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La Liga · Regular Season - 34 May 02, 2026 16:15
Valencia
#11 · 43 pts
0 – 2
Final score
Atletico Madrid
#4 · 66 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Valencia, result Atletico Madrid vince
74' (ast. O. Vargas) I. Luque
82' (ast. A. Griezmann) M. Cubo

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Valencia a 57% win probability (draw 20%, Atletico Madrid 21%). The final result was Valencia 0–2 Atletico Madrid. In 1 previous meetings, Valencia have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Atletico Madrid.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
16
0
Shots on target
5
1.11
Actual xG
1.78
3
Saves
0
53%
Possession
47%
1
Corners
7
17
Tackles
20
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
29'
T. Almada
52'
R. Mendoza
↕ F. Ugrinic / H. Duro
59'
↕ L. Rioja / D. Lopez
59'
61'
O. Vargas
63'
M. Cubo / J. Morcillo ↕
63'
I. Luque / R. Belaid ↕
C. Tarrega
67'
73'
Koke / T. Almada ↕
73'
A. Griezmann / R. Mendoza ↕
↕ L. Ramazani / A. Danjuma
73'
↕ J. Gaya / J. Vazquez
73'
74'
ast. O. Vargas · I. Luque⚽
82'
ast. A. Griezmann · M. Cubo⚽
↕ Renzo Saravia / D. Raba
82'
90'+7
A. Puric / J. Bonar ↕
Pre-match prediction
57.68%
Valencia
20.53%
X
21.79%
Atletico ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Atletico Madrid) 21.79% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Valencia
2.02
1.11
-0.91
Atletico
0.99
1.78
+0.79
Atletico Madrid dominated by xG (1.78 vs 1.11). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Barcelona Barcelona 36 91
2 Real Madrid Real Madrid 36 80
3 Villarreal Villarreal 36 69
4 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 36 66
5 Real Betis Real Betis 36 57
6 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 36 50
7 Getafe Getafe 36 48
8 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 36 45
9 Athletic Club Athletic Club 36 44
10 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 36 44
11 Valencia Valencia 36 43
12 Sevilla Sevilla 36 43
13 Osasuna Osasuna 36 42
14 Espanyol Espanyol 36 42
15 Girona Girona 36 40
16 Alaves Alaves 36 40
17 Elche Elche 36 39
18 Mallorca Mallorca 36 39
19 Levante Levante 36 39
20 Oviedo Oviedo 36 29
Lineups
Valencia Valencia 4-4-2
1 Stole Dimitrievski Stole Dimitrievski G 6.90
14 José Luis Gayà José Luis Gayà 73' D 7.50
18
D 6.60
5 César Tárrega César Tárrega D 6.90
20 Renzo Saravia Renzo Saravia 82' D 6.20
23 Filip Ugrinić Filip Ugrinić 59' M 6.90
2 Guido Rodríguez Guido Rodríguez M 7.20
8 Javier Guerra Javier Guerra M 6.90
11 Luis Rioja Luis Rioja 59' M 6.70
6 Umar Sadiq Umar Sadiq F 6.20
17 Largie Ramazani Largie Ramazani 73' F 6.50
Bench
10 André Almeida André Almeida M
16 Diego López Diego López 40' F 6.90
24 Eray Cömert Eray Cömert D
9 Hugo Duro Hugo Duro 40' F 6.20
4 Unai Núñez Unai Núñez D
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 4-5-1
1 Juan Musso Juan Musso G 6.60
34 Julio Díaz Julio Díaz D 6.90
15 Clément Lenglet Clément Lenglet D 7.30
24 Robin Le Normand Robin Le Normand D 7.20
32 Javier Boñar Javier Boñar D 6.90
11 T. Almada T. Almada 73' M 6.90
21 Obed Vargas Obed Vargas 1 👟 M 7.30
47 Javi Morcillo Javi Morcillo 63' M 6.60
4 Rodrigo Mendoza Rodrigo Mendoza 73' M 7.50
16 N. Molina N. Molina M 7.30
29 Rayane Belaid Rayane Belaid 63' F 6.00
Bench
22 Ademola Lookman Ademola Lookman F
10 Álex Baena Álex Baena M
7 Antoine Griezmann Antoine Griezmann 1 👟 26' F 6.30
37 Iker Luque Iker Luque 1 ⚽ 36' F 7.30
5
J. Cardoso M
6 Koke Koke 26' M 6.90
18 Marc Pubill Marc Pubill D
3 Matteo Ruggeri Matteo Ruggeri D
61 Miguel Llorente Miguel Llorente 1 ⚽ 36' F 7.50
Best on the pitch
Miguel Llorente
Miguel Llorente
F · Atletico
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 2 pass
José Luis Gayà
José Luis Gayà
D · Valencia
7.50
1 shots · 32 pass
Rodrigo Mendoza
Rodrigo Mendoza
M · Atletico
7.50
1 shots · 34 pass
Iker Luque
Iker Luque
F · Atletico
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 7 pass
N. Molina
N. Molina
M · Atletico
7.30
2 shots · 26 pass
Obed Vargas
Obed Vargas
M · Atletico
7.30
1 👟
1 shots · 48 pass
Valencia Valencia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Stole Dimitrievski G 99 6.90 — — — 30 18% — — —
José Luis Gayà D 73 7.50 — — 1 32 30% 2 — —
D 99 6.60 — — — 64 58% 3 — —
César Tárrega D 99 6.90 — — — 63 59% 1 1 —
Renzo Saravia D 82 6.20 — — — 41 32% 1 — —
Filip Ugrinić M 59 6.90 — — — 25 20% 3 — —
Guido Rodríguez M 99 7.20 — — 1 49 42% 3 — —
Javier Guerra M 99 6.90 — — 1 58 53% 1 — —
Luis Rioja M 59 6.70 — — — 29 22% — — —
Umar Sadiq F 99 6.20 — — 2 15 12% — — —
Largie Ramazani F 73 6.50 — — 2 16 8% 1 — —
Diego López F 40 6.90 — — — 12 8% 1 — —
Hugo Duro F 40 6.20 — — — 3 3% 1 — —
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Juan Musso G 99 6.60 — — — 36 25% — — —
Julio Díaz D 99 6.90 — — — 32 28% — — —
Clément Lenglet D 99 7.30 — — 1 71 56% 3 — —
Robin Le Normand D 99 7.20 — — 1 36 33% 2 — —
Javier Boñar D 97 6.90 — — 1 43 38% 2 — —
T. Almada M 73 6.90 — — 1 29 26% 1 1 —
Obed Vargas M 99 7.30 — 1 1 48 40% 2 1 —
Javi Morcillo M 63 6.60 — — 2 27 24% 2 — —
Rodrigo Mendoza M 73 7.50 — — 1 34 28% — 1 —
N. Molina M 99 7.30 — — 2 26 19% 1 — —
Rayane Belaid F 63 6.00 — — 2 15 14% 2 — —
Antoine Griezmann F 26 6.30 — 1 — 6 4% — — —
Iker Luque F 36 7.30 1 — 3 7 6% 1 — —
Koke M 26 6.90 — — — 12 11% 3 — —
Miguel Llorente F 36 7.50 1 — 1 2 1% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Valencia vs Atletico Madrid?
The final score was Valencia 0–2 Atletico Madrid.
What did the model predict before Valencia vs Atletico Madrid?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Valencia win, 20% to a draw, and 21% to an Atletico Madrid win.