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← Ligue Professionnelle 1

USM Alger - MC Oran

Ligue Professionnelle 1 October 24, 2026 17:00
USM Alger
#5 · 14 pts
vs
MC Oran
#4 · 15 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.44%
Win
USM Alger
36.12%
Draw
27.45%
Win
MC Oran
0.76
Expected xG
0.33

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (20.19%)
1X2 Result
1 36%
X 36%
2 27%
Double Chance
1X 73%
X2 64%
12 64%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 70%
Over 2.5 48%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives USM Alger a 36% win probability, against 36% for a draw and 27% for MC Oran. Expected goals are 0.8 for USM Alger and 0.3 for MC Oran (total 1.1), with a 70% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 20.19% probability. In 2 previous meetings, USM Alger have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for MC Oran.

Season Stats

USM Alger
5W 5D 5L
MC Oran
9W 3D 3L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
1.1
1.1
Conceded
0.8
Percentages
60%
O 1.5
53%
40%
O 2.5
33%
53%
BTTS
27%
27%
Clean Sht
60%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Ligue Professionnelle 1. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
10%
O 3.5
35%
BTTS
USM Alger
5W 3D 2L · at home
MC Oran
5W 2D 3L · away
1.3
gls/g
0.8
0.7
Conceded
1.0
50%
Win %
50%
80%
Win or Draw
70%
60%
O 1.5
50%
20%
O 2.5
40%
10%
O 3.5
10%
40%
BTTS
30%
50%
Clean Sht
50%
20%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ USM Alger MC Oran →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 33.5% 11.2% 1.9% 0.2% — —
1 25.5% 8.5% 1.4% 0.2% — —
2 9.7% 3.2% 0.5% 0.1% — —
3 2.5% 0.8% 0.1% — — —
4 0.5% 0.2% — — — —
5 0.1% — — — — —

Recent form

USM Alger USM Alger
W CS Constantine 0–2
D CR Belouizdad 2–2
W JS Saoura 1–0
L MB Rouisset 1–0
W Olympique Akbou 2–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 45%
MC Oran MC Oran
L MC Alger 2–0
D Olympique Akbou 0–0
D JS El Biar 0–0
W Khenchela 1–0
W US Biskra 0–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 51%

Playing profile

USM Alger USM Alger
Attack
35
Defence
74
Form
56
MC Oran MC Oran
Attack
14
Defence
93
Form
55
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
USM Alger
2
Draw
0
MC Oran
6 Jun 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1 2–2
8 Jan 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1 1–1

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 CR Belouizdad CR Belouizdad 7 17
2 JS Kabylie JS Kabylie 7 16
3 MC Alger MC Alger 6 16
4 MC Oran MC Oran 8 15
5 USM Alger USM Alger 7 14
6 MB Rouisset MB Rouisset 8 14
7 Olympique Akbou Olympique Akbou 7 11
8 Témouchent Témouchent 8 9
9 ES Setif ES Setif 7 8
10 JS El Biar JS El Biar 8 8
11 Ben Aknoun Ben Aknoun 7 8
12 CS Constantine CS Constantine 8 7
13 Khenchela Khenchela 7 5
14 ASO Chlef ASO Chlef 8 4
15 JS Saoura JS Saoura 7 3
16 US Biskra US Biskra 8 3
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win USM Alger vs MC Oran?
The model gives USM Alger a 36% win probability, 36% for a draw, and 27% for an MC Oran win.
How many goals are expected in USM Alger vs MC Oran?
Expected goals: USM Alger 0.8, MC Oran 0.3 (total 1.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 70%.
What is the most likely score in USM Alger vs MC Oran?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 20.19%.