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La Liga · Regular Season - 34 May 02, 2026 16:15 Estadio de Mestalla, Valdivia
Valencia
#19 · 6 pts
0 – 2
Final score
Atletico Madrid
#2 · 25 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Valencia, result Atletico Madrid wins
74' (ast. O. Vargas) I. Luque
82' (ast. A. Griezmann) M. Cubo
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Valencia a 57% win probability (draw 20%, Atletico Madrid 21%). The final result was Valencia 0–2 Atletico Madrid. In 1 previous meetings, Valencia have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Atletico Madrid.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
16
0
Shots on target
5
1.11
Actual xG
1.78
3
Saves
0
53%
Possession
47%
1
Corners
7
17
Tackles
20
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
29'
T. Almada
52'
R. Mendoza
↕ F. Ugrinic / H. Duro
59'
↕ L. Rioja / D. Lopez
59'
61'
O. Vargas
63'
M. Cubo / J. Morcillo ↕
63'
I. Luque / R. Belaid ↕
C. Tarrega
67'
73'
Koke / T. Almada ↕
73'
A. Griezmann / R. Mendoza ↕
↕ L. Ramazani / A. Danjuma
73'
↕ J. Gaya / J. Vazquez
73'
74'
ast. O. Vargas · I. Luque⚽
82'
ast. A. Griezmann · M. Cubo⚽
↕ Renzo Saravia / D. Raba
82'
90'+7
A. Puric / J. Bonar ↕
Pre-match prediction
57.68%
Valencia
20.53%
X
21.79%
Atletico ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Atletico Madrid) 21.79% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Valencia
2.02
1.11
-0.91
Atletico
0.99
1.78
+0.79
Atletico Madrid dominated by xG (1.78 vs 1.11). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Barcelona Barcelona 10 27
2 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 10 25
3 Real Madrid Real Madrid 10 24
4 Real Betis Real Betis 10 20
5 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 10 19
6 Sevilla Sevilla 10 17
7 Alaves Alaves 10 12
8 Athletic Club Athletic Club 9 12
9 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 10 12
10 Villarreal Villarreal 10 12
11 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 10 11
12 Osasuna Osasuna 10 11
13 Racing Santander Racing Santander 10 11
14 Levante Levante 10 10
15 Elche Elche 10 10
16 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 9 9
17 Getafe Getafe 10 9
18 Espanyol Espanyol 10 8
19 Valencia Valencia 10 6
20 Malaga Malaga 10 5
Lineups
Valencia Valencia 4-4-2
1 S. Dimitrievski S. Dimitrievski G 6.90
14 José Gayà José Gayà 73' D 7.50
18
D 6.60
5 César Tárrega César Tárrega D 6.90
20 Renzo Saravia Renzo Saravia 82' D 6.20
23 F. Ugrinic F. Ugrinic 59' M 6.90
2 G. Rodríguez G. Rodríguez M 7.20
8 Javi Guerra Javi Guerra M 6.90
11 Luis Rioja Luis Rioja 59' M 6.70
6 Umar Sadiq Umar Sadiq F 6.20
17 L. Ramazani L. Ramazani 73' F 6.50
Bench
10 André Almeida André Almeida M
16 Diego López Diego López 40' F 6.90
24 E. Cömert E. Cömert D
9 Hugo Duro Hugo Duro 40' F 6.20
4 Unai Núñez Unai Núñez D
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 4-5-1
1 J. Musso J. Musso G 6.60
34 Julio Díaz del Romo Julio Díaz del Romo D 6.90
15 C. Lenglet C. Lenglet D 7.30
24 Robin Le Normand Robin Le Normand D 7.20
32 Javier Boñar Javier Boñar D 6.90
11 T. Almada T. Almada 73' M 6.90
21 O. Vargas O. Vargas 1 👟 M 7.30
47 J. Morcillo J. Morcillo 63' M 6.60
4 Rodrigo Mendoza Rodrigo Mendoza 73' M 7.50
16 N. Molina N. Molina M 7.30
29 Rayane Belaid Rayane Belaid 63' F 6.00
Bench
7 A. Griezmann A. Griezmann 1 👟 26' F 6.30
10 Álex Baena Álex Baena M
22 A. Lookman A. Lookman F
37 Iker Luque Iker Luque 1 ⚽ 36' F 7.30
5 J. Cardoso J. Cardoso M
6 Koke Koke 26' M 6.90
18 Marc Pubill Marc Pubill D
61 Miguel Cubo Miguel Cubo 1 ⚽ 36' F 7.50
3 M. Ruggeri M. Ruggeri D
Best on the pitch
Miguel Cubo
Miguel Cubo
F · Atletico
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 2 pass
José Gayà
José Gayà
D · Valencia
7.50
1 shots · 32 pass
Rodrigo Mendoza
Rodrigo Mendoza
M · Atletico
7.50
1 shots · 34 pass
Iker Luque
Iker Luque
F · Atletico
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 7 pass
N. Molina
N. Molina
M · Atletico
7.30
2 shots · 26 pass
O. Vargas
O. Vargas
M · Atletico
7.30
1 👟
1 shots · 48 pass
Valencia Valencia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Dimitrievski G 99 6.90 — — — 30 18% — — —
José Gayà D 73 7.50 — — 1 32 30% 2 — —
D 99 6.60 — — — 64 58% 3 — —
César Tárrega D 99 6.90 — — — 63 59% 1 1 —
Renzo Saravia D 82 6.20 — — — 41 32% 1 — —
F. Ugrinic M 59 6.90 — — — 25 20% 3 — —
G. Rodríguez M 99 7.20 — — 1 49 42% 3 — —
Javi Guerra M 99 6.90 — — 1 58 53% 1 — —
Luis Rioja M 59 6.70 — — — 29 22% — — —
Umar Sadiq F 99 6.20 — — 2 15 12% — — —
L. Ramazani F 73 6.50 — — 2 16 8% 1 — —
Diego López F 40 6.90 — — — 12 8% 1 — —
Hugo Duro F 40 6.20 — — — 3 3% 1 — —
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Musso G 99 6.60 — — — 36 25% — — —
Julio Díaz del Romo D 99 6.90 — — — 32 28% — — —
C. Lenglet D 99 7.30 — — 1 71 56% 3 — —
Robin Le Normand D 99 7.20 — — 1 36 33% 2 — —
Javier Boñar D 97 6.90 — — 1 43 38% 2 — —
T. Almada M 73 6.90 — — 1 29 26% 1 1 —
O. Vargas M 99 7.30 — 1 1 48 40% 2 1 —
J. Morcillo M 63 6.60 — — 2 27 24% 2 — —
Rodrigo Mendoza M 73 7.50 — — 1 34 28% — 1 —
N. Molina M 99 7.30 — — 2 26 19% 1 — —
Rayane Belaid F 63 6.00 — — 2 15 14% 2 — —
A. Griezmann F 26 6.30 — 1 — 6 4% — — —
Iker Luque F 36 7.30 1 — 3 7 6% 1 — —
Koke M 26 6.90 — — — 12 11% 3 — —
Miguel Cubo F 36 7.50 1 — 1 2 1% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Valencia vs Atletico Madrid?
The final score was Valencia 0–2 Atletico Madrid.
What did the model predict before Valencia vs Atletico Madrid?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Valencia win, 20% to a draw, and 21% to an Atletico Madrid win.