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Uzbekistan - Russia

Friendlies Internazionali November 12, 2026 16:00
Uzbekistan
vs
Russia
⚡ Pre-match analysis
38.86%
Win
Uzbekistan
18.04%
Draw
43.1%
Win
Russia
3.6
Expected xG
3.81

Market probabilities

Most likely result 3–3 (4.99%)
1X2 Result
1 39%
X 18%
2 43%
Double Chance
1X 57%
X2 61%
12 82%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 82%
Over 2.5 63%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Russia a 43% win probability, against 18% for a draw and 38% for Uzbekistan. Expected goals are 3.6 for Uzbekistan and 3.8 for Russia (total 7.4), with a 81% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 3–3 at 4.99% probability.

Season Stats

Uzbekistan
3W 1D 3L
Russia
5W 2D 1L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
2.5
1.7
Conceded
0.6
2.3
Shots OT
7.0
3.7
Corners
6.8
46%
Poss.
62%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
75%
71%
O 2.5
63%
71%
BTTS
25%
0%
Clean Sht
63%
ℹ Based on the last 8 matches in Friendlies Internazionali. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Uzbekistan
3W 1D 0L · at home
Russia
0W 0D 1L · away
3.2
gls/g
0.0
1.5
Conceded
1.0
75%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
0%
100%
O 1.5
0%
100%
O 2.5
0%
100%
O 3.5
0%
100%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
100%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Uzbekistan Russia →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4%
1 0.2% 0.8% 1.6% 2.0% 1.9% 1.5%
2 0.4% 1.5% 2.9% 3.6% 3.5% 2.6%
3 0.5% 1.8% 3.4% 4.3% 4.1% 3.2%
4 0.4% 1.6% 3.1% 3.9% 3.7% 2.8%
5 0.3% 1.2% 2.2% 2.8% 2.7% 2.0%

Recent form

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan
L South Korea 2–0
W Syria 4–1
W Iran 3–1
L Netherlands 2–1
L Canada 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
Russia Russia
D Nigeria 3–3
W Namibia 6–0
W Iran 2–0
W Trinidad and Tobago 3–0
W Burkina Faso 3–0

Playing profile

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan
Attack
55
Defence
62
Form
51
Russia Russia
Attack
66
Defence
78
Form
74
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Uzbekistan vs Russia?
The model gives Uzbekistan a 38% win probability, 18% for a draw, and 43% for an Russia win.
How many goals are expected in Uzbekistan vs Russia?
Expected goals: Uzbekistan 3.6, Russia 3.8 (total 7.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 81%.
What is the most likely score in Uzbekistan vs Russia?
3–3 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 4.99%.