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J1 League · Regular Season - 7 September 12, 2026 12:00
V-varen Nagasaki
#15 · 8 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Nagoya Grampus
#17 · 6 pts
Matheus Jesus 36' (pen.)
Thiago Santana (ast. Motoki Hasegawa) 57'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave V-varen Nagasaki a 34% win probability (draw 30%, Nagoya Grampus 34%). The final result was V-varen Nagasaki 2–0 Nagoya Grampus. In 2 previous meetings, V-varen Nagasaki have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Nagoya Grampus.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
12
9
Shots on target
2
2
Saves
6
32%
Possession
68%
3
Corners
4
11
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Matheus Jesus (pen.)
36'
⚽Thiago Santana · ast. Motoki Hasegawa
57'
61'
Tomoya Koyamatsu / Yuya Yamagishi ↕
61'
Taichi Kikuchi / Shuhei Tokumoto ↕
61'
Yuki Nogami / Ryuji Izumi ↕
Thiago Santana
62'
68'
Tsukasa Morishima / Katsuhiro Nakayama ↕
↕ Thiago Santana / Tenmu Matsumoto
80'
83'
Shungo Sugiura / Hidemasa Koda ↕
↕ Matheus Jesus / Ryogo Yamasaki
86'
↕ Riku Yamada / Diego Pituca
86'
↕ Hijiri Onaga / Takashi Sawada
89'
↕ Motoki Hasegawa / Kanta Doi
89'
90'+6
Haruya Fujii
Pre-match prediction
34.92%
V-varen ←
30.15%
X
34.92%
Nagoya
we assigned to the actual result (V-varen Nagasaki) 34.92% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
V-varen
1.22
—
—
Nagoya
1.18
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 8 19
2 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 8 18
3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 8 17
4 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 8 17
5 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 8 17
6 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 8 14
7 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 8 13
8 Kashima Kashima 8 13
9 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 8 13
10 Urawa Urawa 8 12
11 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 8 11
12 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 8 10
13 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 8 9
14 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 8 8
15 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 8 8
16 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 8 6
17 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 8 6
18 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 8 4
19 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 8 4
20 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 8 4
Lineups
V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 3-4-2-1
1 M. Goto M. Goto G 6.82
6 Y. Egawa Y. Egawa D 7.52
29 I. Arai I. Arai D 7.26
50 R. Shindo R. Shindo D 7.21
22 H. Onaga H. Onaga 89' M 6.62
24 R. Yamada R. Yamada 86' M 7.20
5 H. Yamaguchi H. Yamaguchi M 7.09
23 S. Yoneda S. Yoneda M 6.69
41 M. Hasegawa M. Hasegawa 1 👟 89' M 7.70
10 Matheus Jesus Matheus Jesus 1 ⚽ 86' M 7.64
9 Thiago Santana Thiago Santana 1 ⚽ 80' F 7.78
Bench
21 Diego Pituca Diego Pituca 4' M 6.89
13 G. Hatano G. Hatano G 0.00
31 K. Doi K. Doi 1' D 7.03
20 K. Nakamura K. Nakamura M 0.00
11 N. Campbell N. Campbell F 0.00
18 R. Yamasaki R. Yamasaki 4' F 6.49
34 T. Matsumoto T. Matsumoto 10' M 6.80
19 T. Sawada T. Sawada 1' M 6.94
8 Y. Iwasaki Y. Iwasaki F 0.00
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 4-1-2-1-2
1 D. Schmidt D. Schmidt G 7.56
27 K. Nakayama K. Nakayama 68' D 6.86
70 T. Hara T. Hara D 6.32
13 H. Fujii H. Fujii D 6.23
19 H. Koda H. Koda 83' D 6.12
15 S. Inagaki S. Inagaki M 7.20
55 S. Tokumoto S. Tokumoto 61' M 6.42
22 Y. Kimura Y. Kimura M 5.98
31 T. Takamine T. Takamine M 6.78
11 Y. Yamagishi Y. Yamagishi 61' F 6.17
7 R. Izumi R. Izumi 61' F 6.01
Bench
35 A. Pisano A. Pisano G 0.00
41 M. Ono M. Ono M 0.00
30 S. Sugiura S. Sugiura 7' F 6.30
33 T. Kikuchi T. Kikuchi 29' M 5.72
58 T. Koyamatsu T. Koyamatsu 29' M 6.08
14 T. Morishima T. Morishima 22' M 6.48
2 Y. Nogami Y. Nogami 29' D 6.50
Best on the pitch
Thiago Santana
Thiago Santana
F · V-varen
7.78
1 ⚽
7 shots · 23 pass
M. Hasegawa
M. Hasegawa
M · V-varen
7.70
1 👟
1 shots · 41 pass
Matheus Jesus
Matheus Jesus
M · V-varen
7.64
1 ⚽
4 shots · 42 pass
D. Schmidt
D. Schmidt
G · Nagoya
7.56
· 44 pass
Y. Egawa
Y. Egawa
D · V-varen
7.52
· 25 pass
I. Arai
I. Arai
D · V-varen
7.26
· 14 pass
V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Goto G 90 6.82 — — 0 28 11% 0 — —
Y. Egawa D 90 7.52 — — 0 25 21% 1 — —
I. Arai D 90 7.26 — — 0 14 12% 0 — —
R. Shindo D 90 7.21 — — 0 20 17% 1 — —
H. Onaga M 89 6.62 — — 1 23 18% 2 — —
R. Yamada M 86 7.20 — — 2 38 33% 1 — —
H. Yamaguchi M 90 7.09 — — 0 33 30% 0 — —
S. Yoneda M 90 6.69 — — 0 22 18% 1 — —
M. Hasegawa M 89 7.70 — 1 1 41 36% 1 — —
Matheus Jesus M 86 7.64 1 — 4 42 34% 0 — —
Thiago Santana F 80 7.78 1 — 7 23 20% 3 1 —
Diego Pituca M 4 6.89 — — 0 3 2% 0 — —
K. Doi D 1 7.03 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
R. Yamasaki F 4 6.49 — — 0 4 3% 0 — —
T. Matsumoto M 10 6.80 — — 0 5 5% 1 — —
T. Sawada M 1 6.94 — — 1 1 1% 0 — —
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Schmidt G 90 7.56 — — 0 44 42% 0 — —
K. Nakayama D 68 6.86 — — 1 35 31% 2 — —
T. Hara D 90 6.32 — — 1 71 60% 2 — —
H. Fujii D 90 6.23 — — 2 112 102% 1 1 —
H. Koda D 83 6.12 — — 0 10 7% 4 — —
S. Inagaki M 90 7.20 — — 3 100 94% 2 — —
S. Tokumoto M 61 6.42 — — 0 45 39% 1 — —
Y. Kimura M 90 5.98 — — 1 26 21% 1 — —
T. Takamine M 90 6.78 — — 2 88 77% 2 — —
Y. Yamagishi F 61 6.17 — — 1 17 14% 0 — —
R. Izumi F 61 6.01 — — 0 15 14% 0 — —
S. Sugiura F 7 6.30 — — 0 3 2% 0 — —
T. Kikuchi M 29 5.72 — — 0 22 15% 1 — —
T. Koyamatsu M 29 6.08 — — 1 19 17% 0 — —
T. Morishima M 22 6.48 — — 0 22 21% 0 — —
Y. Nogami D 29 6.50 — — 0 31 28% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of V-varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus?
The final score was V-varen Nagasaki 2–0 Nagoya Grampus.
What did the model predict before V-varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus?
The model assigned 34% probability to a V-varen Nagasaki win, 30% to a draw, and 34% to an Nagoya Grampus win.