J1 League
· Regular Season - 14
May 03, 2026 10:00
Thiago
(ast. M. Hasegawa)
29'
34'
(ast. S. Sugiura)
K. Nagai
54'
K. Nagai
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nagoya Grampus a 45% win probability (draw 26%, V-varen Nagasaki 27%). The final result was V-varen Nagasaki 1–2 Nagoya Grampus. In 1 previous meetings, V-varen Nagasaki have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Nagoya Grampus.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
9
8
Shots on target
6
4
Saves
6
49%
Possession
51%
9
Corners
9
10
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽Thiago
· ast. M. Hasegawa
29'
34'
ast. S. Sugiura ·
K. Nagai⚽
46'
H. Koda
/
S. Mori
R. Yamada
/ N. Campbell
46'
I. Arai
/ H. Teruyama
53'
54'
K. Nagai⚽
Thiago
/ Matheus Jesus
63'
S. Yoneda
/ T. Kasayanagi
63'
72'
K. Sakakibara
/
K. Nagai
H. Yamaguchi
/ Diego Pituca
74'
79'
Y. Sato
/
R. Yamanaka
79'
Y. Kimura
/
S. Sugiura
Matheus Jesus
80'
86'
A. Kawazura
/
Y. Nogami
Pre-match prediction
27.31%
V-varen
26.88%
X
45.81%
Nagoya ←
we assigned to the actual result (Nagoya Grampus)
45.81%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.91
—
—
1.42
—
—
Lineups
1
G
4
Eduardo
D
Eduardo
D
29
I. Arai
53'
D
22
Onaga Hijiri
D
Onaga Hijiri
D
23
Yoneda Shunya
64'
M
Yoneda Shunya
64'
M
5
Yamaguchi Hotaru
74'
M
Yamaguchi Hotaru
74'
M
24
Riku Yamada
45'
M
Riku Yamada
45'
M
3
Masahiro Sekiguchi
M
Masahiro Sekiguchi
M
41
Motoki Hasegawa
1 👟
F
Motoki Hasegawa
1 👟
F
34
Tenmu Matsumoto
F
Tenmu Matsumoto
F
9
Thiago Santana
1 ⚽
63'
F
Thiago Santana
1 ⚽
63'
F
Bench
21
Diego Pituca
20'
M
Diego Pituca
20'
M
48
Hayato Teruyama
41'
D
Hayato Teruyama
41'
D
17
Keita Takahata
D
Keita Takahata
D
10
Matheus Jesus
31'
M
Matheus Jesus
31'
M
11
N. Campbell
49'
M
N. Campbell
49'
M
18
Yamasaki Ryogo
F
Yamasaki Ryogo
F
8
Y. Iwasaki
F
35
G
55
Shuhei Tokumoto
D
Shuhei Tokumoto
D
20
Kennedy Egbus Mikuni
D
Kennedy Egbus Mikuni
D
2
Yuki Nogami
86'
D
Yuki Nogami
86'
D
66
Ryosuke Yamanaka
79'
M
Ryosuke Yamanaka
79'
M
17
M
41
M
44
Soichiro Mori
45'
M
Soichiro Mori
45'
M
18
Kensuke Nagai
2 ⚽
72'
F
Kensuke Nagai
2 ⚽
72'
F
33
Taichi Kikuchi
F
Taichi Kikuchi
F
30
Shungo Sugiura
1 👟
79'
F
Shungo Sugiura
1 👟
79'
F
Bench
19
Hidemasa Koda
49'
M
Hidemasa Koda
49'
M
22
Y. Kimura
15'
F
Y. Kimura
15'
F
Best on the pitch
Kensuke Nagai
F · Nagoya
9.30
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 18 pass
G · Nagoya
8.20
· 51 pass
Motoki Hasegawa
F · V-varen
7.60
1 👟
1 shots
· 28 pass
Shungo Sugiura
F · Nagoya
7.50
1 👟
1 shots
· 15 pass
Thiago Santana
F · V-varen
7.50
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 16 pass
M · Nagoya
7.30
· 54 pass
V-varen Nagasaki — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 42 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| Eduardo | D | 94 | 5.90 | — | — | 3 | 42 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Arai | D | 53 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Onaga Hijiri | D | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Yoneda Shunya | M | 64 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Yamaguchi Hotaru | M | 74 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Riku Yamada | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Masahiro Sekiguchi | M | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Motoki Hasegawa | F | 94 | 7.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 28 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Tenmu Matsumoto | F | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| Thiago Santana | F | 63 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 4 | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Diego Pituca | M | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Hayato Teruyama | D | 41 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Matheus Jesus | M | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| N. Campbell | M | 49 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 11% | — | — | — |
Nagoya Grampus — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 51 | 34% | — | — | — | |
| Shuhei Tokumoto | D | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 41 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Kennedy Egbus Mikuni | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Yuki Nogami | D | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | 3 | — | — |
| Ryosuke Yamanaka | M | 79 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| M | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 54 | 50% | 2 | — | — | |
| M | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 53 | 44% | 2 | — | — | |
| Soichiro Mori | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Kensuke Nagai | F | 72 | 9.30 | 2 | — | 3 | 18 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Taichi Kikuchi | F | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Shungo Sugiura | F | 79 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Hidemasa Koda | M | 49 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Kimura | F | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of V-varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus?
The final score was V-varen Nagasaki 1–2 Nagoya Grampus.
What did the model predict before V-varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus?
The model assigned 27% probability to a V-varen Nagasaki win, 26% to a draw, and 45% to an Nagoya Grampus win.