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Uzbekistan - Iran

Friendlies Internazionali September 24, 2026 16:00
Uzbekistan
vs
Iran
⚡ Pre-match analysis
27.24%
Win
Uzbekistan
26.41%
Draw
46.35%
Win
Iran
1.1
Expected xG
2.12

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.66%)
1X2 Result
1 27%
X 26%
2 46%
Double Chance
1X 54%
X2 73%
12 74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 53%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Iran a 46% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Uzbekistan. Expected goals are 1.1 for Uzbekistan and 2.1 for Iran (total 3.2), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.66% probability.

Season Stats

Uzbekistan
1W 1D 2L
Iran
3W 0D 1L
Averages per game
1.8
Goals
2.8
2.0
Conceded
0.8
1.5
Shots OT
—
3.0
Corners
—
42%
Poss.
—
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
75%
O 2.5
75%
75%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ Based on the last 4 matches in Friendlies Internazionali. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
100%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Uzbekistan
1W 1D 0L · at home
Iran
1W 0D 0L · away
3.0
gls/g
5.0
2.0
Conceded
0.0
50%
Win %
100%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
100%
O 3.5
100%
100%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
100%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Uzbekistan Iran →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.0% 8.5% 9.0% 6.3% 3.4% 1.4%
1 4.4% 9.3% 9.9% 7.0% 3.7% 1.6%
2 2.4% 5.1% 5.4% 3.8% 2.0% 0.9%
3 0.9% 1.9% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan
L Netherlands 2–1
L Canada 2–0
W FC Urartu 4–2
D China 2–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 23%
Iran Iran
W Mali 2–0
W Gambia 3–1
W Costa Rica 0–5
L Nigeria 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan
Attack
33
Defence
54
Form
38
Iran Iran
Attack
63
Defence
83
Form
79
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Uzbekistan vs Iran?
The model gives Uzbekistan a 27% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 46% for an Iran win.
How many goals are expected in Uzbekistan vs Iran?
Expected goals: Uzbekistan 1.1, Iran 2.1 (total 3.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Uzbekistan vs Iran?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.66%.