USA - Canada
Friendlies Internazionali
October 07, 2026 02:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.67%
Win
USA
29.58%
Draw
33.75%
Win
Canada
1.28
1.2
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(11.74%)
1X2 Result
1
37%
X
30%
2
34%
Double Chance
1X
66%
X2
63%
12
70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives USA a 36% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Canada. Expected goals are 1.3 for USA and 1.2 for Canada (total 2.5), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.74% probability.
Season Stats
1W
0D
3L
2W
3D
0L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.2
2.8
Conceded
0.6
3.5
Shots OT
3.3
5.0
Corners
5.3
47%
Poss.
55%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
60%
75%
O 2.5
20%
75%
BTTS
40%
0%
Clean Sht
60%
ℹ
Based on the last 5 matches in Friendlies Internazionali. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ USA
Canada →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.4% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.7% | 12.9% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 6.9% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
USA
Attack
37
Defence
48
Form
45
Canada
Attack
28
Defence
87
Form
58
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Unavailable
USA
Injured
Injured
Injured
Injured
Canada
Injured
Injured
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win USA vs Canada?
The model gives USA a 36% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 33% for an Canada win.
How many goals are expected in USA vs Canada?
Expected goals: USA 1.3, Canada 1.2 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in USA vs Canada?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.74%.