✓Model correct — prediction USA
F. Balogun
45'
M. Tillman
82'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave USA a 57% win probability (draw 27%, Bosnia & Herzegovina 15%). The final result was USA 2–0 Bosnia & Herzegovina.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
6
2
Shots on target
3
0.92
Actual xG
0.21
3
Saves
0
48%
Possession
52%
4
Corners
3
11
Tackles
18
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
⚽F. Balogun
45'
51'
E. Bajraktarevic
/
A. Gigovic
51'
B. Tahirovic
/
I. Sunjic
51'
E. Mahmic
/
E. Dzeko
F. Balogun
64'
75'
H. Tabakovic
/
S. Kolasinac
75'
A. Memic
/
N. Katic
80'
S. Barbarez
80'
S. Radeljic
⚽M. Tillman
82'
S. Dest
/ S. Berhalter
87'
C. Pulisic
/ R. Pepi
88'
W. McKennie
/ G. Reyna
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
57.61%
USA ←
27.27%
X
15.12%
Bosnia
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (USA)
57.61%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.68
0.92
-0.76
0.73
0.21
-0.52
USA dominated by xG (0.92 vs 0.21).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
24
Matthew Freese
G
Matthew Freese
G
5
Antonee Robinson
D
Antonee Robinson
D
13
Tim Ream
D
3
C. Richards
D
C. Richards
D
16
Alexander Freeman
D
Alexander Freeman
D
17
M. Tillman
1 ⚽
M
M. Tillman
1 ⚽
M
4
Tyler Adams
M
Tyler Adams
M
8
Weston McKennie
M
Weston McKennie
M
10
C. Pulišić
88'
F
C. Pulišić
88'
F
20
F. Balogun
1 ⚽
64'
F
F. Balogun
1 ⚽
64'
F
2
Sergiño Dest
87'
F
Sergiño Dest
87'
F
Bench
6
Auston Trusty
D
Auston Trusty
D
26
A. Zendejas
F
A. Zendejas
F
11
B. Aaronson
M
B. Aaronson
M
25
Chris Brady
G
Chris Brady
G
7
Giovanni Reyna
3'
M
Giovanni Reyna
3'
M
19
Haji Wright
F
Haji Wright
F
23
Joe Scally
D
Joe Scally
D
18
M. Arfsten
M
M. Arfsten
M
1
Matt Turner
G
Matt Turner
G
12
Miles Robinson
D
Miles Robinson
D
9
Ricardo Pepi
10'
F
Ricardo Pepi
10'
F
14
Sebastian Berhalter
11'
M
Sebastian Berhalter
11'
M
21
T. Weah
F
T. Weah
F
1
Nikola Vasilj
G
Nikola Vasilj
G
5
Sead Kolašinac
75'
D
Sead Kolašinac
75'
D
21
Stjepan Radeljić
D
4
T. Muharemović
D
T. Muharemović
D
18
N. Katić
75'
D
N. Katić
75'
D
7
A. Dedić
D
A. Dedić
D
19
Kerim-Sam Alajbegović
M
Kerim-Sam Alajbegović
M
14
Ivan Šunjić
51'
M
8
Armin Gigović
51'
M
Armin Gigović
51'
M
10
Ermedin Demirović
F
Ermedin Demirović
F
11
E. Džeko
51'
F
E. Džeko
51'
F
Bench
15
Amar Memić
23'
M
Amar Memić
23'
M
16
Amir Hadžiahmetović
M
24
Arjan Malić
D
Arjan Malić
D
6
Benjamin Tahirović
47'
M
Benjamin Tahirović
47'
M
3
Dennis Hadžikadunić
D
Dennis Hadžikadunić
D
17
Dženis Burnić
M
Dženis Burnić
M
20
E. Bajraktarevic
47'
F
E. Bajraktarevic
47'
F
26
Ermin Mahmić
47'
M
Ermin Mahmić
47'
M
23
Haris Tabaković
23'
F
Haris Tabaković
23'
F
13
Ivan Bašić
M
25
Jovo Lukić
F
22
Martin Zlomislić
G
12
Mladen Jurkas
G
2
Nihad Mujakić
D
Nihad Mujakić
D
9
Samed Baždar
F
Samed Baždar
F
Best on the pitch
M. Tillman
M · USA
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 31 pass
C. Richards
D · USA
7.30
· 45 pass
Antonee Robinson
D · USA
7.20
· 41 pass
Tim Ream
D · USA
7.20
· 56 pass
Alexander Freeman
D · USA
7.20
1 shots
· 60 pass
Weston McKennie
M · USA
7.20
· 42 pass
USA — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Freese | G | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Antonee Robinson | D | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 41 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Tim Ream | D | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 56 | 49% | — | — | — |
| C. Richards | D | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 41% | — | — | — |
| Alexander Freeman | D | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 58% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Tillman | M | 98 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 31 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| Tyler Adams | M | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Weston McKennie | M | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Pulišić | F | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Balogun | F | 64 | 6.50 | 1 | — | 4 | 9 | 5% | — | — | 1 |
| Sergiño Dest | F | 87 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Giovanni Reyna | M | 3 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Ricardo Pepi | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Sebastian Berhalter | M | 11 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
Bosnia & Herzegovina — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Vasilj | G | 98 | 4.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Sead Kolašinac | D | 75 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Stjepan Radeljić | D | 98 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 63 | 55% | 3 | 1 | — |
| T. Muharemović | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 81 | 73% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Katić | D | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Dedić | D | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 26% | 5 | — | — |
| Kerim-Sam Alajbegović | M | 98 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Ivan Šunjić | M | 51 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Armin Gigović | M | 51 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Ermedin Demirović | F | 98 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Džeko | F | 51 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Amar Memić | M | 23 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Benjamin Tahirović | M | 47 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 41 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Bajraktarevic | F | 47 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Ermin Mahmić | M | 47 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Haris Tabaković | F | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?
The final score was USA 2–0 Bosnia & Herzegovina.
What did the model predict before USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?
The model assigned 57% probability to a USA win, 27% to a draw, and 15% to an Bosnia & Herzegovina win.