Skip to main content
← Eredivisie
Eredivisie · Regular Season - 30 April 11, 2026 16:30 Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht
Utrecht
#11 · 0 pts
4 – 1
Final score
Telstar
#3 · 0 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Utrecht
M. Didden (ast. D. de Wit) 10'
G. Zechiel (ast. Y. Cathline) 61'
D. de Wit 72'
J. Karlsson 90'+1
58' (ast. C. Hatenboer) D. Bakker
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Utrecht a 64% win probability (draw 17%, Telstar 17%). The final result was Utrecht 4–1 Telstar. In 1 previous meetings, Utrecht have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Telstar.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
8
9
Shots on target
7
1.57
Actual xG
1.32
6
Saves
5
41%
Possession
59%
7
Corners
5
14
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽M. Didden · ast. D. de Wit
10'
S. El Karouani
38'
48'
N. Ogidi Nwankwo
58'
ast. C. Hatenboer · D. Bakker⚽
⚽G. Zechiel · ast. Y. Cathline
61'
63'
N. Rossen / J. Ritmeester van de Kamp ↕
D. de Wit
67'
⚽D. de Wit
72'
76'
R. Oudsten / S. van Duijn ↕
76'
S. Hetli / T. Noslin ↕
↕ A. Alarcon / J. Karlsson
76'
84'
K. Tejan / C. Hatenboer ↕
84'
J. Seedorf / P. Brouwer ↕
↕ G. Zechiel / S. Horemans
87'
⚽J. Karlsson
90'+1
↕ A. Stepanov / S. Haller
90'
↕ S. El Karouani / E. Adiele
90'
Pre-match prediction
64.57%
Utrecht ←
17.76%
X
17.67%
Telstar
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Utrecht) 64.57% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Utrecht
2.46
1.57
-0.89
Telstar
1.06
1.32
+0.26
xG dominance was balanced (1.57 – 1.32). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Cambuur Cambuur 0 0
2 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 0 0
3 Telstar Telstar 0 0
4 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 0 0
5 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 0 0
6 Ajax Ajax 0 0
7 Twente Twente 0 0
8 Heerenveen Heerenveen 0 0
9 Feyenoord Feyenoord 0 0
10 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 0 0
11 Utrecht Utrecht 0 0
12 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 0 0
13 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 0 0
14 Willem II Willem II 0 0
15 Excelsior Excelsior 0 0
16 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 0 0
17 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 0 0
18 Groningen Groningen 0 0
Lineups
Utrecht Utrecht 4-2-3-1
1
G 8.60
16 S. El Karouani S. El Karouani 89' D 6.60
3
D 6.70
40
M. Didden 1 ⚽ D 7.90
23 Niklas Vesterlund Niklas Vesterlund D 6.90
21 G. Zechiël G. Zechiël 1 ⚽ 87' M 7.00
27 Alonzo Engwanda Alonzo Engwanda M 7.00
10 Yoann Cathline Yoann Cathline 1 👟 M 7.20
20 D. de Wit D. de Wit 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 7.90
77
A. Alarcon 76' M 6.60
18 Artem Stepanov Artem Stepanov 89' F 7.50
Bench
15 Adrian Blake Adrian Blake F
5 Emeka Adeile Emeka Adeile 1' D
11 Jesper Karlsson Jesper Karlsson 1 ⚽ 14' F 7.30
44 Mike Eerdhuijzen Mike Eerdhuijzen D
53 Neal Viereck Neal Viereck D
43 R. El Arguioui R. El Arguioui M
91 Sébastien Haller Sébastien Haller 1' F
2 Siebe Horemans Siebe Horemans 8' D 6.60
Telstar Telstar 3-4-2-1
1 Ronald Koeman Jr Ronald Koeman Jr G 7.20
6 D. Bakker D. Bakker 1 ⚽ D 7.30
4 G. Offerhaus G. Offerhaus D 6.20
14
D 5.20
2 J. Hardeveld J. Hardeveld M 6.00
8 Tyrone Owusu Tyrone Owusu M 6.60
23
84' M 6.70
11 T. Noslin T. Noslin 76' M 7.00
27 P. Brouwer P. Brouwer 84' F 6.20
39 J. Ritmeester van de Kamp J. Ritmeester van de Kamp 63' F 6.30
37 Sem van Duijn Sem van Duijn 76' F 6.30
Bench
21 Devon Koswal Devon Koswal D
9 Jelani Seedorf Jelani Seedorf 11' F 7.00
5 Nigel Ogidi Nwankwo Nigel Ogidi Nwankwo D
Best on the pitch
G · Utrecht
8.60
· 30 pass
M. Didden
D · Utrecht
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 36 pass
D. de Wit
D. de Wit
M · Utrecht
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 19 pass
Artem Stepanov
Artem Stepanov
F · Utrecht
7.50
1 shots · 17 pass
Jesper Karlsson
Jesper Karlsson
F · Utrecht
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
D. Bakker
D. Bakker
D · Telstar
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 71 pass
Utrecht Utrecht — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 8.60 — — — 30 19% — — —
S. El Karouani D 89 6.60 — — 4 31 26% 2 1 —
D 90 6.70 — — — 33 29% 2 — —
M. Didden D 90 7.90 1 — 2 36 31% 2 — —
Niklas Vesterlund D 90 6.90 — — — 30 24% 1 — —
G. Zechiël M 87 7.00 1 — 1 29 24% 2 — —
Alonzo Engwanda M 90 7.00 — — — 34 32% 2 — —
Yoann Cathline M 90 7.20 — 1 2 18 12% 1 — —
D. de Wit M 90 7.90 1 1 2 19 15% — 1 —
A. Alarcon M 76 6.60 — — 2 18 11% — — —
Artem Stepanov F 89 7.50 — — 1 17 11% 2 — —
Emeka Adeile D 1 — — — — — — — — —
Jesper Karlsson F 14 7.30 1 — 1 — — — — —
Sébastien Haller F 1 — — — — 1 1% — — —
Siebe Horemans D 8 6.60 — — — — — — — —
Telstar Telstar — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Ronald Koeman Jr G 90 7.20 — — — 43 38% — — —
D. Bakker D 90 7.30 1 — 1 71 62% 2 — —
G. Offerhaus D 90 6.20 — — — 47 43% 2 — —
D 90 5.20 — — 1 39 37% — 1 —
J. Hardeveld M 90 6.00 — — — 45 35% — — —
Tyrone Owusu M 90 6.60 — — 2 37 31% 2 — —
M 84 6.70 — — — 51 40% 2 — —
T. Noslin M 76 7.00 — — — 26 22% 3 — —
P. Brouwer F 84 6.20 — — 1 13 12% — — —
J. Ritmeester van de Kamp F 63 6.30 — — — 20 19% 1 — —
Sem van Duijn F 76 6.30 — — 3 22 13% 1 — —
Jelani Seedorf F 11 7.00 — — — 3 3% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Utrecht vs Telstar?
The final score was Utrecht 4–1 Telstar.
What did the model predict before Utrecht vs Telstar?
The model assigned 64% probability to a Utrecht win, 17% to a draw, and 17% to an Telstar win.