Utrecht 1–6 PSV Eindhoven — pre-match prediction — Eredivisie — August 30, 2026

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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 4 August 30, 2026 12:15 Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht

Utrecht

#11 · 12 pts

1 – 6

Final score

PSV Eindhoven

#3 · 20 pts

A. Stepanov (ast. N. Vesterlund) 6'

11' R. van Bommel

45' (ast. S. Dest) G. Til

76' Mauro Junior

86' (ast. P. Wanner) S. Mijnans

88' (ast. A. Bouhamdi) G. Til

90'+3 (ast. A. Bouhamdi) S. Dest

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave PSV Eindhoven a 43% win probability (draw 27%, Utrecht 28%). The final result was Utrecht 1–6 PSV Eindhoven. In 2 previous meetings, Utrecht have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for PSV Eindhoven.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

0.30

Actual xG

3.04

Saves

34%

Possession

66%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽A. Stepanov · ast. N. Vesterlund

11'

R. van Bommel⚽

G. Offerhaus

15'

D. de Wit

34'

45'

ast. S. Dest · G. Til⚽

A. Zagre

49'

↕ N. Vesterlund / P. Kloosterboer

56'

↕ A. Alarcon / A. Blake

61'

↕ D. van den Berg / Z. Iqbal

61'

65'

P. Wanner / N. Fernandez ↕

65'

E. Bajraktarevic / I. Perisic ↕

72'

A. Obispo

76'

Mauro Junior⚽

78'

A. Bouhamdi / R. van Bommel ↕

78'

S. Mijnans / R. Pepi ↕

↕ Y. Cathline / S. van Duijn

84'

Y. Gasiorowski / A. Obispo ↕

↕ A. Zagre / E. C. Owen

84'

V. Barkas

85'

86'

(missed pen.) S. Mijnans⚽

86'

ast. P. Wanner · S. Mijnans⚽

88'

ast. A. Bouhamdi · G. Til⚽

S. Horemans

90'+2

90'+3

ast. A. Bouhamdi · S. Dest⚽

Pre-match prediction

28.73%

Utrecht

27.78%

43.48%

PSV ←

we assigned to the actual result (PSV Eindhoven) 43.48% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Utrecht

2.16

0.30

-1.87

PSV

3.82

3.04

-0.78

PSV Eindhoven dominated by xG (3.04 vs 0.30). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Feyenoord	10	24
2	Ajax	10	21
3	PSV Eindhoven	10	20
4	Twente	10	20
5	AZ Alkmaar	10	20
6	Fortuna Sittard	10	18
7	Heerenveen	10	15
8	Groningen	10	15
9	GO Ahead Eagles	10	14
10	Cambuur	10	12
11	Utrecht	10	12
12	NEC Nijmegen	10	11
13	Excelsior	10	11
14	Sparta Rotterdam	10	9
15	PEC Zwolle	10	8
16	Telstar	10	6
17	ADO Den Haag	10	6
18	Willem II	10	2

Lineups

Utrecht 3-4-3

V. Barkas G 5.00

N. Nwankwo D 6.20

G. Offerhaus D 5.30

S. Horemans D 5.50

A. Zagré 84' M 6.60

D. van den Berg 61' M 6.20

D. de Wit M 6.30

N. Vesterlund 1 👟 56' M 7.20

Y. Cathline 84' F 6.70

Artem Stepanov 1 ⚽ F 7.30

Ángel Alarcón 61' F 6.30

Bench

A. Blake 29' F 6.30

E. C. Owen 10' F 6.30

F. Pohl D

Jamie Schuldes D

K. Gadellaa G

M. Brouwer G

P. Kloosterboer 34' D 5.30

S. van Duijn 10' F 6.30

Viggo Plantinga D

Zidane Iqbal 29' M 6.50

PSV Eindhoven 4-2-3-1

M. Kovář G 6.50

Mauro Júnior 1 ⚽ D 7.90

A. Obispo 84' D 6.70

R. Flamingo D 6.90

S. Dest 1 ⚽ 1 👟 D 8.50

N. Fernandez 65' M 6.60

K. Sano M 7.20

R. van Bommel 1 ⚽ 78' M 7.20

G. Til 2 ⚽ M 8.30

I. Perišić 65' M 7.00

R. Pepi 78' F 6.50

Bench

A. Bouhamdi 2 👟 12' F 7.20

E. Bajraktarevic 25' F 6.30

F. Kostić M

Khadim Ngom G

L. Geertruida D

N. Olij G

P. Wanner 1 👟 25' M 7.20

S. Mijnans 1 ⚽ 12' M 7.20

Yarek Gasiorowski 10' D 6.60

Best on the pitch

S. Dest

D · PSV

8.50

1 ⚽ 1 👟

4 shots · 65 pass

G. Til

M · PSV

8.30

2 ⚽

3 shots · 29 pass

Mauro Júnior

D · PSV

7.90

1 ⚽

2 shots · 79 pass

Artem Stepanov

F · Utrecht

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 17 pass

S. Mijnans

M · PSV

7.20

1 ⚽

2 shots · 10 pass

P. Wanner

M · PSV

7.20

1 👟

1 shots · 13 pass

Utrecht — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
V. Barkas	G	90	5.00	—	—	—	43	24%	—	1	—
N. Nwankwo	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	32	29%	1	—	—
G. Offerhaus	D	90	5.30	—	—	—	32	22%	1	1	—
S. Horemans	D	90	5.50	—	—	—	30	27%	3	1	—
A. Zagré	M	84	6.60	—	—	—	27	20%	4	1	—
D. van den Berg	M	61	6.20	—	—	—	29	21%	2	—	—
D. de Wit	M	90	6.30	—	—	—	19	14%	3	1	—
N. Vesterlund	M	56	7.20	—	1	—	7	6%	1	—	—
Y. Cathline	F	84	6.70	—	—	—	16	12%	1	—	—
Artem Stepanov	F	90	7.30	1	—	1	17	12%	—	—	—
Ángel Alarcón	F	61	6.30	—	—	—	7	5%	2	—	—
A. Blake	F	29	6.30	—	—	—	10	7%	1	—	—
E. C. Owen	F	10	6.30	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—
P. Kloosterboer	D	34	5.30	—	—	—	15	11%	1	—	—
S. van Duijn	F	10	6.30	—	—	—	3	2%	1	—	—
Zidane Iqbal	M	29	6.50	—	—	—	9	8%	1	—	—

PSV Eindhoven — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
M. Kovář	G	90	6.50	—	—	—	26	22%	—	—	—
Mauro Júnior	D	90	7.90	1	—	2	79	74%	1	—	—
A. Obispo	D	84	6.70	—	—	1	59	55%	—	1	—
R. Flamingo	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	75	66%	1	—	—
S. Dest	D	90	8.50	1	1	4	65	57%	—	—	—
N. Fernandez	M	65	6.60	—	—	—	40	36%	2	—	—
K. Sano	M	90	7.20	—	—	3	50	47%	2	—	—
R. van Bommel	M	78	7.20	1	—	5	40	37%	1	—	—
G. Til	M	90	8.30	2	—	3	29	26%	—	—	—
I. Perišić	M	65	7.00	—	—	2	32	25%	2	—	—
R. Pepi	F	78	6.50	—	—	1	11	11%	—	—	—
A. Bouhamdi	F	12	7.20	—	2	—	15	14%	1	—	—
E. Bajraktarevic	F	25	6.30	—	—	1	13	12%	—	—	—
P. Wanner	M	25	7.20	—	1	1	13	12%	—	—	—
S. Mijnans	M	12	7.20	1	—	2	10	9%	—	—	—
Yarek Gasiorowski	D	10	6.60	—	—	—	5	5%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven?

The final score was Utrecht 1–6 PSV Eindhoven.

What did the model predict before Utrecht vs PSV Eindhoven?

The model assigned 28% probability to a Utrecht win, 27% to a draw, and 43% to an PSV Eindhoven win.