaku
/
C. De Ketelaere
M. Tillman
69'
T. Adams
/ R. Pepi
72'
89'
A. Saelemaekers
/
L. Trossard
89'
A. Witsel
/
N. Raskin
F. Balogun
/ H. Wright
90'+2
A. Robinson
/ M. Arfsten
90'+2
90'+3
ast. H. Vanaken ·
R. Lukaku⚽
Pre-match prediction
31.67%
USA
26.76%
X
41.57%
Belgium ←
we assigned to the actual result (Belgium)
41.57%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.44
0.64
-0.8
1.80
2.10
+0.3
Belgium dominated by xG (2.10 vs 0.64).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
24
Matthew Freese
G
Matthew Freese
G
5
Antonee Robinson
D
Antonee Robinson
D
13
Tim Ream
D
Tim Ream
D
3
C. Richards
D
C. Richards
D
16
Alexander Freeman
D
Alexander Freeman
D
17
M. Tillman
1 ⚽
M
M. Tillman
1 ⚽
M
4
Tyler Adams
72'
M
Tyler Adams
72'
M
8
Weston McKennie
M
Weston McKennie
M
10
C. Pulišić
59'
F
C. Pulišić
59'
F
20
F. Balogun
F
F. Balogun
F
2
Sergiño Dest
45'
F
Sergiño Dest
45'
F
Bench
6
Auston Trusty
D
Auston Trusty
D
26
A. Zendejas
F
A. Zendejas
F
11
B. Aaronson
M
B. Aaronson
M
25
Chris Brady
G
Chris Brady
G
7
Giovanni Reyna
47'
M
Giovanni Reyna
47'
M
19
Haji Wright
F
Haji Wright
F
23
Joe Scally
D
Joe Scally
D
18
M. Arfsten
M
M. Arfsten
M
22
Mark McKenzie
D
Mark McKenzie
D
1
Matt Turner
G
Matt Turner
G
12
M. Robinson
D
M. Robinson
D
9
R. Pepi
20'
F
R. Pepi
20'
F
14
S. Berhalter
33'
M
S. Berhalter
33'
M
21
T. Weah
F
T. Weah
F
1
Thibaut Courtois
G
Thibaut Courtois
G
5
Maxim De Cuyper
D
Maxim De Cuyper
D
4
Brandon Mechele
D
Brandon Mechele
D
25
N. Ngoy
D
N. Ngoy
D
21
Timothy Castagne
D
Timothy Castagne
D
23
Nicolas Raskin
1 👟
89'
M
Nicolas Raskin
1 👟
89'
M
24
Amadou Onana
21'
M
Amadou Onana
21'
M
10
L. Trossard
1 👟
89'
M
L. Trossard
1 👟
89'
M
8
Y. Tielemans
M
Y. Tielemans
M
14
D. Lukebakio
67'
M
D. Lukebakio
67'
M
17
C. De Ketelaere
2 ⚽
1 👟
67'
F
C. De Ketelaere
2 ⚽
1 👟
67'
F
Bench
3
Arthur Theate
D
Arthur Theate
D
22
A. Saelemaekers
3'
F
A. Saelemaekers
3'
F
6
Axel Witsel
3'
M
Axel Witsel
3'
M
19
Diego Moreira
F
Diego Moreira
F
20
H. Vanaken
1 ⚽
1 👟
71'
M
H. Vanaken
1 ⚽
1 👟
71'
M
11
J. Doku
25'
F
J. Doku
25'
F
18
Joaquin Seys
D
Joaquin Seys
D
7
K. De Bruyne
M
K. De Bruyne
M
16
Koni De Winter
D
Koni De Winter
D
26
Matías Fernández-Pardo
F
Matías Fernández-Pardo
F
13
Mike Penders
G
Mike Penders
G
9
R. Lukaku
1 ⚽
25'
F
R. Lukaku
1 ⚽
25'
F
12
Senne Lammens
G
Senne Lammens
G
15
Thomas Meunier
D
Thomas Meunier
D
2
Zeno Debast
D
Zeno Debast
D
Best on the pitch
C. De Ketelaere
F · Belgium
8.30
2 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 17 pass
Nicolas Raskin
M · Belgium
7.70
1 👟
1 shots
· 45 pass
L. Trossard
M · Belgium
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 23 pass
M. Tillman
M · USA
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 36 pass
H. Vanaken
M · Belgium
7.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 38 pass
J. Doku
F · Belgium
7.20
· 9 pass
USA — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Freese | G | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Antonee Robinson | D | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 52 | 43% | 7 | — | — |
| Tim Ream | D | 92 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 86 | 81% | — | — | — |
| C. Richards | D | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 75 | 68% | 1 | — | — |
| Alexander Freeman | D | 92 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 55 | 46% | 6 | — | — |
| M. Tillman | M | 92 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 36 | 29% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Tyler Adams | M | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 61 | 59% | 2 | — | — |
| Weston McKennie | M | 92 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 36 | 28% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Pulišić | F | 59 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| F. Balogun | F | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Sergiño Dest | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Giovanni Reyna | M | 47 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Pepi | F | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Berhalter | M | 33 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 30% | — | — | — |
Belgium — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thibaut Courtois | G | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Maxim De Cuyper | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 35% | 4 | — | — |
| Brandon Mechele | D | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Ngoy | D | 92 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 35 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Timothy Castagne | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Nicolas Raskin | M | 89 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 45 | 37% | 4 | — | — |
| Amadou Onana | M | 21 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Trossard | M | 89 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 23 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Tielemans | M | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Lukebakio | M | 67 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| C. De Ketelaere | F | 67 | 8.30 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Saelemaekers | F | 3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Axel Witsel | M | 3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| H. Vanaken | M | 71 | 7.30 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 38 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Doku | F | 25 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| R. Lukaku | F | 25 | 6.50 | 1 | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of USA vs Belgium?
The final score was USA 1–4 Belgium.
What did the model predict before USA vs Belgium?
The model assigned 31% probability to a USA win, 26% to a draw, and 41% to an Belgium win.