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J1 League · Regular Season - 11 October 21, 2026 12:00 Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank, Nagasaki
V-varen Nagasaki
#14 · 12 pts
4 – 0
Final score
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
#3 · 26 pts
Hijiri Onaga (ast. Jonathan Junior) 36'
Matheus Jesus (ast. Takashi Sawada) 45'
Kenshin Yasuda (ast. Matheus Jesus) 73'
Kenshin Yasuda (ast. Matheus Jesus) 90'+7
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sanfrecce Hiroshima a 53% win probability (draw 25%, V-varen Nagasaki 21%). The final result was V-varen Nagasaki 4–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima. In 2 previous meetings, V-varen Nagasaki have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
18
4
Shots on target
2
1.94
Actual xG
1.35
3
Saves
0
26%
Possession
74%
0
Corners
10
10
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
↕ Takuma Ominami / Yusei Egawa
23'
Hijiri Onaga
27'
⚽Hijiri Onaga · ast. Jonathan Junior
36'
⚽Matheus Jesus · ast. Takashi Sawada
45'
45'
Kim Ju-sung / Daiki Suga ↕
45'
Mutsuki Kato / Takuma Asano ↕
↕ Takashi Sawada / Kenshin Yasuda
53'
Jonathan Junior
60'
62'
Shun Ayukawa / Yotaro Nakajima ↕
65'
66'
Sébastien Haller
71'
Taishi Matsumoto / Naoto Arai ↕
⚽Kenshin Yasuda · ast. Matheus Jesus
73'
↕ Shunya Yoneda / Asahi Masuyama
76'
↕ Jonathan Junior / Ryogo Yamasaki
76'
↕ Hijiri Onaga / Ryosuke Shindo
76'
76'
Takumu Kawamura / Akito Suzuki ↕
⚽Kenshin Yasuda · ast. Matheus Jesus
90'+7
Pre-match prediction
21.24%
V-varen ←
25.74%
X
53.02%
Sanfrecce
we assigned to the actual result (V-varen Nagasaki) 21.24% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
V-varen
0.59
1.94
+1.35
Sanfrecce
1.55
1.35
-0.2
V-varen Nagasaki dominated by xG (1.94 vs 1.35). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 12 27
2 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 12 27
3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 12 26
4 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 12 25
5 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 12 23
6 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 12 22
7 Urawa Urawa 12 21
8 Kashima Kashima 12 20
9 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 12 18
10 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 12 16
11 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 12 14
12 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 12 14
13 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 12 14
14 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 12 12
15 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 12 11
16 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 12 10
17 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 12 9
18 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 12 8
19 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 12 7
20 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 12 7
Lineups
V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 3-4-2-1
1 M. Goto M. Goto G 6.68
31 K. Doi K. Doi D 7.18
29 I. Arai I. Arai D 6.62
25 T. Ominami T. Ominami 23' D 6.99
23 S. Yoneda S. Yoneda 76' M 6.41
41 M. Hasegawa M. Hasegawa M 6.19
5 H. Yamaguchi H. Yamaguchi M 6.49
22 H. Onaga H. Onaga 1 ⚽ 76' M 7.99
19 T. Sawada T. Sawada 1 👟 53' M 7.34
10 Matheus Jesus Matheus Jesus 1 ⚽ 2 👟 M 9.80
99 Jonathan Jonathan 1 👟 76' F 7.04
Bench
88 A. Masuyama A. Masuyama 14' M 6.90
21 Diego Pituca Diego Pituca M 0.00
13 G. Hatano G. Hatano G 0.00
7 K. Yasuda K. Yasuda 2 ⚽ 37' M 8.81
50 R. Shindo R. Shindo 14' D 7.09
24 R. Yamada R. Yamada M 0.00
18 R. Yamasaki R. Yamasaki 14' F 6.61
34 T. Matsumoto T. Matsumoto M 0.00
6 Y. Egawa Y. Egawa 67' D 7.09
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-4-2-1
1 K. Osako K. Osako G 5.92
7 S. Higashi S. Higashi D 6.94
4 H. Araki H. Araki D 5.71
15 S. Nakano S. Nakano D 6.40
18 D. Suga D. Suga 45' M 5.59
35 Y. Nakajima Y. Nakajima 62' M 6.27
6 H. Kawabe H. Kawabe M 6.84
5 N. Arai N. Arai 71' M 6.18
10 A. Suzuki A. Suzuki 76' M 6.08
29 T. Asano T. Asano 45' M 5.82
22 S. Haller S. Haller 66' F 5.23
Bench
99 I. Ouchi I. Ouchi G 0.00
37 Kim Ju-Sung Kim Ju-Sung 45' D 6.52
9 K. Yengi K. Yengi F 0.00
11 M. Kato M. Kato 45' F 6.36
23 S. Ayukawa S. Ayukawa 28' F 6.45
45 S. Kobayashi S. Kobayashi M 0.00
32 S. Koshimichi S. Koshimichi M 0.00
8 T. Kawamura T. Kawamura 14' M 5.81
14 T. Matsumoto T. Matsumoto 19' M 5.90
Best on the pitch
Matheus Jesus
Matheus Jesus
M · V-varen
9.80
1 ⚽ 2 👟
2 shots · 14 pass
K. Yasuda
K. Yasuda
M · V-varen
8.81
2 ⚽
5 shots · 5 pass
H. Onaga
H. Onaga
M · V-varen
7.99
1 ⚽
1 shots · 10 pass
T. Sawada
T. Sawada
M · V-varen
7.34
1 👟
· 14 pass
K. Doi
K. Doi
D · V-varen
7.18
· 30 pass
R. Shindo
R. Shindo
D · V-varen
7.09
· 4 pass
V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Goto G 90 6.68 — — 0 36 17% 0 — —
K. Doi D 90 7.18 — — 0 30 24% 1 — —
I. Arai D 90 6.62 — — 0 21 13% 0 — —
T. Ominami D 23 6.99 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
S. Yoneda M 76 6.41 — — 0 21 14% 3 — —
M. Hasegawa M 90 6.19 — — 0 38 29% 2 — —
H. Yamaguchi M 90 6.49 — — 1 27 21% 0 — —
H. Onaga M 76 7.99 1 — 1 10 3% 1 1 —
T. Sawada M 53 7.34 — 1 0 14 13% 0 — —
Matheus Jesus M 90 9.80 1 2 2 14 13% 0 — —
Jonathan F 76 7.04 — 1 2 9 6% 1 1 —
A. Masuyama M 14 6.90 — — 0 7 5% 0 — —
K. Yasuda M 37 8.81 2 — 5 5 2% 2 — —
R. Shindo D 14 7.09 — — 0 4 3% 0 — —
R. Yamasaki F 14 6.61 — — 1 5 4% 0 — —
Y. Egawa D 67 7.09 — — 0 15 14% 0 — —
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
K. Osako G 90 5.92 — — 0 30 26% 0 — —
S. Higashi D 90 6.94 — — 1 76 68% 0 — —
H. Araki D 90 5.71 — — 0 98 90% 1 — —
S. Nakano D 90 6.40 — — 1 88 76% 2 — —
D. Suga M 45 5.59 — — 0 19 15% 0 — —
Y. Nakajima M 62 6.27 — — 3 46 42% 4 — —
H. Kawabe M 90 6.84 — — 1 105 91% 4 — —
N. Arai M 71 6.18 — — 4 56 50% 2 — —
A. Suzuki M 76 6.08 — — 3 30 26% 0 — —
T. Asano M 45 5.82 — — 2 12 9% 0 — —
S. Haller F 66 5.23 — — 0 23 20% 0 — 1
Kim Ju-Sung D 45 6.52 — — 0 55 50% 0 — —
M. Kato F 45 6.36 — — 1 25 23% 0 — —
S. Ayukawa F 28 6.45 — — 1 10 10% 0 — —
T. Kawamura M 14 5.81 — — 0 16 15% 1 — —
T. Matsumoto M 19 5.90 — — 1 30 25% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of V-varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
The final score was V-varen Nagasaki 4–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
What did the model predict before V-varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
The model assigned 21% probability to a V-varen Nagasaki win, 25% to a draw, and 53% to an Sanfrecce Hiroshima win.