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Liga 1 · Clausura - 11 October 11, 2026 20:00 Estadio Heroes de San Ramon, Cajamarca
UTC Cajamarca
#13 · 18 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Sporting Cristal
#1 · 28 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Sporting Cristal
12' (ast. Yoshimar Yotún) Luis Iberico
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sporting Cristal a 64% win probability (draw 14%, UTC Cajamarca 21%). The final result was UTC Cajamarca 0–1 Sporting Cristal. In 1 previous meetings, UTC Cajamarca have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Sporting Cristal.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
10
4
Shots on target
4
1.03
Actual xG
0.56
3
Saves
4
47%
Possession
53%
5
Corners
5
11
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
12'
ast. Yoshimar Yotún · Luis Iberico⚽
Gilmar Paredes
20'
31'
Santiago González
Arquímedes Figuera
51'
Manuel Ganoza
56'
↕ Jhosep Nunez / Adolfo Muñoz
57'
↕ Joshua Cantt / Abdiel Arroyo
65'
69'
Luis Abram / Maxloren Castro ↕
69'
Gabriel / Luis Iberico ↕
72'
Michael Hoyos
74'
Martín Távara / Yoshimar Yotún ↕
74'
Hernán Barcos / Michael Hoyos ↕
77'
Juan Manuel Cuesta / Santiago González ↕
Gilmar Paredes
82'
↕ Marlon de Jesús / Santiago Gálvez
84'
Pre-match prediction
21.69%
UTC
14.1%
X
64.21%
Sporting ←
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Sporting Cristal) 64.21% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
UTC
1.78
1.03
-0.75
Sporting
3.68
0.56
-3.12
UTC Cajamarca dominated by xG (1.03 vs 0.56). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 17 40
2 Club Deportivo Los Chankas Club Deportivo Los Chankas 17 34
3 Cienciano Cienciano 17 33
4 Universitario Universitario 17 29
5 FBC Melgar FBC Melgar 17 28
6 Cusco Cusco 17 27
7 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 17 26
8 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 17 21
9 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 17 21
10 ADT ADT 17 20
11 Sport Boys Sport Boys 17 20
12 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 17 19
13 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 17 18
14 UCV Moquegua UCV Moquegua 17 18
15 FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca 17 17
16 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 17 16
17 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 17 16
18 Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College 17 16
Lineups
UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 4-2-3-1
1 Á. Campos Á. Campos G 6.90
6 F. Cavagna F. Cavagna D 6.74
2 B. Duarte B. Duarte D 6.80
3 M. Ganoza M. Ganoza D 6.04
35 G. Paredes G. Paredes 82' D 5.91
16 A. Figuera A. Figuera M 6.69
15 J. Cerro J. Cerro 65' M 7.05
7 J. Nunez J. Nunez 57' M 6.40
10 M. Lliuya M. Lliuya M 7.20
22 D. Camacho D. Camacho M 6.55
9 M. de Jesús M. de Jesús 84' F 6.24
Bench
11 A. Arroyo A. Arroyo 25' F 6.31
19 A. Muñoz A. Muñoz 33' F 6.50
13 D. Caro D. Caro D 0.00
29 I. Barrios I. Barrios G 0.00
88 L. Arce L. Arce M 0.00
17 L. Garro L. Garro D 0.00
21 R. Bettocchi R. Bettocchi G 0.00
18 S. Gálvez S. Gálvez 6' F 6.27
Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 4-4-2
1 D. Enríquez D. Enríquez G 7.29
90 Cris Silva Cris Silva D 7.12
5 R. Lutiger R. Lutiger D 7.50
20 M. Araujo M. Araujo D 7.78
8 L. Sosa L. Sosa D 7.41
23 M. Castro M. Castro 69' M 6.88
19 Y. Yotún Y. Yotún 1 👟 74' M 7.70
6 A. Álvarez A. Álvarez M 7.15
7 S. González S. González 77' M 6.64
16 L. Iberico L. Iberico 1 ⚽ 69' F 7.73
22 M. Hoyos M. Hoyos 74' F 6.19
Bench
33 C. Bautista C. Bautista G 0.00
21 C. Cabellos C. Cabellos M 0.00
27 Gabriel Gabriel 21' M 6.94
25 G. Távara G. Távara 16' M 7.08
29 H. Barcos H. Barcos 16' F 6.51
11 I. Ávila I. Ávila F 0.00
77 J. Cuesta J. Cuesta 13' F 6.70
18 J. González J. González D 0.00
96 L. Abram L. Abram 21' D 6.99
Best on the pitch
M. Araujo
M. Araujo
D · Sporting
7.78
1 shots · 33 pass
L. Iberico
L. Iberico
F · Sporting
7.73
1 ⚽
1 shots · 16 pass
Y. Yotún
Y. Yotún
M · Sporting
7.70
1 👟
1 shots · 40 pass
R. Lutiger
R. Lutiger
D · Sporting
7.50
· 28 pass
L. Sosa
L. Sosa
D · Sporting
7.41
· 43 pass
D. Enríquez
D. Enríquez
G · Sporting
7.29
· 30 pass
UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Á. Campos G 90 6.90 — — 0 16 12% 0 — —
F. Cavagna D 90 6.74 — — 0 36 31% 2 — —
B. Duarte D 90 6.80 — — 3 47 37% 2 — —
M. Ganoza D 90 6.04 — — 0 45 38% 1 1 —
G. Paredes D 82 5.91 — — 2 20 17% 2 — 1
A. Figuera M 90 6.69 — — 0 48 46% 1 1 —
J. Cerro M 65 7.05 — — 2 29 27% 0 — —
J. Nunez M 57 6.40 — — 1 15 13% 1 — —
M. Lliuya M 90 7.20 — — 1 59 51% 0 — —
D. Camacho M 90 6.55 — — 5 19 19% 2 — —
M. de Jesús F 84 6.24 — — 1 12 11% 0 — —
A. Arroyo F 25 6.31 — — 0 8 5% 0 — —
A. Muñoz F 33 6.50 — — 2 10 8% 0 — —
S. Gálvez F 6 6.27 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Enríquez G 90 7.29 — — 0 30 15% 0 — —
Cris Silva D 90 7.12 — — 0 41 34% 1 — —
R. Lutiger D 90 7.50 — — 0 28 27% 1 — —
M. Araujo D 90 7.78 — — 1 33 32% 0 — —
L. Sosa D 90 7.41 — — 0 43 40% 1 — —
M. Castro M 69 6.88 — — 0 35 32% 0 — —
Y. Yotún M 74 7.70 — 1 1 40 34% 2 — —
A. Álvarez M 90 7.15 — — 1 47 43% 3 — —
S. González M 77 6.64 — — 2 19 14% 1 1 —
L. Iberico F 69 7.73 1 — 1 16 15% 1 — —
M. Hoyos F 74 6.19 — — 0 22 21% 0 1 —
Gabriel M 21 6.94 — — 0 14 12% 0 — —
G. Távara M 16 7.08 — — 2 13 12% 0 — —
H. Barcos F 16 6.51 — — 0 9 8% 0 — —
J. Cuesta F 13 6.70 — — 2 9 7% 0 — —
L. Abram D 21 6.99 — — 0 5 5% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of UTC Cajamarca vs Sporting Cristal?
The final score was UTC Cajamarca 0–1 Sporting Cristal.
What did the model predict before UTC Cajamarca vs Sporting Cristal?
The model assigned 21% probability to a UTC Cajamarca win, 14% to a draw, and 64% to an Sporting Cristal win.