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Liga 1 · Clausura - 13 October 23, 2026 20:00 Estadio Heroes de San Ramon, Cajamarca
UTC Cajamarca
#13 · 18 pts
1 – 2
Final score
FBC Melgar
#3 · 54 pts
✓Model correct — prediction FBC Melgar
Luis Garro (ast. Adolfo Muñoz) 87'
7' (ast. Walter Tandazo) Bernardo Cuesta
68' (ast. Nelson Cabanillas) Nicolas Quagliata
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FBC Melgar a 68% win probability (draw 15%, UTC Cajamarca 16%). The final result was UTC Cajamarca 1–2 FBC Melgar. In 1 previous meetings, UTC Cajamarca have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for FBC Melgar.

Match statistics
18
Total shots
8
9
Shots on target
5
1.35
Actual xG
0.92
3
Saves
8
54%
Possession
46%
4
Corners
2
14
Tackles
10
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
7'
ast. Walter Tandazo · Bernardo Cuesta⚽
David Dioses
34'
Manuel Ganoza
34'
45'+3
Jefferson Caceres / Bernardo Cuesta ↕
45'
Marcos Portillo / Walter Tandazo ↕
↕ Marlon de Jesús / Abdiel Arroyo
45'
↕ Francesco Cavagna / Dylan Caro
45'
↕ David Dioses / Joshua Cantt
61'
64'
Juan Escobar
68'
ast. Nelson Cabanillas · Nicolas Quagliata⚽
↕ Luis Arce / Jhosep Nunez
70'
↕ David Camacho / Gilmar Paredes
70'
Joshua Cantt
74'
75'
Jesús Alcantar / Nicolas Quagliata ↕
81'
Franco Zanelatto / Johnny Vidales ↕
⚽Luis Garro · ast. Adolfo Muñoz
87'
90'+3
Cristian Bordacahar
90'
Jesús Alcantar
Pre-match prediction
16.05%
UTC
15.31%
X
68.65%
FBC ←
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (FBC Melgar) 68.65% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
UTC
1.16
1.35
+0.2
FBC
2.97
0.92
-2.05
UTC Cajamarca dominated by xG (1.35 vs 0.92). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 17 40
2 Club Deportivo Los Chankas Club Deportivo Los Chankas 17 34
3 Cienciano Cienciano 17 33
4 Universitario Universitario 17 29
5 FBC Melgar FBC Melgar 17 28
6 Cusco Cusco 17 27
7 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 17 26
8 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 17 21
9 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 17 21
10 ADT ADT 17 20
11 Sport Boys Sport Boys 17 20
12 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 17 19
13 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 17 18
14 UCV Moquegua UCV Moquegua 17 18
15 FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca 17 17
16 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 17 16
17 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 17 16
18 Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College 17 16
Lineups
UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 4-2-3-1
1 Á. Campos Á. Campos G 6.22
6 F. Cavagna F. Cavagna 45' D 6.57
2 B. Duarte B. Duarte D 6.19
3 M. Ganoza M. Ganoza D 6.38
17 L. Garro L. Garro 1 ⚽ D 7.07
88 L. Arce L. Arce 70' M 6.91
8 D. Dioses D. Dioses 61' M 5.91
19 A. Muñoz A. Muñoz 1 👟 M 7.32
10 M. Lliuya M. Lliuya M 6.97
22 D. Camacho D. Camacho 70' M 5.76
9 M. de Jesús M. de Jesús 45' F 6.05
Bench
11 A. Arroyo A. Arroyo 45' F 6.33
13 D. Caro D. Caro 45' D 6.06
35 G. Paredes G. Paredes 20' D 6.12
29 I. Barrios I. Barrios G 0.00
15 J. Cerro J. Cerro 29' M 6.47
7 J. Nunez J. Nunez 20' F 6.48
21 R. Bettocchi R. Bettocchi G 0.00
18 S. Gálvez S. Gálvez F 0.00
FBC Melgar FBC Melgar 4-2-3-1
21 J. Cabezudo J. Cabezudo G 8.17
27 N. Cabanillas N. Cabanillas 1 👟 D 7.67
3 L. González L. González D 6.33
23 J. Escobar J. Escobar D 6.69
33 M. Lazo M. Lazo D 6.75
24 W. Tandazo W. Tandazo 1 👟 45' M 7.58
66 H. Orzán H. Orzán M 6.62
11 J. Vidales J. Vidales 81' M 6.45
10 N. Quagliata N. Quagliata 1 ⚽ 75' M 7.90
7 C. Bordacahar C. Bordacahar M 6.60
9 B. Cuesta B. Cuesta 1 ⚽ 44' F 7.91
Bench
5 A. Deneumostier A. Deneumostier D 0.00
12 C. Cáceda C. Cáceda G 0.00
77 F. Zanelatto F. Zanelatto 9' F 6.55
90 J. Alcántar J. Alcántar 15' D 6.14
16 J. Cáceres J. Cáceres 46' M 6.36
80 J. D´Arrigo J. D´Arrigo M 0.00
8 L. Guzmán L. Guzmán F 0.00
45 Matias Zegarra Matias Zegarra D 0.00
26 M. Portillo M. Portillo 45' M 6.68
Best on the pitch
J. Cabezudo
J. Cabezudo
G · FBC
8.17
· 24 pass
B. Cuesta
B. Cuesta
F · FBC
7.91
1 ⚽
2 shots · 17 pass
N. Quagliata
N. Quagliata
M · FBC
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 30 pass
N. Cabanillas
N. Cabanillas
D · FBC
7.67
1 👟
· 39 pass
W. Tandazo
W. Tandazo
M · FBC
7.58
1 👟
1 shots · 31 pass
A. Muñoz
A. Muñoz
M · UTC
7.32
1 👟
2 shots · 33 pass
UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Á. Campos G 90 6.22 — — 0 20 14% 0 — —
F. Cavagna D 45 6.57 — — 0 17 16% 0 — —
B. Duarte D 90 6.19 — — 0 42 31% 1 — —
M. Ganoza D 90 6.38 — — 0 49 44% 0 1 —
L. Garro D 90 7.07 1 — 1 36 30% 2 — —
L. Arce M 70 6.91 — — 5 34 27% 1 — —
D. Dioses M 61 5.91 — — 0 46 39% 1 1 —
A. Muñoz M 90 7.32 — 1 2 33 25% 4 — —
M. Lliuya M 90 6.97 — — 2 69 55% 1 — —
D. Camacho M 70 5.76 — — 3 26 21% 1 — —
M. de Jesús F 45 6.05 — — 1 5 3% 0 — —
A. Arroyo F 45 6.33 — — 0 7 6% 1 — —
D. Caro D 45 6.06 — — 1 12 12% 0 — —
G. Paredes D 20 6.12 — — 1 10 7% 0 — —
J. Cerro M 29 6.47 — — 0 24 21% 0 1 —
J. Nunez F 20 6.48 — — 2 14 13% 2 — —
FBC Melgar FBC Melgar — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Cabezudo G 90 8.17 — — 0 24 15% 0 — —
N. Cabanillas D 90 7.67 — 1 0 39 34% 1 — —
L. González D 90 6.33 — — 0 40 32% 1 — —
J. Escobar D 90 6.69 — — 0 31 27% 0 1 —
M. Lazo D 90 6.75 — — 1 35 31% 1 — —
W. Tandazo M 45 7.58 — 1 1 31 28% 0 — —
H. Orzán M 90 6.62 — — 0 51 45% 3 — —
J. Vidales M 81 6.45 — — 0 30 26% 1 — —
N. Quagliata M 75 7.90 1 — 2 30 24% 1 — —
C. Bordacahar M 90 6.60 — — 0 37 30% 2 1 —
B. Cuesta F 44 7.91 1 — 2 17 13% 0 — —
F. Zanelatto F 9 6.55 — — 0 3 2% 0 — —
J. Alcántar D 15 6.14 — — 0 2 2% 0 1 —
J. Cáceres M 46 6.36 — — 0 14 11% 0 — —
M. Portillo M 45 6.68 — — 2 10 8% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of UTC Cajamarca vs FBC Melgar?
The final score was UTC Cajamarca 1–2 FBC Melgar.
What did the model predict before UTC Cajamarca vs FBC Melgar?
The model assigned 16% probability to a UTC Cajamarca win, 15% to a draw, and 68% to an FBC Melgar win.