Skip to main content
← CAF Confederation Cup

USM Alger - Réal Bamako

CAF Confederation Cup November 28, 2026 17:00
USM Alger
vs
Réal Bamako
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.43%
Win
USM Alger
33.87%
Draw
32.71%
Win
Réal Bamako
0.77
Expected xG
0.74

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (16.12%)
1X2 Result
1 33%
X 34%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 67%
12 66%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 51%
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch prediction gives USM Alger a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 32% for Réal Bamako. Expected goals are 0.8 for USM Alger and 0.7 for Réal Bamako (total 1.5), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 16.12% probability.

Season Stats

USM Alger
7W 4D 3L
Réal Bamako
2W 2D 0L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
1.8
0.6
Conceded
1.0
3.3
Shots OT
6.0
2.5
Corners
5.0
56%
Poss.
45%
Percentages
43%
O 1.5
75%
29%
O 2.5
75%
29%
BTTS
75%
57%
Clean Sht
25%
ℹ Based on the last 14 matches in CAF Confederation Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
32%
O 3.5
57%
BTTS
USM Alger
5W 2D 0L · at home
Réal Bamako
2W 0D 0L · away
1.4
gls/g
2.5
0.3
Conceded
1.0
71%
Win %
100%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
43%
O 1.5
100%
29%
O 2.5
100%
14%
O 3.5
50%
14%
BTTS
100%
86%
Clean Sht
0%
29%
Failed to Score
0%
last 7
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ USM Alger Réal Bamako →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 22.1% 16.3% 6.0% 1.5% 0.3% —
1 17.1% 12.6% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2% —
2 6.6% 4.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% —
3 1.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% — —
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% — — —
5 0.1% — — — — —

Recent form

USM Alger USM Alger
L Zamalek SC 1–0
W Zamalek SC 1–0
D Olympique Safi 1–1
D Olympique Safi 0–0
W Maniema Union 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 40%
Réal Bamako Réal Bamako
D ES Zarzis 2–2
W ES Zarzis 1–3
D Vitesse 0–0
W Vitesse 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

USM Alger USM Alger
Attack
34
Defence
75
Form
58
Réal Bamako Réal Bamako
Attack
48
Defence
76
Form
59
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win USM Alger vs Réal Bamako?
The model gives USM Alger a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 32% for an Réal Bamako win.
How many goals are expected in USM Alger vs Réal Bamako?
Expected goals: USM Alger 0.8, Réal Bamako 0.7 (total 1.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in USM Alger vs Réal Bamako?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 16.12%.