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USA - Peru

Friendlies Internazionali September 26, 2026 22:30
USA
vs
Peru
⚡ Pre-match analysis
44.32%
Win
USA
27.53%
Draw
28.14%
Win
Peru
1.84
Expected xG
1.11

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (10.71%)
1X2 Result
1 44%
X 28%
2 28%
Double Chance
1X 72%
X2 56%
12 73%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 53%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives USA a 44% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Peru. Expected goals are 1.8 for USA and 1.1 for Peru (total 3.0), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 10.71% probability.

Season Stats

USA
1W 0D 3L
Peru
1W 1D 2L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.2
2.8
Conceded
2.0
3.5
Shots OT
3.0
5.0
Corners
4.7
47%
Poss.
51%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
75%
O 2.5
75%
75%
BTTS
75%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 4 matches in Friendlies Internazionali. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
63%
BTTS
USA
1W 0D 3L · at home
Peru
1W 0D 1L · away
1.5
gls/g
1.0
2.8
Conceded
1.5
25%
Win %
50%
25%
Win or Draw
50%
100%
O 1.5
100%
75%
O 2.5
50%
50%
O 3.5
0%
75%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
25%
Failed to Score
50%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ USA Peru →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.2% 5.8% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 9.6% 10.7% 5.9% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.8% 9.8% 5.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 5.4% 6.0% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.5% 2.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% —
5 0.9% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% —

Recent form

USA USA
L Germany 1–2
W Senegal 3–2
L Portugal 0–2
L Belgium 2–5
Home clean sheet (120 days) 30%
Peru Peru
L Spain 1–3
W Haiti 1–2
D Honduras 2–2
L Senegal 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 23%

Playing profile

USA USA
Attack
37
Defence
48
Form
45
Peru Peru
Attack
32
Defence
53
Form
47
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Unavailable

USA
C. Pulišić
C. Pulišić
Injured
C. Roldan
C. Roldan
Injured
F. Balogun
F. Balogun
Injured
M. McKenzie
M. McKenzie
Injured
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win USA vs Peru?
The model gives USA a 44% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 28% for an Peru win.
How many goals are expected in USA vs Peru?
Expected goals: USA 1.8, Peru 1.1 (total 3.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in USA vs Peru?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.71%.