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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 8 October 11, 2026 12:15 Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht
Utrecht
#11 · 12 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Willem II
#18 · 2 pts
Yoann Cathline (ast. Dani De Wit) 53'
Yoann Cathline (ast. Oualid Agougil) 75'
Ángel Alarcón (ast. Adrian Blake) 90'+2
60' (ast. Vito van Crooy) Jaden Slory
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Utrecht a 38% win probability (draw 30%, Willem II 31%). The final result was Utrecht 3–1 Willem II.

Match statistics
24
Total shots
9
6
Shots on target
2
1.38
Actual xG
0.66
1
Saves
3
58%
Possession
42%
7
Corners
3
18
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
Yoann Cathline
45'
⚽Yoann Cathline · ast. Dani De Wit
53'
60'
ast. Vito van Crooy · Jaden Slory⚽
↕ Arthur Zagre / Per Kloosterboer
68'
↕ Niklas Vesterlund / Ángel Alarcón
68'
72'
Eser Gürbüz / Jaden Slory ↕
72'
Anass Zarrouk / Tonny Vilhena ↕
⚽Yoann Cathline · ast. Oualid Agougil
75'
Nikolas Panagiotou
80'
81'
Thomas Verheydt / Vito van Crooy ↕
81'
Alessandro Ciranni / Nathan Tjoe-A-On ↕
↕ Marius Broholm / Adrian Blake
82'
↕ Oualid Agougil / Davy Van Den Berg
82'
87'
Chido Obi / Uriël van Aalst ↕
⚽Ángel Alarcón · ast. Adrian Blake
90'+2
↕ Yoann Cathline / S. van Duijn
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
38.06%
Utrecht ←
30.68%
X
31.25%
Willem
we assigned to the actual result (Utrecht) 38.06% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Utrecht
1.20
1.38
+0.18
Willem
1.13
0.66
-0.47
Utrecht dominated by xG (1.38 vs 0.66). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Feyenoord Feyenoord 10 24
2 Ajax Ajax 10 21
3 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 10 20
4 Twente Twente 10 20
5 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 10 20
6 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 10 18
7 Heerenveen Heerenveen 10 15
8 Groningen Groningen 10 15
9 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 10 14
10 Cambuur Cambuur 10 12
11 Utrecht Utrecht 10 12
12 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 10 11
13 Excelsior Excelsior 10 11
14 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 10 9
15 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 10 8
16 Telstar Telstar 10 6
17 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 10 6
18 Willem II Willem II 10 2
Lineups
Utrecht Utrecht 3-4-3
1 V. Barkas V. Barkas G 6.33
5 N. Panagiotou N. Panagiotou D 6.07
3 M. Didden M. Didden D 6.81
2 S. Horemans S. Horemans D 6.94
92 A. Zagré A. Zagré 68' M 6.52
38 O. Agougil O. Agougil 1 👟 82' M 7.70
8 J. van Overeem J. van Overeem M 7.20
23 N. Vesterlund N. Vesterlund 68' M 6.58
10 Y. Cathline Y. Cathline 2 ⚽ 89' F 9.24
20 D. de Wit D. de Wit 1 👟 F 7.16
80 M. Broholm M. Broholm 82' F 6.44
Bench
15 A. Blake A. Blake 1 👟 8' F 6.80
11 Ángel Alarcón Ángel Alarcón 1 ⚽ 22' F 7.66
34 D. van den Berg D. van den Berg 8' M 6.45
6 G. Offerhaus G. Offerhaus D 0.00
18 J. Medić J. Medić D 0.00
33 K. Gadellaa K. Gadellaa G 0.00
39 N. Amrabat N. Amrabat F 0.00
21 Nigel Ogidi Nwankwo Nigel Ogidi Nwankwo D 0.00
32 P. Kloosterboer P. Kloosterboer 22' D 6.59
22 S. Padt S. Padt G 0.00
17 S. van Duijn S. van Duijn 1' F 0.00
Willem II Willem II 4-2-3-1
26 Maxime Delanghe Maxime Delanghe G 5.82
24 Nathan Tjoe-A-On Nathan Tjoe-A-On 81' D 6.26
23 M. Dekker M. Dekker D 5.66
3 Finn Stam Finn Stam D 6.64
5 Hidde ter Avest Hidde ter Avest D 5.98
52 Tonny Vilhena Tonny Vilhena 72' M 5.80
6 Calvin Twigt Calvin Twigt M 6.41
32 Vito van Crooij Vito van Crooij 1 👟 81' M 6.89
19 Uriel van Aalst Uriel van Aalst 87' M 5.92
7 Jaden Slory Jaden Slory 1 ⚽ 72' M 6.80
9 Devin Haen Devin Haen F 6.70
Bench
2 Alessandro Ciranni Alessandro Ciranni 9' D 6.10
15 Amine Et-Taïbi Amine Et-Taïbi D 0.00
18 Anass Zarrouk Anass Zarrouk 18' M 5.99
17 Chido Obi-Martin Chido Obi-Martin 3' F 6.31
50 Eser Gürbüz Eser Gürbüz 18' F 6.47
10 Jari Schuurman Jari Schuurman M 0.00
14 Jens Mathijsen Jens Mathijsen D 0.00
31 Karst de Leeuw Karst de Leeuw G 0.00
83 Mats Lemmens Mats Lemmens D 0.00
22 Per van Loon Per van Loon M 0.00
28 Thomas Verheydt Thomas Verheydt 9' F 6.43
21 Wouter Van der Steen Wouter Van der Steen G 0.00
Best on the pitch
Y. Cathline
Y. Cathline
F · Utrecht
9.24
2 ⚽
6 shots · 27 pass
O. Agougil
O. Agougil
M · Utrecht
7.70
1 👟
· 50 pass
Ángel Alarcón
Ángel Alarcón
F · Utrecht
7.66
1 ⚽
4 shots · 13 pass
J. van Overeem
J. van Overeem
M · Utrecht
7.20
1 shots · 71 pass
D. de Wit
D. de Wit
F · Utrecht
7.16
1 👟
3 shots · 27 pass
S. Horemans
S. Horemans
D · Utrecht
6.94
2 shots · 58 pass
Utrecht Utrecht — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
V. Barkas G 90 6.33 — — 0 17 12% 0 — —
N. Panagiotou D 90 6.07 — — 0 53 43% 2 1 —
M. Didden D 90 6.81 — — 1 37 33% 0 — —
S. Horemans D 90 6.94 — — 2 58 56% 0 — —
A. Zagré M 68 6.52 — — 3 32 29% 2 — —
O. Agougil M 82 7.70 — 1 0 50 44% 1 — —
J. van Overeem M 90 7.20 — — 1 71 62% 2 — —
N. Vesterlund M 68 6.58 — — 0 31 29% 1 — —
Y. Cathline F 89 9.24 2 — 6 27 24% 3 1 —
D. de Wit F 90 7.16 — 1 3 27 22% 1 — —
M. Broholm F 82 6.44 — — 4 40 33% 2 — —
A. Blake F 8 6.80 — 1 0 6 6% 0 — —
Ángel Alarcón F 22 7.66 1 — 4 13 9% 1 — —
D. van den Berg M 8 6.45 — — 0 10 5% 2 — —
P. Kloosterboer D 22 6.59 — — 0 11 9% 1 — —
S. van Duijn F 1 0.00 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
Willem II Willem II — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Maxime Delanghe G 90 5.82 — — 0 34 20% 0 — —
Nathan Tjoe-A-On D 81 6.26 — — 0 25 20% 2 — —
M. Dekker D 90 5.66 — — 1 39 33% 0 — —
Finn Stam D 90 6.64 — — 0 53 47% 0 — —
Hidde ter Avest D 90 5.98 — — 1 50 37% 0 — —
Tonny Vilhena M 72 5.80 — — 1 19 15% 1 — —
Calvin Twigt M 90 6.41 — — 0 41 37% 0 — —
Vito van Crooij M 81 6.89 — 1 0 12 11% 1 — —
Uriel van Aalst M 87 5.92 — — 0 21 15% 1 — —
Jaden Slory M 72 6.80 1 — 1 15 10% 2 — —
Devin Haen F 90 6.70 — — 3 18 12% 0 — —
Alessandro Ciranni D 9 6.10 — — 0 4 4% 0 — —
Anass Zarrouk M 18 5.99 — — 0 8 8% 2 — —
Chido Obi-Martin F 3 6.31 — — 0 1 0% 1 — —
Eser Gürbüz F 18 6.47 — — 1 8 7% 1 — —
Thomas Verheydt F 9 6.43 — — 1 3 2% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Utrecht vs Willem II?
The final score was Utrecht 3–1 Willem II.
What did the model predict before Utrecht vs Willem II?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Utrecht win, 30% to a draw, and 31% to an Willem II win.