Skip to main content
← Eredivisie
Eredivisie · Regular Season - 32 May 02, 2026 16:30 Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht
Utrecht
#16 · 2 pts
2 – 0
Final score
NAC Breda
✓Model correct — prediction Utrecht
D. de Wit (ast. J. Karlsson) 86'
A. Blake (ast. D. Min) 90'+9
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Utrecht a 59% win probability (draw 26%, NAC Breda 14%). The final result was Utrecht 2–0 NAC Breda. In 1 previous meetings, Utrecht have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for NAC Breda.

Match statistics
21
Total shots
8
11
Shots on target
1
2.85
Actual xG
0.45
1
Saves
9
65%
Possession
35%
8
Corners
4
11
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
35'
M. Nassoh
40'
M. Balard
↕ M. Eerdhuijzen / J. Karlsson
46'
↕ A. Stepanov / S. Haller
65'
↕ A. Alarcon / A. Blake
66'
↕ N. Vesterlund / S. Horemans
74'
75'
M. Soumano / A. Ayew ↕
75'
R. Hillen / C. Valerius ↕
81'
J. Candelaria / L. Holtby ↕
83'
D. Bielica
⚽D. de Wit · ast. J. Karlsson
86'
↕ D. de Wit / D. Min
89'
90'+1
B. Ghalidi / M. Balard ↕
90'+2
R. Paula / E. Mahmutovic ↕
↕ Y. Cathline / C. Bozdogan
90'+4
90'+5
P. Reulen / K. Sowah ↕
⚽A. Blake · ast. D. Min
90'+9
Pre-match prediction
59.64%
Utrecht ←
26.18%
X
14.18%
NAC
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Utrecht) 59.64% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Utrecht
1.85
2.85
+1.0
NAC
0.74
0.45
-0.29
Utrecht dominated by xG (2.85 vs 0.45). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 6 16
2 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 5 13
3 Twente Twente 6 13
4 Feyenoord Feyenoord 5 11
5 Ajax Ajax 5 10
6 Excelsior Excelsior 5 10
7 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 6 10
8 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 6 9
9 Groningen Groningen 6 8
10 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 6 7
11 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 5 5
12 Heerenveen Heerenveen 5 5
13 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 5 4
14 Telstar Telstar 5 4
15 Cambuur Cambuur 6 4
16 Utrecht Utrecht 5 2
17 Willem II Willem II 5 2
18 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 6 1
Lineups
Utrecht Utrecht 4-3-3
1
G 7.20
16 S. El Karouani S. El Karouani D 8.20
44 M. Eerdhuijzen M. Eerdhuijzen 45' D 7.20
3
D 7.70
23 N. Vesterlund N. Vesterlund 74' D 6.90
21 G. Zechiël G. Zechiël M 7.70
20 D. de Wit D. de Wit 1 ⚽ 89' M 7.60
27 Alonzo Engwanda Alonzo Engwanda M 6.90
10 Y. Cathline Y. Cathline 89' F 7.90
18 Artem Stepanov Artem Stepanov 65' F 6.00
77
A. Alarcon 66' F 6.90
Bench
15 A. Blake A. Blake 1 ⚽ 24' F 7.90
5 Emeka Adeile Emeka Adeile D
11 Jesper Karlsson Jesper Karlsson 1 👟 45' F 7.60
53 Neal Viereck Neal Viereck D
24 N. Viergever N. Viergever D
91 S. Haller S. Haller 25' F 7.20
2 S. Horemans S. Horemans 16' D 6.90
NAC Breda NAC Breda 4-4-2
99 D. Bielica D. Bielica G 8.20
4
D 6.60
8 Clint Leemans Clint Leemans D 6.70
15 E. Mahmutović E. Mahmutović 89' D 6.70
3
D 6.50
14 Kamal Sowah Kamal Sowah 89' M 6.30
16 Maximilien Balard Maximilien Balard 89' M 6.70
10 M. Nassoh M. Nassoh 35' M 5.60
25 Cherrion Valerius Cherrion Valerius 72' M 6.50
24 André Ayew André Ayew 72' F 6.90
90 L. Holtby L. Holtby 81' F 6.90
Bench
19 Amine Salama Amine Salama F
7 Charles-Andreas Brym Charles-Andreas Brym F
32 J. Talvitie J. Talvitie F
9 M. Soumano M. Soumano 18' F 6.30
11
Raul Paula 9' M 6.30
22 R. Hillen R. Hillen 18' D 6.30
Best on the pitch
S. El Karouani
S. El Karouani
D · Utrecht
8.20
1 shots · 65 pass
D. Bielica
D. Bielica
G · NAC
8.20
· 34 pass
Y. Cathline
Y. Cathline
F · Utrecht
7.90
2 shots · 23 pass
A. Blake
A. Blake
F · Utrecht
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 12 pass
D · Utrecht
7.70
· 82 pass
G. Zechiël
G. Zechiël
M · Utrecht
7.70
4 shots · 62 pass
Utrecht Utrecht — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.20 — — — 30 27% — — —
S. El Karouani D 90 8.20 — — 1 65 61% 4 — —
M. Eerdhuijzen D 45 7.20 — — 1 44 43% 1 — —
D 90 7.70 — — — 82 73% — — —
N. Vesterlund D 74 6.90 — — 1 40 36% — — —
G. Zechiël M 90 7.70 — — 4 62 59% — — —
D. de Wit M 89 7.60 1 — 1 23 16% 3 — —
Alonzo Engwanda M 90 6.90 — — 1 52 44% 1 — —
Y. Cathline F 89 7.90 — — 2 23 17% 1 — —
Artem Stepanov F 65 6.00 — — 2 10 9% — — —
A. Alarcon F 66 6.90 — — 1 13 9% — — —
A. Blake F 24 7.90 1 — 2 12 10% — — —
Jesper Karlsson F 45 7.60 — 1 4 19 15% 1 — —
S. Haller F 25 7.20 — — — 13 9% — — —
S. Horemans D 16 6.90 — — 1 13 13% — — —
NAC Breda NAC Breda — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Bielica G 90 8.20 — — — 34 17% — 1 —
D 90 6.60 — — — 30 13% 2 — —
Clint Leemans D 90 6.70 — — — 44 32% 2 — —
E. Mahmutović D 89 6.70 — — — 12 9% 2 — —
D 90 6.50 — — 2 14 9% 3 — —
Kamal Sowah M 89 6.30 — — — 18 15% — — —
Maximilien Balard M 89 6.70 — — — 30 25% — 1 —
M. Nassoh M 35 5.60 — — — 17 17% — — 1
Cherrion Valerius M 72 6.50 — — 1 18 13% 2 — —
André Ayew F 72 6.90 — — 1 20 13% 1 — —
L. Holtby F 81 6.90 — — 1 15 11% 2 — —
M. Soumano F 18 6.30 — — 1 5 2% — — —
Raul Paula M 9 6.30 — — 1 2 2% 1 — —
R. Hillen D 18 6.30 — — 1 1 — 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Utrecht vs NAC Breda?
The final score was Utrecht 2–0 NAC Breda.
What did the model predict before Utrecht vs NAC Breda?
The model assigned 59% probability to a Utrecht win, 26% to a draw, and 14% to an NAC Breda win.