✓Model correct — prediction Utrecht
D. de Wit
(ast. G. Zechiel)
39'
D. Min
(ast. G. Zechiel)
65'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Utrecht a 70% win probability (draw 16%, Fortuna Sittard 13%). The final result was Utrecht 2–0 Fortuna Sittard. In 1 previous meetings, Utrecht have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Fortuna Sittard.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
2
2.09
Actual xG
0.48
2
Saves
3
58%
Possession
42%
2
Corners
5
14
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽D. de Wit
· ast. G. Zechiel
39'
46'
I. Pinto
/
J. Hubner
46'
M. Ihattaren
/
D. Limnios
55'
Y. Oukili
S. Haller
/ D. Min
63'
J. Karlsson
/ A. Blake
64'
M. Eerdhuijzen
/ N. Viergever
64'
⚽D. Min
· ast. G. Zechiel
65'
N. Vesterlund
/ S. Horemans
72'
79'
M. Gbemou
/
Y. Oukili
79'
T. Schenkhuizen
/
P. Brittijn
79'
A. Halilovic
/
K. Sierhuis
D. de Wit
/ R. El Arguioui
82'
Pre-match prediction
70.38%
Utrecht ←
16.37%
X
13.25%
Fortuna
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Utrecht)
70.38%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.62
2.09
-0.53
0.94
0.48
-0.46
Utrecht dominated by xG (2.09 vs 0.48).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
V. Barkas
G
V. Barkas
G
16
S. El Karouani
D
S. El Karouani
D
44
Mike Eerdhuijzen
64'
D
Mike Eerdhuijzen
64'
D
3
Mike Van der Hoorn
D
23
Niklas Vesterlund
72'
D
Niklas Vesterlund
72'
D
21
G. Zechiël
2 👟
M
G. Zechiël
2 👟
M
27
Alonzo Engwanda
M
Alonzo Engwanda
M
11
Jesper Karlsson
64'
M
Jesper Karlsson
64'
M
20
D. de Wit
1 ⚽
82'
M
D. de Wit
1 ⚽
82'
M
10
Yoann Cathline
M
Yoann Cathline
M
91
Sébastien Haller
63'
F
Sébastien Haller
63'
F
Bench
15
Adrian Blake
26'
F
Adrian Blake
26'
F
18
Artem Stepanov
F
Artem Stepanov
F
8
Can Bozdoğan
M
Can Bozdoğan
M
9
David Min
1 ⚽
27'
F
David Min
1 ⚽
27'
F
5
Emeka Adeile
D
Emeka Adeile
D
33
Kevin Gadellaa
G
Kevin Gadellaa
G
51
Mees Eppink
G
Mees Eppink
G
53
Neal Viereck
D
Neal Viereck
D
24
Nick Viergever
26'
D
Nick Viergever
26'
D
57
Per Kloosterboer
D
Per Kloosterboer
D
43
R. El Arguioui
8'
M
R. El Arguioui
8'
M
2
Siebe Horemans
18'
D
Siebe Horemans
18'
D
31
Mattijs Branderhorst
G
Mattijs Branderhorst
G
23
P. Brittijn
79'
D
P. Brittijn
79'
D
28
Justin Quincy Hubner
45'
D
Justin Quincy Hubner
45'
D
6
Syb Van Ottele
D
Syb Van Ottele
D
8
Jasper Dahlhaus
M
Jasper Dahlhaus
M
70
Lance Duijvestijn
M
Lance Duijvestijn
M
5
Yassin Oukili
79'
M
Yassin Oukili
79'
M
21
Neraysho Kasanwirjo
M
Neraysho Kasanwirjo
M
7
Kristoffer Peterson
F
Kristoffer Peterson
F
9
K. Sierhuis
79'
F
K. Sierhuis
79'
F
18
Dimitris Limnios
45'
F
Dimitris Limnios
45'
F
Bench
10
Alen Halilović
11'
M
Alen Halilović
11'
M
41
Alhaji Bah
D
Alhaji Bah
D
42
Daan Bisschops
D
Daan Bisschops
D
40
Ganni Buyukhan
M
Ganni Buyukhan
M
12
Ivo Pinto
45'
D
Ivo Pinto
45'
D
1
Luuk Koopmans
G
Luuk Koopmans
G
52
M. Ihattaren
45'
M
M. Ihattaren
45'
M
46
Moussa Gbemou
11'
M
Moussa Gbemou
11'
M
25
Niels Martens
G
Niels Martens
G
38
Tristan Schenkhuizen
11'
M
Tristan Schenkhuizen
11'
M
Best on the pitch
G. Zechiël
M · Utrecht
8.20
2 👟
3 shots
· 62 pass
D. de Wit
M · Utrecht
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 35 pass
Mike Van der Hoorn
D · Utrecht
7.30
· 63 pass
Niklas Vesterlund
D · Utrecht
7.30
1 shots
· 34 pass
David Min
F · Utrecht
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 7 pass
Mike Eerdhuijzen
D · Utrecht
7.20
1 shots
· 59 pass
Utrecht — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Barkas | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 22% | — | — | — |
| S. El Karouani | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 48% | — | — | — |
| Mike Eerdhuijzen | D | 64 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 54% | — | — | — |
| Mike Van der Hoorn | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 63 | 57% | — | — | — |
| Niklas Vesterlund | D | 72 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Zechiël | M | 90 | 8.20 | — | 2 | 3 | 62 | 56% | — | — | — |
| Alonzo Engwanda | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| Jesper Karlsson | M | 64 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 24% | — | — | — |
| D. de Wit | M | 82 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 35 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Yoann Cathline | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Sébastien Haller | F | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Adrian Blake | F | 26 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| David Min | F | 27 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Nick Viergever | D | 26 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| R. El Arguioui | M | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Siebe Horemans | D | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
Fortuna Sittard — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mattijs Branderhorst | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 13% | — | — | — |
| P. Brittijn | D | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Justin Quincy Hubner | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Syb Van Ottele | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 51 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| Jasper Dahlhaus | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 35 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Lance Duijvestijn | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Yassin Oukili | M | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 18% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Neraysho Kasanwirjo | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Kristoffer Peterson | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Sierhuis | F | 79 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Dimitris Limnios | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Alen Halilović | M | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Ivo Pinto | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Ihattaren | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Moussa Gbemou | M | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Tristan Schenkhuizen | M | 11 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Utrecht vs Fortuna Sittard?
The final score was Utrecht 2–0 Fortuna Sittard.
What did the model predict before Utrecht vs Fortuna Sittard?
The model assigned 70% probability to a Utrecht win, 16% to a draw, and 13% to an Fortuna Sittard win.