A. Stepanov
(ast. Y. Cathline)
62'
45'+1
P. Koopmeiners
47'
(ast. K. Smit)
Weslley Patati
49'
(ast. M. Chavez Garcia)
M. Meerdink
84'
(ast. M. Chavez Garcia)
A. Oufkir
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AZ Alkmaar a 34% win probability (draw 31%, Utrecht 33%). The final result was Utrecht 1–4 AZ Alkmaar. In 2 previous meetings, Utrecht have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for AZ Alkmaar.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
18
2
Shots on target
9
0.83
Actual xG
1.90
5
Saves
1
48%
Possession
52%
3
Corners
9
22
Tackles
18
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
A. Stepanov
23'
45'+1
P. Koopmeiners⚽
M. Eerdhuijzen
/ M. Didden
46'
F. Pohl
46'
47'
ast. K. Smit ·
Weslley Patati⚽
49'
ast. M. Chavez Garcia ·
M. Meerdink⚽
G. Offerhaus
54'
D. de Wit
/ K. Paredes
55'
56'
Weslley Patati
60'
L. Echteld
⚽A. Stepanov
· ast. Y. Cathline
62'
Y. Cathline
/ D. van den Berg
62'
F. Pohl
/ A. Blake
62'
66'
C. Stengs
/
Weslley Patati
A. Zagre
69'
A. Zagre
/ N. Ogidi Nwankwo
80'
80'
R. Ichihara
/
K. Smit
81'
A. Oufkir
/
R. Daal
84'
ast. M. Chavez Garcia ·
A. Oufkir⚽
85'
S. Maikuma
/
P. Koopmeiners
89'
M. Chavez Garcia
Pre-match prediction
33.45%
Utrecht
31.61%
X
34.94%
AZ ←
we assigned to the actual result (AZ Alkmaar)
34.94%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.34
0.83
-0.51
1.66
1.90
+0.24
AZ Alkmaar dominated by xG (1.90 vs 0.83).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
V. Barkas
G
V. Barkas
G
92
A. Zagré
80'
D
A. Zagré
80'
D
44
M. Eerdhuijzen
45'
D
M. Eerdhuijzen
45'
D
2
S. Horemans
D
S. Horemans
D
23
N. Vesterlund
D
N. Vesterlund
D
6
G. Offerhaus
M
G. Offerhaus
M
53
F. Pohl
62'
M
F. Pohl
62'
M
10
Y. Cathline
1 👟
62'
M
Y. Cathline
1 👟
62'
M
20
D. de Wit
55'
M
D. de Wit
55'
M
11
Ángel Alarcón
M
Ángel Alarcón
M
18
Artem Stepanov
1 ⚽
F
Artem Stepanov
1 ⚽
F
Bench
15
A. Blake
29'
F
A. Blake
29'
F
9
D. Min
F
D. Min
F
34
D. van den Berg
29'
M
D. van den Berg
29'
M
47
E. C. Owen
F
E. C. Owen
F
8
Joris van Overeem
M
Joris van Overeem
M
30
Kevin Paredes
36'
M
Kevin Paredes
36'
M
33
K. Gadellaa
G
K. Gadellaa
G
25
M. Brouwer
G
M. Brouwer
G
3
M. Didden
46'
D
M. Didden
46'
D
21
N. Nwankwo
11'
D
N. Nwankwo
11'
D
32
P. Kloosterboer
D
P. Kloosterboer
D
14
Zidane Iqbal
M
Zidane Iqbal
M
28
J. De Busser
G
J. De Busser
G
5
M. Chávez
2 👟
D
M. Chávez
2 👟
D
16
L. Schouten
D
L. Schouten
D
3
W. Goes
D
W. Goes
D
22
E. Dijkstra
D
E. Dijkstra
D
6
P. Koopmeiners
1 ⚽
85'
M
P. Koopmeiners
1 ⚽
85'
M
21
D. Kwakman
M
D. Kwakman
M
11
R. Daal
81'
M
R. Daal
81'
M
10
K. Smit
1 👟
80'
M
K. Smit
1 👟
80'
M
7
Weslley Patati
1 ⚽
66'
M
Weslley Patati
1 ⚽
66'
M
35
M. Meerdink
1 ⚽
F
M. Meerdink
1 ⚽
F
Bench
24
A. Oufkir
1 ⚽
10'
F
A. Oufkir
1 ⚽
10'
F
45
B. Kovacs
F
B. Kovacs
F
23
B. van Duijl
D
B. van Duijl
D
14
C. Stengs
25'
M
C. Stengs
25'
M
75
H. de Wit
M
H. de Wit
M
12
H. Verhulst
G
H. Verhulst
G
34
M. de Wit
D
M. de Wit
D
33
M. Šín
M
M. Šín
M
18
R. Ichihara
11'
D
R. Ichihara
11'
D
1
R. Owusu-Oduro
G
R. Owusu-Oduro
G
2
S. Maikuma
6'
D
S. Maikuma
6'
D
27
S. van Duijn
F
S. van Duijn
F
Best on the pitch
P. Koopmeiners
M · AZ
8.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 43 pass
Weslley Patati
M · AZ
7.60
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 21 pass
M. Chávez
D · AZ
7.60
2 👟
1 shots
· 32 pass
Artem Stepanov
F · Utrecht
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 15 pass
A. Oufkir
F · AZ
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 5 pass
R. Daal
M · AZ
7.30
· 29 pass
Utrecht — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Barkas | G | 91 | 4.60 | — | — | — | 37 | 25% | — | — | — |
| A. Zagré | D | 80 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Eerdhuijzen | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Horemans | D | 91 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 66 | 56% | 5 | — | — |
| N. Vesterlund | D | 91 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Offerhaus | M | 91 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 37% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Pohl | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Y. Cathline | M | 62 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| D. de Wit | M | 55 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Ángel Alarcón | M | 91 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Artem Stepanov | F | 91 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | 3 | 1 | — |
| A. Blake | F | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| D. van den Berg | M | 29 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Kevin Paredes | M | 36 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Didden | D | 46 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Nwankwo | D | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
AZ Alkmaar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. De Busser | G | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 22% | — | — | — |
| M. Chávez | D | 91 | 7.60 | — | 2 | 1 | 32 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Schouten | D | 91 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 38% | — | — | — |
| W. Goes | D | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 45% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Dijkstra | D | 91 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 29 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| P. Koopmeiners | M | 85 | 8.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 43 | 38% | 5 | — | — |
| D. Kwakman | M | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | 4 | 42 | 39% | 4 | — | — |
| R. Daal | M | 81 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 27% | — | — | — |
| K. Smit | M | 80 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 32 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Weslley Patati | M | 66 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 5 | 21 | 17% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Meerdink | F | 91 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 26 | 20% | — | — | — |
| A. Oufkir | F | 10 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| C. Stengs | M | 25 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Ichihara | D | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Maikuma | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar?
The final score was Utrecht 1–4 AZ Alkmaar.
What did the model predict before Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Utrecht win, 31% to a draw, and 34% to an AZ Alkmaar win.