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J1 League · Regular Season - 14 May 03, 2026 10:00
V-varen Nagasaki
#14 · 7 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Nagoya Grampus
#16 · 6 pts
Thiago (ast. M. Hasegawa) 29'
34' (ast. S. Sugiura) K. Nagai
54' K. Nagai
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nagoya Grampus a 45% win probability (draw 26%, V-varen Nagasaki 27%). The final result was V-varen Nagasaki 1–2 Nagoya Grampus. In 2 previous meetings, V-varen Nagasaki have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Nagoya Grampus.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
9
8
Shots on target
6
4
Saves
6
49%
Possession
51%
9
Corners
9
10
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽Thiago · ast. M. Hasegawa
29'
34'
ast. S. Sugiura · K. Nagai⚽
46'
H. Koda / S. Mori ↕
↕ R. Yamada / N. Campbell
46'
↕ I. Arai / H. Teruyama
53'
54'
K. Nagai⚽
↕ Thiago / Matheus Jesus
63'
↕ S. Yoneda / T. Kasayanagi
63'
72'
K. Sakakibara / K. Nagai ↕
↕ H. Yamaguchi / Diego Pituca
74'
79'
Y. Sato / R. Yamanaka ↕
79'
Y. Kimura / S. Sugiura ↕
Matheus Jesus
80'
86'
A. Kawazura / Y. Nogami ↕
Pre-match prediction
27.31%
V-varen
26.88%
X
45.81%
Nagoya ←
we assigned to the actual result (Nagoya Grampus) 45.81% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
V-varen
0.91
—
—
Nagoya
1.42
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 7 17
2 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 7 16
3 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 7 15
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 7 14
5 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 7 14
6 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 7 12
7 Kashima Kashima 7 12
8 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 7 11
9 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 6 10
10 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 7 10
11 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 7 9
12 Urawa Urawa 6 9
13 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 7 7
14 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 7 7
15 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 7 6
16 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 7 6
17 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 7 5
18 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 7 4
19 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 6 3
20 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 6 3
Lineups
V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 3-4-2-1
1
G 6.50
4 Eduardo Eduardo D 5.90
29 I. Arai I. Arai 53' D 6.50
22 H. Onaga H. Onaga D 6.20
23
Yoneda Shunya 64' M 6.70
5 H. Yamaguchi H. Yamaguchi 74' M 6.50
24 R. Yamada R. Yamada 45' M 6.30
3 M. Sekiguchi M. Sekiguchi M 6.50
41 M. Hasegawa M. Hasegawa 1 👟 F 7.60
34
Tenmu Matsumoto F 6.60
9 Thiago Santana Thiago Santana 1 ⚽ 63' F 7.50
Bench
21 Diego Pituca Diego Pituca 20' M 6.30
48 Hayato Teruyama Hayato Teruyama 41' D 6.20
17 K. Takahata K. Takahata D
10 Matheus Jesus Matheus Jesus 31' M 6.70
11 N. Campbell N. Campbell 49' M 6.50
18 R. Yamasaki R. Yamasaki F
8 Y. Iwasaki Y. Iwasaki F
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 3-4-2-1
35
G 8.20
55 S. Tokumoto S. Tokumoto D 6.50
20 Kennedy Egbus Mikuni Kennedy Egbus Mikuni D 7.30
2 Y. Nogami Y. Nogami 86' D 6.90
66 R. Yamanaka R. Yamanaka 79' M 6.60
17
M 7.30
41
M 6.30
44 S. Mori S. Mori 45' M 6.50
18 K. Nagai K. Nagai 2 ⚽ 72' F 9.30
33 T. Kikuchi T. Kikuchi F 6.90
30 Shungo Sugiura Shungo Sugiura 1 👟 79' F 7.50
Bench
19 H. Koda H. Koda 49' M 6.20
22 Y. Kimura Y. Kimura 15' F 6.50
Best on the pitch
K. Nagai
K. Nagai
F · Nagoya
9.30
2 ⚽
3 shots · 18 pass
G · Nagoya
8.20
· 51 pass
M. Hasegawa
M. Hasegawa
F · V-varen
7.60
1 👟
1 shots · 28 pass
Shungo Sugiura
Shungo Sugiura
F · Nagoya
7.50
1 👟
1 shots · 15 pass
Thiago Santana
Thiago Santana
F · V-varen
7.50
1 ⚽
4 shots · 16 pass
M · Nagoya
7.30
· 54 pass
V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 94 6.50 — — — 42 16% — — —
Eduardo D 94 5.90 — — 3 42 26% 2 — —
I. Arai D 53 6.50 — — 1 16 13% — — —
H. Onaga D 94 6.20 — — — 40 30% — — —
Yoneda Shunya M 64 6.70 — — — 11 10% — — —
H. Yamaguchi M 74 6.50 — — — 36 31% 1 — —
R. Yamada M 45 6.30 — — — 22 17% — — —
M. Sekiguchi M 94 6.50 — — 1 21 13% 2 — —
M. Hasegawa F 94 7.60 — 1 1 28 21% 2 — —
Tenmu Matsumoto F 94 6.60 — — 1 34 28% 3 — —
Thiago Santana F 63 7.50 1 — 4 16 12% — — —
Diego Pituca M 20 6.30 — — — 10 9% — — —
Hayato Teruyama D 41 6.20 — — 2 25 19% — — —
Matheus Jesus M 31 6.70 — — — 6 4% — 1 —
N. Campbell M 49 6.50 — — 1 19 11% — — —
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 94 8.20 — — — 51 34% — — —
S. Tokumoto D 94 6.50 — — — 41 31% — — —
Kennedy Egbus Mikuni D 94 7.30 — — — 45 39% — — —
Y. Nogami D 86 6.90 — — — 38 30% 3 — —
R. Yamanaka M 79 6.60 — — 1 14 10% 2 — —
M 94 7.30 — — — 54 50% 2 — —
M 94 6.30 — — 2 53 44% 2 — —
S. Mori M 45 6.50 — — 1 5 4% — — —
K. Nagai F 72 9.30 2 — 3 18 13% 2 — —
T. Kikuchi F 94 6.90 — — — 41 29% 1 — —
Shungo Sugiura F 79 7.50 — 1 1 15 13% 1 — —
H. Koda M 49 6.20 — — 1 11 4% 1 — —
Y. Kimura F 15 6.50 — — — — — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of V-varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus?
The final score was V-varen Nagasaki 1–2 Nagoya Grampus.
What did the model predict before V-varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus?
The model assigned 27% probability to a V-varen Nagasaki win, 26% to a draw, and 45% to an Nagoya Grampus win.