← Eredivisie
Eredivisie · Regular Season - 32 May 02, 2026 16:30
Utrecht
#7 · 50 pts
2 – 0
Final score
NAC Breda
#17 · 28 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Utrecht
D. de Wit (ast. J. Karlsson) 86'
A. Blake (ast. D. Min) 90'+9

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Utrecht a 59% win probability (draw 26%, NAC Breda 14%). The final result was Utrecht 2–0 NAC Breda. In 1 previous meetings, Utrecht have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for NAC Breda.

Match statistics
21
Total shots
8
11
Shots on target
1
2.85
Actual xG
0.45
1
Saves
9
65%
Possession
35%
8
Corners
4
11
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
35'
M. Nassoh
40'
M. Balard
↕ M. Eerdhuijzen / J. Karlsson
46'
↕ A. Stepanov / S. Haller
65'
↕ A. Alarcon / A. Blake
66'
↕ N. Vesterlund / S. Horemans
74'
75'
M. Soumano / A. Ayew ↕
75'
R. Hillen / C. Valerius ↕
81'
J. Candelaria / L. Holtby ↕
83'
D. Bielica
⚽D. de Wit · ast. J. Karlsson
86'
↕ D. de Wit / D. Min
89'
90'+1
B. Ghalidi / M. Balard ↕
90'+2
R. Paula / E. Mahmutovic ↕
↕ Y. Cathline / C. Bozdogan
90'+4
90'+5
P. Reulen / K. Sowah ↕
⚽A. Blake · ast. D. Min
90'+9
Pre-match prediction
59.64%
Utrecht ←
26.18%
X
14.18%
NAC
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Utrecht) 59.64% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Utrecht
1.85
2.85
+1.0
NAC
0.74
0.45
-0.29
Utrecht dominated by xG (2.85 vs 0.45). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Roda Roda 1 1
1 Willem II Willem II 1 3
1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 33 81
2 Feyenoord Feyenoord 33 62
2 Waalwijk Waalwijk 1 1
2 Waalwijk Waalwijk 1 0
3 Twente Twente 33 58
4 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 33 56
5 Ajax Ajax 33 55
6 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 33 51
7 Utrecht Utrecht 33 50
8 Heerenveen Heerenveen 33 50
9 Groningen Groningen 33 45
10 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 33 43
11 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 33 39
12 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 33 38
13 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 33 37
14 Excelsior Excelsior 33 35
15 Telstar Telstar 33 34
16 FC Volendam FC Volendam 33 32
17 NAC Breda NAC Breda 33 28
18 Heracles Heracles 33 19
Lineups
Utrecht Utrecht 4-3-3
1
G 7.20
16 S. El Karouani S. El Karouani D 8.20
44 Mike Eerdhuijzen Mike Eerdhuijzen 45' D 7.20
3
D 7.70
23 Niklas Vesterlund Niklas Vesterlund 74' D 6.90
21 G. Zechiël G. Zechiël M 7.70
20 D. de Wit D. de Wit 1 ⚽ 89' M 7.60
27 Alonzo Engwanda Alonzo Engwanda M 6.90
10 Yoann Cathline Yoann Cathline 89' F 7.90
18
A. Stepanov 65' F 6.00
77
A. Alarcon 66' F 6.90
Bench
15 Adrian Blake Adrian Blake 1 ⚽ 24' F 7.90
5 Emeka Adeile Emeka Adeile D
11 Jesper Karlsson Jesper Karlsson 1 👟 45' F 7.60
53 Neal Viereck Neal Viereck D
24 Nick Viergever Nick Viergever D
91 Sébastien Haller Sébastien Haller 25' F 7.20
2 Siebe Horemans Siebe Horemans 16' D 6.90
NAC Breda NAC Breda 4-4-2
99 Daniel Bielica Daniel Bielica G 8.20
4
D 6.60
8 Clint Leemans Clint Leemans D 6.70
15 Enes Mahmutović Enes Mahmutović 89' D 6.70
3
D 6.50
14 Kamal Sowah Kamal Sowah 89' M 6.30
16 Maximilien Balard Maximilien Balard 89' M 6.70
10
M. Nassoh 35' M 5.60
25 Cherrion Valerius Cherrion Valerius 72' M 6.50
24 André Ayew André Ayew 72' F 6.90
90 Lewis Holtby Lewis Holtby 81' F 6.90
Bench
19 Amine Salama Amine Salama F
7 Charles-Andreas Brym Charles-Andreas Brym F
32 Juho Talvitie Juho Talvitie F
9 Moussa Soumano Moussa Soumano 18' F 6.30
11
Raul Paula 9' M 6.30
22 R. Hillen R. Hillen 18' D 6.30
Best on the pitch
S. El Karouani
S. El Karouani
D · Utrecht
8.20
1 shots · 65 pass
Daniel Bielica
Daniel Bielica
G · NAC
8.20
· 34 pass
Yoann Cathline
Yoann Cathline
F · Utrecht
7.90
2 shots · 23 pass
Adrian Blake
Adrian Blake
F · Utrecht
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 12 pass
D · Utrecht
7.70
· 82 pass
G. Zechiël
G. Zechiël
M · Utrecht
7.70
4 shots · 62 pass
Utrecht Utrecht — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.20 — — — 30 27% — — —
S. El Karouani D 90 8.20 — — 1 65 61% 4 — —
Mike Eerdhuijzen D 45 7.20 — — 1 44 43% 1 — —
D 90 7.70 — — — 82 73% — — —
Niklas Vesterlund D 74 6.90 — — 1 40 36% — — —
G. Zechiël M 90 7.70 — — 4 62 59% — — —
D. de Wit M 89 7.60 1 — 1 23 16% 3 — —
Alonzo Engwanda M 90 6.90 — — 1 52 44% 1 — —
Yoann Cathline F 89 7.90 — — 2 23 17% 1 — —
A. Stepanov F 65 6.00 — — 2 10 9% — — —
A. Alarcon F 66 6.90 — — 1 13 9% — — —
Adrian Blake F 24 7.90 1 — 2 12 10% — — —
Jesper Karlsson F 45 7.60 — 1 4 19 15% 1 — —
Sébastien Haller F 25 7.20 — — — 13 9% — — —
Siebe Horemans D 16 6.90 — — 1 13 13% — — —
NAC Breda NAC Breda — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Daniel Bielica G 90 8.20 — — — 34 17% — 1 —
D 90 6.60 — — — 30 13% 2 — —
Clint Leemans D 90 6.70 — — — 44 32% 2 — —
Enes Mahmutović D 89 6.70 — — — 12 9% 2 — —
D 90 6.50 — — 2 14 9% 3 — —
Kamal Sowah M 89 6.30 — — — 18 15% — — —
Maximilien Balard M 89 6.70 — — — 30 25% — 1 —
M. Nassoh M 35 5.60 — — — 17 17% — — 1
Cherrion Valerius M 72 6.50 — — 1 18 13% 2 — —
André Ayew F 72 6.90 — — 1 20 13% 1 — —
Lewis Holtby F 81 6.90 — — 1 15 11% 2 — —
Moussa Soumano F 18 6.30 — — 1 5 2% — — —
Raul Paula M 9 6.30 — — 1 2 2% 1 — —
R. Hillen D 18 6.30 — — 1 1 — 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Utrecht vs NAC Breda?
The final score was Utrecht 2–0 NAC Breda.
What did the model predict before Utrecht vs NAC Breda?
The model assigned 59% probability to a Utrecht win, 26% to a draw, and 14% to an NAC Breda win.