USA 4–1 Peru — pre-match prediction — Friendlies Internazionali — September 26, 2026

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Friendlies Internazionali · Friendly International September 26, 2026 22:30

USA

4 – 1

Final score

Peru

J. Ellis (ast. G. Reyna) 4'

M. Tillman 66' (pen.)

J. Hall (ast. S. Berhalter) 72'

S. Berhalter (ast. J. Hall) 90'

15' (ast. Y. Yotun) G. Lapadula

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave USA a 47% win probability (draw 26%, Peru 25%). The final result was USA 4–1 Peru.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

69%

Possession

31%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽J. Ellis · ast. G. Reyna

15'

ast. Y. Yotun · G. Lapadula⚽

C. Sullivan

23'

G. Reyna

43'

↕ M. Freese / D. Kochen

46'

50'

W. Cartagena

57'

B. Soyer / P. Magallanes ↕

57'

J. Pretell / W. Cartagena ↕

57'

A. Valera / G. Lapadula ↕

↕ G. Reyna / M. Albert

62'

↕ J. Ellis / J. Hall

62'

↕ C. Sullivan / Z. Gozo

62'

↕ Y. Musah / S. Berhalter

62'

↕ P. Miller / A. Robinson

62'

65'

M. Lopez

65'

Y. Yotun

⚽M. Tillman (pen.)

66'

⚽J. Hall · ast. S. Berhalter

72'

76'

O. Mora / Y. Yotun ↕

76'

J. Concha / J. Vidales ↕

76'

R. Vilca / J. Velez ↕

↕ A. Freeman / F. Westfield

77'

↕ M. Tillman / B. Raines

77'

79'

R. Garces

83'

C. Inga / M. Lopez ↕

83'

M. Huaman / O. Sonne ↕

↕ G. Campbell / N. Pierre

87'

↕ T. Adams / A. Mehmeti

88'

⚽S. Berhalter · ast. J. Hall

90'

Pre-match prediction

47.58%

USA ←

26.92%

25.5%

Peru

we assigned to the actual result (USA) 47.58% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

USA

1.84

—

Peru

1.11

—

Lineups

USA 4-2-3-1

M. Freese 45' G 6.90

P. Miller 62' D 6.90

A. Trusty D 6.90

G. Campbell 87' D 7.00

A. Freeman 77' D 7.30

T. Adams 88' M 7.20

Y. Musah 62' M 6.90

M. Tillman 1 ⚽ 77' M 7.20

G. Reyna 1 👟 61' M 7.50

Cavan Sullivan 62' M 6.70

Justin Ellis 1 ⚽ 62' F 7.60

Bench

A. Mehmeti 6' M

A. Robinson 32' D 7.00

B. Raines 17' M 6.70

B. Schwake G

C. Brady G

D. Downs F

D. Kochen 49' G 6.70

F. Westfield 17' D 6.30

J. Hall 1 ⚽ 1 👟 32' F 7.60

M. Albert 33' F 6.90

M. Robinson D

Neil Pierre 7' D

S. Berhalter 1 ⚽ 1 👟 32' M 8.30

S. Dest D

Zavier Gozo 32' F 6.50

Peru 4-2-3-1

Pedro Gallese G 5.50

M. López 83' D 6.70

R. Garcés D 6.50

M. Araujo D 6.50

O. Sonne 83' D 6.20

Y. Yotún 1 👟 76' M 7.00

W. Cartagena 57' M 6.70

J. Vidales 76' M 6.50

J. Vélez 76' M 6.30

P. Magallanes 57' M 6.70

G. Lapadula 1 ⚽ 57' F 7.30

Bench

A. Barco M

A. Ugarriza F

A. Valera 37' F 6.90

Bassco Soyer 37' F 6.30

C. Inga 11' D 6.30

D. Romero G

E. Noriega M

J. Concha 18' M 6.70

J. Pretell 37' M 6.20

Matías Córdova G

Matias Zegarra D

M. Huamán 11' D 6.90

O. Mora 18' M 6.50

Rodrigo Gary Vilca Betetta 18' M 6.50

Best on the pitch

S. Berhalter

M · USA

8.30

1 ⚽ 1 👟

2 shots · 15 pass

J. Hall

F · USA

7.60

1 ⚽ 1 👟

1 shots · 6 pass

Justin Ellis

F · USA

7.60

1 ⚽

3 shots · 21 pass

G. Reyna

M · USA

7.50

1 👟

· 48 pass

A. Freeman

D · USA

7.30

· 63 pass

G. Lapadula

F · Peru

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 10 pass

USA — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
M. Freese	G	45	6.90	—	—	—	10	7%	—	—	—
P. Miller	D	62	6.90	—	—	1	37	36%	1	—	—
A. Trusty	D	94	6.90	—	—	—	73	68%	2	—	—
G. Campbell	D	87	7.00	—	—	—	77	74%	—	—	—
A. Freeman	D	77	7.30	—	—	—	63	58%	1	—	—
T. Adams	M	88	7.20	—	—	—	91	90%	2	—	—
Y. Musah	M	62	6.90	—	—	—	38	38%	—	—	—
M. Tillman	M	77	7.20	1	—	2	36	32%	1	—	—
G. Reyna	M	61	7.50	—	1	—	48	45%	—	1	—
Cavan Sullivan	M	62	6.70	—	—	—	28	25%	—	1	—
Justin Ellis	F	62	7.60	1	—	3	21	18%	—	—	—
A. Mehmeti	M	6	—	—	—	—	8	8%	—	—	—
A. Robinson	D	32	7.00	—	—	—	17	16%	1	—	—
B. Raines	M	17	6.70	—	—	—	16	16%	—	—	—
D. Kochen	G	49	6.70	—	—	—	9	9%	—	—	—
F. Westfield	D	17	6.30	—	—	1	8	7%	—	—	—
J. Hall	F	32	7.60	1	1	1	6	4%	—	—	—
M. Albert	F	33	6.90	—	—	—	9	8%	—	—	—
Neil Pierre	D	7	—	—	—	—	4	3%	—	—	—
S. Berhalter	M	32	8.30	1	1	2	15	13%	—	—	—
Zavier Gozo	F	32	6.50	—	—	—	8	7%	1	—	—

Peru — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Pedro Gallese	G	94	5.50	—	—	—	27	13%	—	—	—
M. López	D	83	6.70	—	—	—	26	22%	3	1	—
R. Garcés	D	94	6.50	—	—	—	28	26%	1	1	—
M. Araujo	D	94	6.50	—	—	—	31	26%	1	—	—
O. Sonne	D	83	6.20	—	—	1	25	21%	—	—	—
Y. Yotún	M	76	7.00	—	1	—	39	35%	2	1	—
W. Cartagena	M	57	6.70	—	—	—	17	17%	2	1	—
J. Vidales	M	76	6.50	—	—	1	16	15%	3	—	—
J. Vélez	M	76	6.30	—	—	—	9	8%	2	—	—
P. Magallanes	M	57	6.70	—	—	—	11	7%	1	—	—
G. Lapadula	F	57	7.30	1	—	1	10	8%	—	—	—
A. Valera	F	37	6.90	—	—	—	8	4%	—	—	—
Bassco Soyer	F	37	6.30	—	—	—	6	6%	—	—	—
C. Inga	D	11	6.30	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—
J. Concha	M	18	6.70	—	—	—	5	3%	1	—	—
J. Pretell	M	37	6.20	—	—	—	6	6%	2	—	—
M. Huamán	D	11	6.90	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
O. Mora	M	18	6.50	—	—	—	6	4%	—	—	—
Rodrigo Gary Vilca Betetta	M	18	6.50	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of USA vs Peru?

The final score was USA 4–1 Peru.

What did the model predict before USA vs Peru?

The model assigned 47% probability to a USA win, 26% to a draw, and 25% to an Peru win.