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#11 · 12 pts
1 – 4
Final score
#5 · 20 pts
A. Stepanov (ast. Y. Cathline) 62'
45'+1 P. Koopmeiners
47' (ast. K. Smit) Weslley Patati
49' (ast. M. Chavez Garcia) M. Meerdink
84' (ast. M. Chavez Garcia) A. Oufkir
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AZ Alkmaar a 34% win probability (draw 31%, Utrecht 33%). The final result was Utrecht 1–4 AZ Alkmaar. In 2 previous meetings, Utrecht have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for AZ Alkmaar.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
18
2
Shots on target
9
0.83
Actual xG
1.90
5
Saves
1
48%
Possession
52%
3
Corners
9
22
Tackles
18
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
A. Stepanov
23'
45'+1
P. Koopmeiners⚽
↕ M. Eerdhuijzen / M. Didden
46'
F. Pohl
46'
47'
ast. K. Smit · Weslley Patati⚽
49'
ast. M. Chavez Garcia · M. Meerdink⚽
G. Offerhaus
54'
↕ D. de Wit / K. Paredes
55'
56'
Weslley Patati
60'
L. Echteld
⚽A. Stepanov · ast. Y. Cathline
62'
↕ Y. Cathline / D. van den Berg
62'
↕ F. Pohl / A. Blake
62'
66'
C. Stengs / Weslley Patati ↕
A. Zagre
69'
↕ A. Zagre / N. Ogidi Nwankwo
80'
80'
R. Ichihara / K. Smit ↕
81'
A. Oufkir / R. Daal ↕
84'
ast. M. Chavez Garcia · A. Oufkir⚽
85'
S. Maikuma / P. Koopmeiners ↕
89'
M. Chavez Garcia
Pre-match prediction
33.45%
Utrecht
31.61%
X
34.94%
AZ ←
we assigned to the actual result (AZ Alkmaar) 34.94% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Utrecht
1.34
0.83
-0.51
AZ
1.66
1.90
+0.24
AZ Alkmaar dominated by xG (1.90 vs 0.83). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Feyenoord Feyenoord 10 24
2 Ajax Ajax 10 21
3 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 10 20
4 Twente Twente 10 20
5 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 10 20
6 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 10 18
7 Heerenveen Heerenveen 10 15
8 Groningen Groningen 10 15
9 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 10 14
10 Cambuur Cambuur 10 12
11 Utrecht Utrecht 10 12
12 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 10 11
13 Excelsior Excelsior 10 11
14 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 10 9
15 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 10 8
16 Telstar Telstar 10 6
17 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 10 6
18 Willem II Willem II 10 2
Lineups
Utrecht Utrecht 4-2-3-1
1 V. Barkas V. Barkas G 4.60
92 A. Zagré A. Zagré 80' D 5.30
44 Mike Eerdhuijzen Mike Eerdhuijzen 45' D 6.50
2 S. Horemans S. Horemans D 6.60
23 N. Vesterlund N. Vesterlund D 5.90
6 G. Offerhaus G. Offerhaus M 6.00
53 F. Pohl F. Pohl 62' M 6.30
10 Y. Cathline Y. Cathline 1 👟 62' M 6.70
20 D. de Wit D. de Wit 55' M 6.20
11 Ángel Alarcón Ángel Alarcón M 7.00
18 Artem Stepanov Artem Stepanov 1 ⚽ F 7.50
Bench
15 A. Blake A. Blake 29' F 6.30
9 D. Min D. Min F
34 D. van den Berg D. van den Berg 29' M 6.60
47 E. C. Owen E. C. Owen F
8 J. van Overeem J. van Overeem M
30 Kevin Paredes Kevin Paredes 36' M 7.20
33 K. Gadellaa K. Gadellaa G
25 M. Brouwer M. Brouwer G
3 M. Didden M. Didden 46' D 6.00
21 N. Nwankwo N. Nwankwo 11' D 6.30
32 P. Kloosterboer P. Kloosterboer D
14 Zidane Iqbal Zidane Iqbal M
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 4-2-3-1
28 J. De Busser J. De Busser G 7.20
5 M. Chávez M. Chávez 2 👟 D 7.60
16 L. Schouten L. Schouten D 6.50
3 W. Goes W. Goes D 6.90
22 E. Dijkstra E. Dijkstra D 6.70
6 P. Koopmeiners P. Koopmeiners 1 ⚽ 85' M 8.50
21 D. Kwakman D. Kwakman M 7.20
11 R. Daal R. Daal 81' M 7.30
10 K. Smit K. Smit 1 👟 80' M 6.90
7 Weslley Patati Weslley Patati 1 ⚽ 66' M 7.60
35 M. Meerdink M. Meerdink 1 ⚽ F 7.20
Bench
24 A. Oufkir A. Oufkir 1 ⚽ 10' F 7.30
45 B. Kovacs B. Kovacs F
23 B. van Duijl B. van Duijl D
14 C. Stengs C. Stengs 25' M 6.20
75 H. de Wit H. de Wit M
12 H. Verhulst H. Verhulst G
34 M. de Wit M. de Wit D
33 M. Šín M. Šín M
18 R. Ichihara R. Ichihara 11' D 6.70
1 R. Owusu-Oduro R. Owusu-Oduro G
2 S. Maikuma S. Maikuma 6' D
27 S. van Duijn S. van Duijn F
Best on the pitch
P. Koopmeiners
P. Koopmeiners
M · AZ
8.50
1 ⚽
2 shots · 43 pass
Weslley Patati
Weslley Patati
M · AZ
7.60
1 ⚽
5 shots · 21 pass
M. Chávez
M. Chávez
D · AZ
7.60
2 👟
1 shots · 32 pass
Artem Stepanov
Artem Stepanov
F · Utrecht
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 15 pass
A. Oufkir
A. Oufkir
F · AZ
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 5 pass
R. Daal
R. Daal
M · AZ
7.30
· 29 pass
Utrecht Utrecht — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
V. Barkas G 91 4.60 — — — 37 25% — — —
A. Zagré D 80 5.30 — — — 24 20% 1 1 —
Mike Eerdhuijzen D 45 6.50 — — — 23 20% 1 — —
S. Horemans D 91 6.60 — — — 66 56% 5 — —
N. Vesterlund D 91 5.90 — — — 24 19% 3 — —
G. Offerhaus M 91 6.00 — — 1 42 37% 1 1 —
F. Pohl M 62 6.30 — — — 17 13% 2 1 —
Y. Cathline M 62 6.70 — 1 1 13 10% 1 — —
D. de Wit M 55 6.20 — — — 20 13% 2 — —
Ángel Alarcón M 91 7.00 — — 2 19 16% — — —
Artem Stepanov F 91 7.50 1 — 1 15 12% 3 1 —
A. Blake F 29 6.30 — — — 9 6% — — —
D. van den Berg M 29 6.60 — — — 12 11% — — —
Kevin Paredes M 36 7.20 — — — 16 15% 2 — —
M. Didden D 46 6.00 — — 1 20 17% 1 — —
N. Nwankwo D 11 6.30 — — — 9 9% — — —
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. De Busser G 91 7.20 — — — 31 22% — — —
M. Chávez D 91 7.60 — 2 1 32 28% 1 1 —
L. Schouten D 91 6.50 — — 1 49 38% — — —
W. Goes D 91 6.90 — — 1 50 45% 2 — —
E. Dijkstra D 91 6.70 — — — 29 27% 3 — —
P. Koopmeiners M 85 8.50 1 — 2 43 38% 5 — —
D. Kwakman M 91 7.20 — — 4 42 39% 4 — —
R. Daal M 81 7.30 — — — 29 27% — — —
K. Smit M 80 6.90 — 1 1 32 28% — — —
Weslley Patati M 66 7.60 1 — 5 21 17% 2 1 —
M. Meerdink F 91 7.20 1 — 2 26 20% — — —
A. Oufkir F 10 7.30 1 — 1 5 5% — — —
C. Stengs M 25 6.20 — — — 9 7% 1 — —
R. Ichihara D 11 6.70 — — — — — — — —
S. Maikuma D 6 — — — — 1 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar?
The final score was Utrecht 1–4 AZ Alkmaar.
What did the model predict before Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Utrecht win, 31% to a draw, and 34% to an AZ Alkmaar win.