✗Model wrong — prediction Valencia, result Atletico Madrid wins
74'
(ast. O. Vargas)
I. Luque
82'
(ast. A. Griezmann)
M. Cubo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Valencia a 57% win probability (draw 20%, Atletico Madrid 21%). The final result was Valencia 0–2 Atletico Madrid. In 1 previous meetings, Valencia have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Atletico Madrid.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
16
0
Shots on target
5
1.11
Actual xG
1.78
3
Saves
0
53%
Possession
47%
1
Corners
7
17
Tackles
20
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
29'
T. Almada
52'
R. Mendoza
F. Ugrinic
/ H. Duro
59'
L. Rioja
/ D. Lopez
59'
61'
O. Vargas
63'
M. Cubo
/
J. Morcillo
63'
I. Luque
/
R. Belaid
C. Tarrega
67'
73'
Koke
/
T. Almada
73'
A. Griezmann
/
R. Mendoza
L. Ramazani
/ A. Danjuma
73'
J. Gaya
/ J. Vazquez
73'
74'
ast. O. Vargas ·
I. Luque⚽
82'
ast. A. Griezmann ·
M. Cubo⚽
Renzo Saravia
/ D. Raba
82'
90'+7
A. Puric
/
J. Bonar
Pre-match prediction
57.68%
Valencia
20.53%
X
21.79%
Atletico ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Atletico Madrid)
21.79%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.02
1.11
-0.91
0.99
1.78
+0.79
Atletico Madrid dominated by xG (1.78 vs 1.11).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Stole Dimitrievski
G
Stole Dimitrievski
G
14
José Gayà
73'
D
José Gayà
73'
D
18
D
5
César Tárrega
D
César Tárrega
D
20
Renzo Saravia
82'
D
Renzo Saravia
82'
D
23
Filip Ugrinić
59'
M
Filip Ugrinić
59'
M
2
Guido Rodríguez
M
Guido Rodríguez
M
8
Javi Guerra
M
Javi Guerra
M
11
Luis Rioja
59'
M
Luis Rioja
59'
M
6
Umar Sadiq
F
Umar Sadiq
F
17
Largie Ramazani
73'
F
Largie Ramazani
73'
F
Bench
10
André Almeida
M
André Almeida
M
16
Diego López
40'
F
Diego López
40'
F
24
Eray Cömert
D
Eray Cömert
D
9
Hugo Duro
40'
F
Hugo Duro
40'
F
4
Unai Núñez
D
Unai Núñez
D
1
Juan Musso
G
Juan Musso
G
34
Julio Díaz
D
Julio Díaz
D
15
Clément Lenglet
D
Clément Lenglet
D
24
Robin Le Normand
D
Robin Le Normand
D
32
Javier Boñar
D
Javier Boñar
D
11
T. Almada
73'
M
T. Almada
73'
M
21
Obed Vargas
1 👟
M
Obed Vargas
1 👟
M
47
Javi Morcillo
63'
M
Javi Morcillo
63'
M
4
Rodrigo Mendoza
73'
M
Rodrigo Mendoza
73'
M
16
N. Molina
M
N. Molina
M
29
Rayane Belaid
63'
F
Rayane Belaid
63'
F
Bench
7
A. Griezmann
1 👟
26'
F
A. Griezmann
1 👟
26'
F
10
Álex Baena
M
Álex Baena
M
22
A. Lookman
F
A. Lookman
F
37
Iker Luque
1 ⚽
36'
F
Iker Luque
1 ⚽
36'
F
5
J. Cardoso
M
6
Koke
26'
M
Koke
26'
M
18
Marc Pubill
D
Marc Pubill
D
3
Matteo Ruggeri
D
Matteo Ruggeri
D
61
Miguel Cubo
1 ⚽
36'
F
Miguel Cubo
1 ⚽
36'
F
Best on the pitch
Miguel Cubo
F · Atletico
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 2 pass
José Gayà
D · Valencia
7.50
1 shots
· 32 pass
Rodrigo Mendoza
M · Atletico
7.50
1 shots
· 34 pass
Iker Luque
F · Atletico
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 7 pass
N. Molina
M · Atletico
7.30
2 shots
· 26 pass
Obed Vargas
M · Atletico
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 48 pass
Valencia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stole Dimitrievski | G | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 18% | — | — | — |
| José Gayà | D | 73 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 99 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 64 | 58% | 3 | — | — | |
| César Tárrega | D | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 63 | 59% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Renzo Saravia | D | 82 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 41 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Filip Ugrinić | M | 59 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| Guido Rodríguez | M | 99 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 42% | 3 | — | — |
| Javi Guerra | M | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 53% | 1 | — | — |
| Luis Rioja | M | 59 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Umar Sadiq | F | 99 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Largie Ramazani | F | 73 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Diego López | F | 40 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Hugo Duro | F | 40 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Atletico Madrid — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Musso | G | 99 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Julio Díaz | D | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Clément Lenglet | D | 99 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 71 | 56% | 3 | — | — |
| Robin Le Normand | D | 99 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Javier Boñar | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Almada | M | 73 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Obed Vargas | M | 99 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 48 | 40% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Javi Morcillo | M | 63 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Mendoza | M | 73 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 28% | — | 1 | — |
| N. Molina | M | 99 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Rayane Belaid | F | 63 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Griezmann | F | 26 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Iker Luque | F | 36 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Koke | M | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| Miguel Cubo | F | 36 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Valencia vs Atletico Madrid?
The final score was Valencia 0–2 Atletico Madrid.
What did the model predict before Valencia vs Atletico Madrid?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Valencia win, 20% to a draw, and 21% to an Atletico Madrid win.