✓Model correct — prediction Utrecht
D. de Wit
(ast. G. Zechiel)
39'
D. Min
(ast. G. Zechiel)
65'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Utrecht a 70% win probability (draw 16%, Fortuna Sittard 13%). The final result was Utrecht 2–0 Fortuna Sittard. In 1 previous meetings, Utrecht have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Fortuna Sittard.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
2
2.09
Actual xG
0.48
2
Saves
3
58%
Possession
42%
2
Corners
5
14
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽D. de Wit
· ast. G. Zechiel
39'
46'
I. Pinto
/
J. Hubner
46'
M. Ihattaren
/
D. Limnios
55'
Y. Oukili
S. Haller
/ D. Min
63'
J. Karlsson
/ A. Blake
64'
M. Eerdhuijzen
/ N. Viergever
64'
⚽D. Min
· ast. G. Zechiel
65'
N. Vesterlund
/ S. Horemans
72'
79'
M. Gbemou
/
Y. Oukili
79'
T. Schenkhuizen
/
P. Brittijn
79'
A. Halilovic
/
K. Sierhuis
D. de Wit
/ R. El Arguioui
82'
Pre-match prediction
70.38%
Utrecht ←
16.37%
X
13.25%
Fortuna
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Utrecht)
70.38%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.62
2.09
-0.53
0.94
0.48
-0.46
Utrecht dominated by xG (2.09 vs 0.48).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
V. Barkas
G
V. Barkas
G
16
S. El Karouani
D
S. El Karouani
D
44
M. Eerdhuijzen
64'
D
M. Eerdhuijzen
64'
D
3
Mike Van der Hoorn
D
23
N. Vesterlund
72'
D
N. Vesterlund
72'
D
21
G. Zechiël
2 👟
M
G. Zechiël
2 👟
M
27
Alonzo Engwanda
M
Alonzo Engwanda
M
11
Jesper Karlsson
64'
M
Jesper Karlsson
64'
M
20
D. de Wit
1 ⚽
82'
M
D. de Wit
1 ⚽
82'
M
10
Y. Cathline
M
Y. Cathline
M
91
S. Haller
63'
F
S. Haller
63'
F
Bench
15
A. Blake
26'
F
A. Blake
26'
F
18
Artem Stepanov
F
Artem Stepanov
F
8
Can Bozdoğan
M
Can Bozdoğan
M
9
D. Min
1 ⚽
27'
F
D. Min
1 ⚽
27'
F
5
Emeka Adeile
D
Emeka Adeile
D
33
K. Gadellaa
G
K. Gadellaa
G
51
M. Eppink
G
M. Eppink
G
53
Neal Viereck
D
Neal Viereck
D
24
N. Viergever
26'
D
N. Viergever
26'
D
57
P. Kloosterboer
D
P. Kloosterboer
D
43
R. El Arguioui
8'
M
R. El Arguioui
8'
M
2
S. Horemans
18'
D
S. Horemans
18'
D
31
M. Branderhorst
G
M. Branderhorst
G
23
P. Brittijn
79'
D
P. Brittijn
79'
D
28
Justin Quincy Hubner
45'
D
Justin Quincy Hubner
45'
D
6
S. van Ottele
D
S. van Ottele
D
8
J. Dahlhaus
M
J. Dahlhaus
M
70
L. Duijvestijn
M
L. Duijvestijn
M
5
Y. Oukili
79'
M
Y. Oukili
79'
M
21
Neraysho Kasanwirjo
M
Neraysho Kasanwirjo
M
7
Kristoffer Peterson
F
Kristoffer Peterson
F
9
K. Sierhuis
79'
F
K. Sierhuis
79'
F
18
Dimitris Limnios
45'
F
Bench
10
Alen Halilović
11'
M
Alen Halilović
11'
M
41
Alhaji Bah
D
Alhaji Bah
D
42
Daan Bisschops
D
Daan Bisschops
D
40
Ganni Buyukhan
M
Ganni Buyukhan
M
12
Ivo Pinto
45'
D
Ivo Pinto
45'
D
1
L. Koopmans
G
L. Koopmans
G
52
M. Ihattaren
45'
M
M. Ihattaren
45'
M
46
Moussa Gbemou
11'
M
Moussa Gbemou
11'
M
25
Niels Martens
G
Niels Martens
G
38
Tristan Schenkhuizen
11'
M
Tristan Schenkhuizen
11'
M
Best on the pitch
G. Zechiël
M · Utrecht
8.20
2 👟
3 shots
· 62 pass
D. de Wit
M · Utrecht
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 35 pass
Mike Van der Hoorn
D · Utrecht
7.30
· 63 pass
N. Vesterlund
D · Utrecht
7.30
1 shots
· 34 pass
D. Min
F · Utrecht
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 7 pass
M. Eerdhuijzen
D · Utrecht
7.20
1 shots
· 59 pass
Utrecht — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Barkas | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 22% | — | — | — |
| S. El Karouani | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 48% | — | — | — |
| M. Eerdhuijzen | D | 64 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 54% | — | — | — |
| Mike Van der Hoorn | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 63 | 57% | — | — | — |
| N. Vesterlund | D | 72 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Zechiël | M | 90 | 8.20 | — | 2 | 3 | 62 | 56% | — | — | — |
| Alonzo Engwanda | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| Jesper Karlsson | M | 64 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 24% | — | — | — |
| D. de Wit | M | 82 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 35 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Cathline | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Haller | F | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Blake | F | 26 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Min | F | 27 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| N. Viergever | D | 26 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| R. El Arguioui | M | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| S. Horemans | D | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
Fortuna Sittard — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Branderhorst | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 13% | — | — | — |
| P. Brittijn | D | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Justin Quincy Hubner | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| S. van Ottele | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 51 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Dahlhaus | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 35 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Duijvestijn | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Oukili | M | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 18% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Neraysho Kasanwirjo | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Kristoffer Peterson | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Sierhuis | F | 79 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Dimitris Limnios | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Alen Halilović | M | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Ivo Pinto | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Ihattaren | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Moussa Gbemou | M | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Tristan Schenkhuizen | M | 11 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Utrecht vs Fortuna Sittard?
The final score was Utrecht 2–0 Fortuna Sittard.
What did the model predict before Utrecht vs Fortuna Sittard?
The model assigned 70% probability to a Utrecht win, 16% to a draw, and 13% to an Fortuna Sittard win.