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← Liga 1

UTC Cajamarca - ADT

Liga 1 August 08, 2026 20:00 Estadio Heroes de San Ramon, Cajamarca
UTC Cajamarca
#13 · 18 pts
vs
ADT
#10 · 20 pts
Weather at kick-off ☀️ Clear sky 14.2°C 💨 3 km/h · Cajamarca
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.61%
Win
UTC Cajamarca
37.2%
Draw
26.19%
Win
ADT
0.75
Expected xG
0.6

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–0 (25.49%)
1X2 Result ✓ 70.4% hit rate (27 picks)
1 37%
X 37%
2 26%
Double Chance
1X 74%
X2 63%
12 63%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 59%
Over 2.5 45%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives UTC Cajamarca a 36% win probability, against 37% for a draw and 26% for ADT. Expected goals are 0.7 for UTC Cajamarca and 0.6 for ADT (total 1.3), with a 59% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 25.49% probability. In 1 previous meetings, UTC Cajamarca have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for ADT.

Season Stats

UTC Cajamarca
1W 6D 8L
ADT
4W 3D 8L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
1.3
1.9
Conceded
1.4
3.6
Shots OT
4.7
4.8
Corners
3.3
53%
Poss.
57%
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
73%
60%
O 2.5
53%
67%
BTTS
53%
13%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Liga 1. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
28%
O 3.5
44%
BTTS
UTC Cajamarca
2W 5D 2L · at home
ADT
1W 3D 5L · away
1.0
gls/g
0.9
0.9
Conceded
1.6
22%
Win %
11%
78%
Win or Draw
44%
56%
O 1.5
67%
33%
O 2.5
44%
22%
O 3.5
33%
44%
BTTS
44%
44%
Clean Sht
22%
33%
Failed to Score
44%
last 9
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ UTC Cajamarca ADT →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 26.1% 15.6% 4.7% 0.9% 0.1% —
1 19.4% 11.6% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% —
2 7.2% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% — —
3 1.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% — —
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% — — —
5 0.1% — — — — —

Recent form

UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca
L Cusco 4–1
D UCV Moquegua 0–0
L Atletico Grau 3–1
D Club Deportivo Los Chankas 2–2
D Sport Boys 0–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
ADT ADT
L Deportivo Garcilaso 0–1
L Sport Boys 2–0
L Universitario 1–2
L Cusco 1–2
L Sporting Cristal 2–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 16%

Playing profile

UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca
Attack
26
Defence
51
Form
35
ADT ADT
Attack
32
Defence
56
Form
41
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
UTC Cajamarca
1
Draw
0
ADT
22 Feb 2026 Liga 1 2–2

Primera Division: Apertura

# Team G Pts
1 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 17 40
2 Club Deportivo Los Chankas Club Deportivo Los Chankas 17 34
3 Cienciano Cienciano 17 33
4 Universitario Universitario 17 29
5 FBC Melgar FBC Melgar 17 28
6 Cusco Cusco 17 27
7 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 17 26
8 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 17 21
9 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 17 21
10 ADT ADT 17 20
11 Sport Boys Sport Boys 17 20
12 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 17 19
13 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 17 18
14 UCV Moquegua UCV Moquegua 17 18
15 FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca 17 17
16 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 17 16
17 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 17 16
18 Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College 17 16

What's at stake · Primera Division: Apertura

Top 2 advance to the next round

UTC Cajamarca ADT
Current #13 #1
→ UTC Cajamarca #10 #11
→ Draw #13 #9
→ ADT #13 #8

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win UTC Cajamarca vs ADT?
The model gives UTC Cajamarca a 36% win probability, 37% for a draw, and 26% for an ADT win.
How many goals are expected in UTC Cajamarca vs ADT?
Expected goals: UTC Cajamarca 0.7, ADT 0.6 (total 1.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 59%.
What is the most likely score in UTC Cajamarca vs ADT?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 25.49%.