← Eredivisie
Eredivisie · Regular Season - 30 April 11, 2026 18:30
Utrecht
#7 · 50 pts
4 – 1
Final score
Telstar
#15 · 34 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Utrecht
M. Didden (ast. D. de Wit) 10'
G. Zechiel (ast. Y. Cathline) 61'
D. de Wit 72'
J. Karlsson 90'+1
58' (ast. C. Hatenboer) D. Bakker

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Utrecht a 64% win probability (draw 17%, Telstar 17%). The final result was Utrecht 4–1 Telstar. In 1 previous meetings, Utrecht have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Telstar.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
8
9
Shots on target
7
1.57
Actual xG
1.32
6
Saves
5
41%
Possession
59%
7
Corners
5
14
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽M. Didden · ast. D. de Wit
10'
S. El Karouani
38'
48'
N. Ogidi Nwankwo
58'
ast. C. Hatenboer · D. Bakker⚽
⚽G. Zechiel · ast. Y. Cathline
61'
63'
N. Rossen / J. Ritmeester van de Kamp ↕
D. de Wit
67'
⚽D. de Wit
72'
76'
R. Oudsten / S. van Duijn ↕
76'
S. Hetli / T. Noslin ↕
↕ A. Alarcon / J. Karlsson
76'
84'
K. Tejan / C. Hatenboer ↕
84'
J. Seedorf / P. Brouwer ↕
↕ G. Zechiel / S. Horemans
87'
⚽J. Karlsson
90'+1
↕ A. Stepanov / S. Haller
90'
↕ S. El Karouani / E. Adiele
90'
Pre-match prediction
64.57%
Utrecht ←
17.76%
X
17.67%
Telstar
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Utrecht) 64.57% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Utrecht
2.46
1.57
-0.89
Telstar
1.06
1.32
+0.26
xG dominance was balanced (1.57 – 1.32). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Roda Roda 1 1
1 Willem II Willem II 1 3
1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 33 81
2 Feyenoord Feyenoord 33 62
2 Waalwijk Waalwijk 1 1
2 Waalwijk Waalwijk 1 0
3 Twente Twente 33 58
4 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 33 56
5 Ajax Ajax 33 55
6 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 33 51
7 Utrecht Utrecht 33 50
8 Heerenveen Heerenveen 33 50
9 Groningen Groningen 33 45
10 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 33 43
11 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 33 39
12 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 33 38
13 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 33 37
14 Excelsior Excelsior 33 35
15 Telstar Telstar 33 34
16 FC Volendam FC Volendam 33 32
17 NAC Breda NAC Breda 33 28
18 Heracles Heracles 33 19
Lineups
Utrecht Utrecht 4-2-3-1
1
G 8.60
16 S. El Karouani S. El Karouani 89' D 6.60
3
D 6.70
40
M. Didden 1 ⚽ D 7.90
23 Niklas Vesterlund Niklas Vesterlund D 6.90
21 G. Zechiël G. Zechiël 1 ⚽ 87' M 7.00
27 Alonzo Engwanda Alonzo Engwanda M 7.00
10 Yoann Cathline Yoann Cathline 1 👟 M 7.20
20 D. de Wit D. de Wit 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 7.90
77
A. Alarcon 76' M 6.60
18
A. Stepanov 89' F 7.50
Bench
15 Adrian Blake Adrian Blake F
5 Emeka Adeile Emeka Adeile 1' D
11 Jesper Karlsson Jesper Karlsson 1 ⚽ 14' F 7.30
44 Mike Eerdhuijzen Mike Eerdhuijzen D
53 Neal Viereck Neal Viereck D
43 Rafik El Arguioui Rafik El Arguioui M
91 Sébastien Haller Sébastien Haller 1' F
2 Siebe Horemans Siebe Horemans 8' D 6.60
Telstar Telstar 3-4-2-1
1 Ronald Koeman Jr Ronald Koeman Jr G 7.20
6 D. Bakker D. Bakker 1 ⚽ D 7.30
4 G. Offerhaus G. Offerhaus D 6.20
14
D 5.20
2 J. Hardeveld J. Hardeveld M 6.00
8
T. Owusu M 6.60
23
84' M 6.70
11 Tyrese Noslin Tyrese Noslin 76' M 7.00
27 P. Brouwer P. Brouwer 84' F 6.20
39 J. Ritmeester van de Kamp J. Ritmeester van de Kamp 63' F 6.30
37 Sem van Duijn Sem van Duijn 76' F 6.30
Bench
21 Devon Koswal Devon Koswal D
9 Jelani Seedorf Jelani Seedorf 11' F 7.00
5 Nigel Ogidi Nwankwo Nigel Ogidi Nwankwo D
Best on the pitch
G · Utrecht
8.60
· 30 pass
M. Didden
D · Utrecht
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 36 pass
D. de Wit
D. de Wit
M · Utrecht
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 19 pass
A. Stepanov
F · Utrecht
7.50
1 shots · 17 pass
Jesper Karlsson
Jesper Karlsson
F · Utrecht
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
D. Bakker
D. Bakker
D · Telstar
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 71 pass
Utrecht Utrecht — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 8.60 — — — 30 19% — — —
S. El Karouani D 89 6.60 — — 4 31 26% 2 1 —
D 90 6.70 — — — 33 29% 2 — —
M. Didden D 90 7.90 1 — 2 36 31% 2 — —
Niklas Vesterlund D 90 6.90 — — — 30 24% 1 — —
G. Zechiël M 87 7.00 1 — 1 29 24% 2 — —
Alonzo Engwanda M 90 7.00 — — — 34 32% 2 — —
Yoann Cathline M 90 7.20 — 1 2 18 12% 1 — —
D. de Wit M 90 7.90 1 1 2 19 15% — 1 —
A. Alarcon M 76 6.60 — — 2 18 11% — — —
A. Stepanov F 89 7.50 — — 1 17 11% 2 — —
Emeka Adeile D 1 — — — — — — — — —
Jesper Karlsson F 14 7.30 1 — 1 — — — — —
Sébastien Haller F 1 — — — — 1 1% — — —
Siebe Horemans D 8 6.60 — — — — — — — —
Telstar Telstar — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Ronald Koeman Jr G 90 7.20 — — — 43 38% — — —
D. Bakker D 90 7.30 1 — 1 71 62% 2 — —
G. Offerhaus D 90 6.20 — — — 47 43% 2 — —
D 90 5.20 — — 1 39 37% — 1 —
J. Hardeveld M 90 6.00 — — — 45 35% — — —
T. Owusu M 90 6.60 — — 2 37 31% 2 — —
M 84 6.70 — — — 51 40% 2 — —
Tyrese Noslin M 76 7.00 — — — 26 22% 3 — —
P. Brouwer F 84 6.20 — — 1 13 12% — — —
J. Ritmeester van de Kamp F 63 6.30 — — — 20 19% 1 — —
Sem van Duijn F 76 6.30 — — 3 22 13% 1 — —
Jelani Seedorf F 11 7.00 — — — 3 3% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Utrecht vs Telstar?
The final score was Utrecht 4–1 Telstar.
What did the model predict before Utrecht vs Telstar?
The model assigned 64% probability to a Utrecht win, 17% to a draw, and 17% to an Telstar win.