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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 10 October 24, 2026 16:30 Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht
Utrecht
#11 · 12 pts
1 – 1
Final score
PEC Zwolle
#15 · 8 pts
S. van Duijn 90'+1
72' (ast. Thijs Oosting) Elias Sörensen
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Utrecht a 43% win probability (draw 27%, PEC Zwolle 29%). The final result was Utrecht 1–1 PEC Zwolle. In 2 previous meetings, Utrecht have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for PEC Zwolle.

Match statistics
23
Total shots
9
5
Shots on target
5
1.66
Actual xG
0.95
4
Saves
4
60%
Possession
40%
7
Corners
2
17
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Oualid Agougil
26'
45'
Elias Sörensen / Dylan Mbayo ↕
↕ Niklas Vesterlund / Adrian Blake
62'
71'
Jan Burger / Damian van der Haar ↕
72'
ast. Thijs Oosting · Elias Sörensen⚽
↕ Yoann Cathline / S. van Duijn
74'
↕ Ángel Alarcón / Artem Stepanov
74'
76'
Gilles Van Der Wal
83'
Koen Kostons / Gilles Van Der Wal ↕
↕ Siebe Horemans / Nordin Amrabat
83'
↕ Oualid Agougil / Davy Van Den Berg
83'
87'
Tobias Sommer
Joris van Overeem
89'
⚽S. van Duijn
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
43.03%
Utrecht
27.3%
X ←
29.67%
PEC
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 27.3% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Utrecht
1.36
1.66
+0.3
PEC
1.20
0.95
-0.25
Utrecht dominated by xG (1.66 vs 0.95). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Feyenoord Feyenoord 10 24
2 Ajax Ajax 10 21
3 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 10 20
4 Twente Twente 10 20
5 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 10 20
6 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 10 18
7 Heerenveen Heerenveen 10 15
8 Groningen Groningen 10 15
9 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 10 14
10 Cambuur Cambuur 10 12
11 Utrecht Utrecht 10 12
12 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 10 11
13 Excelsior Excelsior 10 11
14 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 10 9
15 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 10 8
16 Telstar Telstar 10 6
17 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 10 6
18 Willem II Willem II 10 2
Lineups
Utrecht Utrecht 4-2-3-1
22 S. Padt S. Padt G 7.01
92 A. Zagré A. Zagré D 6.71
5 N. Panagiotou N. Panagiotou D 6.39
3 M. Didden M. Didden D 7.05
2 S. Horemans S. Horemans 83' D 6.62
38 O. Agougil O. Agougil 83' M 6.65
8 J. van Overeem J. van Overeem M 6.31
11 Ángel Alarcón Ángel Alarcón 74' M 6.62
10 Y. Cathline Y. Cathline 74' M 6.34
23 N. Vesterlund N. Vesterlund 62' M 6.03
20 D. de Wit D. de Wit F 6.22
Bench
15 A. Blake A. Blake 28' F 7.25
9 Artem Stepanov Artem Stepanov 16' F 6.49
34 D. van den Berg D. van den Berg 7' M 5.92
6 G. Offerhaus G. Offerhaus D 0.00
18 J. Medić J. Medić D 0.00
33 K. Gadellaa K. Gadellaa G 0.00
31 M. Eppink M. Eppink G 0.00
39 N. Amrabat N. Amrabat 7' F 6.44
21 Nigel Ogidi Nwankwo Nigel Ogidi Nwankwo D 0.00
32 P. Kloosterboer P. Kloosterboer D 0.00
17 S. van Duijn S. van Duijn 1 ⚽ 16' F 8.20
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 4-2-3-1
1 J. Schendelaar J. Schendelaar G 6.86
33 D. van der Haar D. van der Haar 71' D 6.27
24 N. Viergever N. Viergever D 6.32
28 S. Graves S. Graves D 6.87
3 O. Aertssen O. Aertssen D 6.46
8 T. Sommer T. Sommer M 6.68
30 R. Thomas R. Thomas M 6.41
11 D. Mbayo D. Mbayo 45' M 6.37
25 T. Oosting T. Oosting 1 👟 M 7.04
37 Gilles van der Wal Gilles van der Wal 83' M 6.08
17 S. van Hooijdonk S. van Hooijdonk F 6.04
Bench
41 D. Verduin D. Verduin G 0.00
42 Dylan Ruward Dylan Ruward D 0.00
9 E. Sørensen E. Sørensen 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.49
20 G. Reiziger G. Reiziger M 0.00
22 I. Cissoko I. Cissoko F 0.00
26 Jadiel Pereira da Gama Jadiel Pereira da Gama M 0.00
6 Jan Bürger Jan Bürger 19' D 6.18
10 K. Kostons K. Kostons 7' F 6.56
34 N. Fichtinger N. Fichtinger M 0.00
16 T. de Graaff T. de Graaff G 0.00
4 T. Velthuis T. Velthuis D 0.00
7 Y. Namli Y. Namli F 0.00
Best on the pitch
S. van Duijn
S. van Duijn
F · Utrecht
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 5 pass
E. Sørensen
E. Sørensen
F · PEC
7.49
1 ⚽
3 shots · 14 pass
A. Blake
A. Blake
F · Utrecht
7.25
4 shots · 10 pass
M. Didden
M. Didden
D · Utrecht
7.05
1 shots · 80 pass
T. Oosting
T. Oosting
M · PEC
7.04
1 👟
1 shots · 10 pass
S. Padt
S. Padt
G · Utrecht
7.01
· 39 pass
Utrecht Utrecht — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Padt G 90 7.01 — — 0 39 27% 0 — —
A. Zagré D 90 6.71 — — 1 50 40% 1 — —
N. Panagiotou D 90 6.39 — — 0 67 55% 2 — —
M. Didden D 90 7.05 — — 1 80 65% 3 — —
S. Horemans D 83 6.62 — — 1 49 40% 1 — —
O. Agougil M 83 6.65 — — 3 38 33% 2 1 —
J. van Overeem M 90 6.31 — — 0 72 60% 4 1 —
Ángel Alarcón M 74 6.62 — — 5 24 21% 1 — —
Y. Cathline M 74 6.34 — — 4 21 13% 0 — —
N. Vesterlund M 62 6.03 — — 1 10 8% 0 — —
D. de Wit F 90 6.22 — — 1 30 21% 0 — —
A. Blake F 28 7.25 — — 4 10 7% 0 — —
Artem Stepanov F 16 6.49 — — 1 7 5% 0 — —
D. van den Berg M 7 5.92 — — 0 8 7% 2 — —
N. Amrabat F 7 6.44 — — 0 6 3% 0 — —
S. van Duijn F 16 8.20 1 — 1 5 2% 1 — —
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Schendelaar G 90 6.86 — — 0 33 19% 0 — —
D. van der Haar D 71 6.27 — — 1 20 14% 1 — —
N. Viergever D 90 6.32 — — 1 38 30% 1 — —
S. Graves D 90 6.87 — — 0 50 42% 2 — —
O. Aertssen D 90 6.46 — — 0 21 15% 2 — —
T. Sommer M 90 6.68 — — 0 56 45% 1 1 —
R. Thomas M 90 6.41 — — 1 48 32% 0 — —
D. Mbayo M 45 6.37 — — 0 13 11% 0 — —
T. Oosting M 90 7.04 — 1 1 10 9% 0 — —
Gilles van der Wal M 83 6.08 — — 1 17 11% 3 1 —
S. van Hooijdonk F 90 6.04 — — 1 23 17% 0 — —
E. Sørensen F 45 7.49 1 — 3 14 8% 0 — —
Jan Bürger D 19 6.18 — — 0 5 2% 1 — —
K. Kostons F 7 6.56 — — 0 4 2% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle?
The final score was Utrecht 1–1 PEC Zwolle.
What did the model predict before Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Utrecht win, 27% to a draw, and 29% to an PEC Zwolle win.