The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Athletic Club a 37% win probability (draw 29%, Valencia 33%). The final result was Valencia 0–0 Athletic Club. In 3 previous meetings, Valencia have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Athletic Club.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
9
3
Shots on target
2
1.49
Actual xG
0.65
1
Saves
3
37%
Possession
63%
2
Corners
6
17
Tackles
14
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Daniel Raba Antolín
19'
38'
Aymeric Laporte
42'
Beñat Gerenabarrena
45'
Mikel Jauregizar
/
Beñat Gerenabarrena
Daniel Raba Antolín
/ Luis Rioja
54'
Hugo Duro
/ David Otorbi Ejededawe
54'
57'
Iñigo Ruiz De Galarreta
63'
Jesus Areso
/
Johaneko Louis-Jean
63'
Gorka Guruzeta
/
Iñaki Williams
63'
Alejandro Rego Mora
/
Iñigo Ruiz De Galarreta
68'
Maroan Sannadi
/
Gorka Guruzeta
Justin De Haas
/ Harvey Elliott
74'
José Gayà
/ Jesús Vázquez
85'
Guido Rodríguez
/ Filip Ugrinic
86'
José Luis García Vayá
87'
César Tárrega Requeni
90'
Pre-match prediction
33.45%
Valencia
29.53%
X ←
37.02%
Athletic
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
29.53%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.32
1.49
+0.17
1.47
0.65
-0.82
Valencia dominated by xG (1.49 vs 0.65).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
S. Dimitrievski
G
S. Dimitrievski
G
14
José Gayà
85'
D
José Gayà
85'
D
12
J. de Haas
74'
D
J. de Haas
74'
D
5
César Tárrega
D
César Tárrega
D
24
Pablo Maffeo
D
Pablo Maffeo
D
2
G. Rodríguez
86'
M
G. Rodríguez
86'
M
18
Pepelu
M
Pepelu
M
7
A. Danjuma
M
A. Danjuma
M
8
Javi Guerra
M
Javi Guerra
M
19
Dani Raba
54'
M
Dani Raba
54'
M
9
Hugo Duro
54'
F
Hugo Duro
54'
F
Bench
33
Aaron Mayol
M
Aaron Mayol
M
15
A. Dieng
M
A. Dieng
M
37
Aimar Blázquez
F
Aimar Blázquez
F
22
Arnau Martínez
D
Arnau Martínez
D
27
David Otorbi
36'
F
David Otorbi
36'
F
23
F. Ugrinic
4'
M
F. Ugrinic
4'
M
10
H. Elliott
16'
M
H. Elliott
16'
M
21
Jesús Vázquez
5'
D
Jesús Vázquez
5'
D
25
K. van Oevelen
G
K. van Oevelen
G
11
Luis Rioja
36'
F
Luis Rioja
36'
F
4
M. Diakhaby
D
M. Diakhaby
D
39
R. Sato
M
R. Sato
M
1
Unai Simón
G
Unai Simón
G
31
J. Louis-Jean
63'
D
J. Louis-Jean
63'
D
14
Aymeric Laporte
D
Aymeric Laporte
D
4
Aitor Paredes
D
Aitor Paredes
D
15
Hugo Rincón
D
Hugo Rincón
D
16
Ruíz de Galarreta
63'
M
Ruíz de Galarreta
63'
M
24
Beñat Gerenabarrena
45'
M
Beñat Gerenabarrena
45'
M
23
Robert Navarro
M
Robert Navarro
M
28
Peio Canales
M
Peio Canales
M
7
Álex Berenguer
M
Álex Berenguer
M
9
I. Williams
63'
F
I. Williams
63'
F
Bench
20
Alejandro Rego
27'
M
Alejandro Rego
27'
M
13
Álex Padilla
G
Álex Padilla
G
6
Beñat Prados
M
Beñat Prados
M
33
Christian Imga
F
Christian Imga
F
3
Dani Vivian
D
Dani Vivian
D
11
Gorka Guruzeta
5'
F
Gorka Guruzeta
5'
F
12
Jesús Areso
27'
D
Jesús Areso
27'
D
21
Maroan Sannadi
22'
F
Maroan Sannadi
22'
F
18
Mikel Jauregizar
45'
M
Mikel Jauregizar
45'
M
22
Nico Serrano
F
Nico Serrano
F
5
Yeray
D
Yeray
D
17
Yuri
D
Yuri
D
Best on the pitch
Pepelu
M · Valencia
7.20
· 43 pass
José Gayà
D · Valencia
7.14
2 shots
· 28 pass
Aymeric Laporte
D · Athletic
7.07
1 shots
· 95 pass
S. Dimitrievski
G · Valencia
7.05
· 26 pass
Aitor Paredes
D · Athletic
7.05
· 79 pass
Luis Rioja
F · Valencia
7.03
1 shots
· 12 pass
Valencia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Dimitrievski | G | 90 | 7.05 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| José Gayà | D | 85 | 7.14 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| J. de Haas | D | 74 | 6.34 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 26% | 0 | — | — |
| César Tárrega | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 24% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Pablo Maffeo | D | 90 | 6.86 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 25% | 4 | — | — |
| G. Rodríguez | M | 86 | 6.40 | — | — | 0 | 46 | 36% | 3 | — | — |
| Pepelu | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 0 | 43 | 41% | 3 | 1 | — |
| A. Danjuma | M | 90 | 6.80 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Javi Guerra | M | 90 | 6.48 | — | — | 3 | 20 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Dani Raba | M | 54 | 6.54 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 11% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Hugo Duro | F | 54 | 6.61 | — | — | 3 | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| David Otorbi | F | 36 | 5.96 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Ugrinic | M | 4 | 6.20 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| H. Elliott | M | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| Jesús Vázquez | D | 5 | 6.13 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Luis Rioja | F | 36 | 7.03 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
Athletic Club — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unai Simón | G | 90 | 6.63 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Louis-Jean | D | 63 | 6.86 | — | — | 3 | 42 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Aymeric Laporte | D | 90 | 7.07 | — | — | 1 | 95 | 86% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Aitor Paredes | D | 90 | 7.05 | — | — | 0 | 79 | 73% | 1 | — | — |
| Hugo Rincón | D | 90 | 6.96 | — | — | 0 | 64 | 61% | 0 | — | — |
| Ruíz de Galarreta | M | 63 | 6.33 | — | — | 0 | 47 | 38% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Beñat Gerenabarrena | M | 45 | 6.35 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 20% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Robert Navarro | M | 90 | 6.47 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Peio Canales | M | 90 | 6.42 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Álex Berenguer | M | 90 | 6.05 | — | — | 0 | 42 | 34% | 4 | — | — |
| I. Williams | F | 63 | 6.17 | — | — | 3 | 10 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| Alejandro Rego | M | 27 | 6.74 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Gorka Guruzeta | F | 5 | 6.47 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Jesús Areso | D | 27 | 6.81 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| Maroan Sannadi | F | 22 | 6.62 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| Mikel Jauregizar | M | 45 | 6.14 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Valencia vs Athletic Club?
The final score was Valencia 0–0 Athletic Club.
What did the model predict before Valencia vs Athletic Club?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Valencia win, 29% to a draw, and 37% to an Athletic Club win.