USA - Haiti
CONCACAF Nations League
November 18, 2026 01:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
57.62%
Win
USA
25.93%
Draw
16.45%
Win
Haiti
1.43
0.58
Expected xG
Most likely outcome
USA
57.62%
Probability
83.3%
1X2 accuracy · 24 predictions (3 months)
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(19.68%)
1X2 Result
✓ 83.3% hit rate (24 picks)
1
58%
X
26%
2
16%
Double Chance
✓ 95.8% hit rate (24 picks)
1X
84%
X2
42%
12
74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
66%
Over 2.5
33%
✓ 71.4% hit rate (42 picks)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives USA a 57% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 16% for Haiti. Expected goals are 1.4 for USA and 0.6 for Haiti (total 2.0), with a 65% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 19.68% probability. In 1 previous meetings, USA have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Haiti.
Score Matrix
↕ USA
Haiti →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.4% | 7.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 19.1% | 11.1% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 2 | 13.7% | 8.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 4 | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
USA
Attack
46
Defence
73
Form
75
Haiti
Attack
41
Defence
52
Form
53
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
0
Draw
0
23 Jun 2025
2–1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win USA vs Haiti?
The model gives USA a 57% win probability, 25% for a draw, and 16% for an Haiti win.
How many goals are expected in USA vs Haiti?
Expected goals: USA 1.4, Haiti 0.6 (total 2.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 65%.
What is the most likely score in USA vs Haiti?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 19.68%.