Friendlies Internazionali
· Friendly International
October 07, 2026 02:00
J. Ellis
(ast. A. Freeman)
29'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave USA a 53% win probability (draw 23%, Canada 22%). The final result was USA 1–0 Canada.
Match statistics
4
Total shots
6
1
Shots on target
3
3
Saves
0
53%
Possession
47%
4
Corners
8
11
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽J. Ellis
· ast. A. Freeman
29'
31'
T. Oluwaseyi
G. Reyna
40'
46'
M. Choiniere
/
S. Eustaquio
G. Reyna
/ S. Berhalter
46'
Y. Musah
/ S. Dest
46'
J. Ellis
/ J. Hall
46'
58'
J. David
M. Albert
/ C. Campbell
61'
B. Raines
/ T. Adams
61'
65'
D. Jebbison
/
T. Oluwaseyi
66'
J. Russell-Rowe
/
L. Millar
M. Tillman
71'
72'
P. David
/
J. Shaffelburg
M. Tillman
/ N. Pierre
74'
A. Trusty
/ A. Robinson
74'
G. Campbell
/ A. Mehmeti
74'
Pre-match prediction
53.78%
USA ←
23.3%
X
22.92%
Canada
we assigned to the actual result (USA)
53.78%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.84
—
—
1.02
—
—
Lineups
28
B. Schwake
83'
G
B. Schwake
83'
G
6
A. Trusty
74'
D
A. Trusty
74'
D
3
C. Richards
83'
D
C. Richards
83'
D
18
G. Campbell
74'
D
G. Campbell
74'
D
16
A. Freeman
1 👟
83'
D
A. Freeman
1 👟
83'
D
15
B. Raines
61'
M
B. Raines
61'
M
7
G. Reyna
45'
M
G. Reyna
45'
M
27
M. Albert
61'
M
M. Albert
61'
M
17
M. Tillman
74'
M
M. Tillman
74'
M
10
Y. Musah
45'
M
Y. Musah
45'
M
22
Justin Ellis
1 ⚽
45'
F
Justin Ellis
1 ⚽
45'
F
Bench
26
A. Mehmeti
9'
M
A. Mehmeti
9'
M
5
A. Robinson
9'
D
A. Robinson
9'
D
8
Cavan Sullivan
M
Cavan Sullivan
M
25
C. Brady
G
C. Brady
G
9
D. Downs
F
D. Downs
F
24
D. Kochen
G
D. Kochen
G
19
J. Hall
38'
F
J. Hall
38'
F
12
M. Robinson
D
M. Robinson
D
20
Neil Pierre
9'
D
Neil Pierre
9'
D
13
P. Miller
D
P. Miller
D
14
S. Berhalter
38'
M
S. Berhalter
38'
M
2
S. Dest
38'
D
S. Dest
38'
D
4
T. Adams
22'
M
T. Adams
22'
M
23
William Cole Campbell
22'
F
William Cole Campbell
22'
F
11
Zavier Gozo
F
Zavier Gozo
F
1
D. St. Clair
83'
G
D. St. Clair
83'
G
22
R. Laryea
83'
D
R. Laryea
83'
D
3
R. Priso
83'
D
R. Priso
83'
D
4
L. De Fougerolles
83'
D
L. De Fougerolles
83'
D
23
N. Sigur
83'
D
N. Sigur
83'
D
14
J. Shaffelburg
72'
M
J. Shaffelburg
72'
M
7
S. Eustáquio
45'
M
S. Eustáquio
45'
M
25
N. Saliba
83'
M
N. Saliba
83'
M
11
L. Millar
66'
M
L. Millar
66'
M
12
T. Oluwaseyi
65'
F
T. Oluwaseyi
65'
F
10
J. David
83'
F
J. David
83'
F
Bench
26
D. Jebbison
18'
F
D. Jebbison
18'
F
5
Jamie Knight-Lebel
D
Jamie Knight-Lebel
D
2
Jovan Ivanišević
D
16
J. Pantemis
G
J. Pantemis
G
21
J. Russell-Rowe
17'
F
J. Russell-Rowe
17'
F
28
J. Smith
M
J. Smith
M
20
Marcus Caldeira
F
Marcus Caldeira
F
6
M. Choinière
38'
M
M. Choinière
38'
M
18
O. Goodman
G
O. Goodman
G
24
P. David
11'
F
P. David
11'
F
27
R. Chukwu
D
R. Chukwu
D
15
T. Corbeanu
F
T. Corbeanu
F
Best on the pitch
Justin Ellis
F · USA
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 7 pass
B. Schwake
G · USA
7.00
· 35 pass
G. Reyna
M · USA
7.00
· 30 pass
L. De Fougerolles
D · Canada
7.00
1 shots
· 37 pass
A. Trusty
D · USA
6.90
· 37 pass
C. Richards
D · USA
6.90
· 68 pass
USA — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Schwake | G | 83 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 35 | 20% | — | — | — |
| A. Trusty | D | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 32% | — | — | — |
| C. Richards | D | 83 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 68 | 63% | — | — | — |
| G. Campbell | D | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 49 | 38% | — | — | — |
| A. Freeman | D | 83 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 21 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Raines | M | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Reyna | M | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Albert | M | 61 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Tillman | M | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Y. Musah | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Justin Ellis | F | 45 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | 2% | — | — | — |
| A. Mehmeti | M | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| A. Robinson | D | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| J. Hall | F | 38 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Neil Pierre | D | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| S. Berhalter | M | 38 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| S. Dest | D | 38 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| T. Adams | M | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| William Cole Campbell | F | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
Canada — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. St. Clair | G | 83 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
| R. Laryea | D | 83 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Priso | D | 83 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 41 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| L. De Fougerolles | D | 83 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Sigur | D | 83 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 35 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Shaffelburg | M | 72 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Eustáquio | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Saliba | M | 83 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Millar | M | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 7% | — | — | — |
| T. Oluwaseyi | F | 65 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. David | F | 83 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Jebbison | F | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Russell-Rowe | F | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| M. Choinière | M | 38 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| P. David | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of USA vs Canada?
The final score was USA 1–0 Canada.
What did the model predict before USA vs Canada?
The model assigned 53% probability to a USA win, 23% to a draw, and 22% to an Canada win.