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USA - Chile

Friendlies Internazionali September 30, 2026 02:00
USA
vs
Chile
⚡ Pre-match analysis
38.57%
Win
USA
30.59%
Draw
30.85%
Win
Chile
1.77
Expected xG
1.09

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (11.14%)
1X2 Result
1 39%
X 31%
2 31%
Double Chance
1X 69%
X2 61%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives USA a 38% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Chile. Expected goals are 1.8 for USA and 1.1 for Chile (total 2.9), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 11.14% probability.

Season Stats

USA
1W 0D 3L
Chile
1W 0D 1L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.5
2.8
Conceded
1.5
3.5
Shots OT
3.5
5.0
Corners
2.5
47%
Poss.
45%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
75%
O 2.5
100%
75%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 4 matches in Friendlies Internazionali. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
88%
BTTS
USA
1W 0D 3L · at home
Chile
1W 0D 1L · away
1.5
gls/g
1.5
2.8
Conceded
1.5
25%
Win %
50%
25%
Win or Draw
50%
100%
O 1.5
100%
75%
O 2.5
100%
50%
O 3.5
0%
75%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
25%
Failed to Score
0%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ USA Chile →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8% 6.3% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.2% 11.1% 6.0% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 9.0% 9.8% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.3% 5.7% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.3% 2.5% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% —
5 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% — —

Recent form

USA USA
L Germany 1–2
W Senegal 3–2
L Portugal 0–2
L Belgium 2–5
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
Chile Chile
W Congo DR 1–2
L Portugal 2–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

USA USA
Attack
37
Defence
48
Form
45
Chile Chile
Attack
36
Defence
50
Form
57
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Unavailable

USA
C. Pulišić
C. Pulišić
Injured
C. Roldan
C. Roldan
Injured
F. Balogun
F. Balogun
Injured
M. McKenzie
M. McKenzie
Injured
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win USA vs Chile?
The model gives USA a 38% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 30% for an Chile win.
How many goals are expected in USA vs Chile?
Expected goals: USA 1.8, Chile 1.1 (total 2.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in USA vs Chile?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.14%.